NATO and Ukraine War Crisis: Time to Write NATO Obituary

Hemant Adlakha

https://www.guancha.cn/HemantAdlakha/2022_03_22_631328_s.shtml


Three decades ago, in the US and in Western Europe many had wondered if the 
Cold War was gone, wasn't it time NATO was gone too. Some even argued that the 
European military alliance was an accomplished mission; and the US had done its 
job; and that the US ought to go home. But that never happened. In fact, that 
was never to happen. For the “new” NATO had shed its identity as a defensive 
alliance and become the US “instrument for intervention” within Europe and 
beyond. After all, didn’t Zbigniew Brzezinski prescribe in his still 
influential book, The Grand Chessboard, that NATO was one of many institutions 
serving to perpetuate the US hegemony in the world.

Two years ago, in the Chinese language popular question-and-answer website, 
Zhihu – China's equivalent to the popular English language Quora Digest, 
someone asked the question “What is NATO?” “On April 4, 1949, the United 
States, Canada and ten European countries including the United Kingdom, France, 
and Italy signed the North Atlantic Treaty in Washington. Further, they decided 
to establish the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. On August 24 of the same 
year, all the member countries completed their respective domestic ratification 
procedures of the Convention, and NATO was formally established,” Zhihu 
explained. Elaborating the present-day nature and role of the North Atlantic 
alliance, Zhihu further said: “After experiencing the baptism of the ‘Cold War’ 
and several twists and turns in the post-Cold War era during the past three 
decades, NATO has become ‘immortal.’ It continues to be proactive in the global 
geopolitical game and remains a driving force for Western civilizations’ global 
dominance.”

What Zhihu explained on the current status and nature of NATO largely echoes 
the ongoing debate in the West, especially in Western Europe. Nearly a decade 
ago, the NYT had invited a number of experts to discuss if the time had come to 
disband NATO? The theme and the core argument put forward by NYT was, “with the 
Soviet Union gone and austerity challenging   security, should NATO be 
disbanded?” Invited to join the debate, Camille Grand of The Foundation for 
Strategic Research in France dismissed austerity as the reason for disbanding 
NATO. “To argue NATO has become irrelevant is missing the point. But I do agree 
it is high time to re-examine the role and purpose of NATO in the twenty-first 
century,” Grand argued.  

Recalling Lord Ismay’s classic formulation that NATO’s founding purpose was “to 
keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down,” Boston 
University’s Professor Andrew J. Basevich joined NYT debate strongly advocating 
“it was time for the United States to leave NATO.” Basevich, who had been a US 
Army colonel, emphasised: “The united and democratic Germany of the 21st 
century poses no security threat whatsoever. Meanwhile, an implosion of the 
Soviet Union has yielded a Russia that possesses no military or ideological 
wherewithal to threaten Europe. The achievement of these two great objectives 
renders redundant the third remaining item in Ismay’s triad. The United States 
has done its job and ought to go home.”  

Further, long before the NYT debate in 2013, the clamour for “terminating” NATO 
had been growing in several European countries. Just days before the US 
presidential election in November 2004, The Guardian’s influential security 
affairs columnist, Jonathan Steele, wrote: “Nato is a threat to Europe and must 
be disbanded.” “An alliance which should have wound up when the Soviet Union 
collapsed now serves almost entirely as a device for giving the US an unfair 
and unreciprocated droit de regard over European foreign policy,” Steele added. 
Besides, it has been now over three decades that the debate over the continuous 
existence, enlargement and expansion of NATO has engulfed the media, the 
academia, and the political class in the West.

Additionally, in a profound, insightful essay recently, the historian Mark 
Rice, while wondering whether NATO has any purpose in a post-Cold War world, 
reminds us “NATO’s mission from the very beginning was as much political as 
military.” Trying to be fair to both supporters and critics of NATO’s post-Cold 
War continuing expansion, Rice wrote: “For supporters of expansion, a larger 
NATO would provide security to democratizing countries, solidifying their 
transitions from communism and opening new economic prosperity through greater 
connections with the European Union; on the other hand, critics of enlargement 
argue that the new members would not offer NATO much military or strategic 
benefit, and that those countries would be better served through other 
organizations, including the OSCE and EU.”  

However, when speaking of the NATO existence and expansion, especially during 
the post-Cold War period – before the rise of “strongman” Vladimir Putin to 
power – no one can ignore Mary Elise Sarotte’s Not One Inch: Russia, America, 
and the Making of Post-Cold War Stalemate, acknowledged by critics “the 
best-documented and best-argued history of the NATO expansion during the 
crucial 1989-1999 period.” Not One Inch (2021) builds on her earlier 
ground-breaking work 1989: The Struggle to Create Post-Cold War Europe, 
adjudged the best book on NATO in post-Cold War era by the Financial Times in 
2009.  

In the book, the US historian Sarotte using new evidence has shown what went 
wrong in the US-Russia relationship. “Not one inch. With these words, Secretary 
of State James Baker proposed a hypothetical bargain to Soviet leader Mikhail 
Gorbachev after the fall of the Berlin Wall: if you let your part of Germany 
go, we will move NATO not one inch eastward. Controversy erupted almost 
immediately over this 1990 exchange—but more important was the decade to come, 
when the words took on new meaning. Gorbachev let his Germany go, but 
Washington rethought the bargain, not least after the Soviet Union’s own 
collapse in December 1991. Washington realized it could not just win big but 
win bigger. Not one inch of territory needed to be off limits to NATO,” Sarotte 
stated.

In today’s context, some experts view the current Russia-Ukraine war crisis as 
the result of tensions reaching its peak between Russia and NATO. Wondering as 
to what is the source of Russia’s dispute with NATO, these experts point out 
“Russian leaders have long been wary of the eastward expansion of NATO, 
particularly as the alliance opened its doors to former Warsaw Pact states and 
ex-Soviet republics in the late 1990s. But how did NATO become a sensitive 
issue between Moscow and Washington? For the limitation of time and space, let 
it suffice to go back to a couple of years after the collapse of Soviet 
communism in 1991. Jonathan Masters, in a long essay in the Council on Foreign 
Relations – cfr – reveals how the then US President Bill Clinton, against the 
advice of his officials that such a move “would rankle Russian leaders,” anyway 
wanted to move quickly and start expanding NATO’s membership eastward. “Clinton 
chose to develop a new NATO initiative called Partnership for Peace (PfP), 
which would be nonexclusive and open to both Warsaw Pact members and to 
non-European countries,” Jonathan wrote.

To conclude, as early as in December 2020, days after president-elect Joe Biden 
looked certain to enter the White House, experts had started pointing out the 
primary agenda of the Biden Administration foreign policy would be “to reassert 
U.S. global leadership by reconsolidating a common U.S.-European capitalist 
program of domination that was disrupted with the ‘America first’ positions of 
the Trump Administration.” A similar concern is now increasingly being 
reflected in media commentaries in China. Ding Gang, a senior editor with the 
official People’s Daily, was quite blunt recently in accusing NATO and 
US-European “hegemonic” agenda for the current crisis in Ukraine: “The 
Russia-Ukraine war is both a natural consequence of the dramatic geopolitical 
changes in Europe in the wake of the Cold War and the nature of NATO - the 
world's single most powerful military bloc.”

Joining the growing chorus of scholars and analysts in the West against NATO 
and calling it a military bloc to perpetuate the combined American-European 
hegemony in the world, a Columbia University senior researcher had written: 
“NATO was the most successful military alliance in the 20th century, 
accomplishing its significant mission without bloodshed. In the 21st century 
NATO has become an impediment to a global security architecture of which it 
could be a cornerstone.” Today, when Beijing is most fearful of a NATO-like 
organization surrounding China, and Russia which has been baited by NATO into 
invading Ukraine, one wonders why there are no voices in China and Russia 
demanding it is high time to write NATO obituary?

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