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Indonesia's G20 Summit Dilemma
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Putin,
Zelensky both to show at Bali conclave

May 30
By: Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat

The 2022 G20 Summit scheduled for Bali in October increasingly risks
turning into a free-for-all, with both warring Presidents Vladimir Putin of
Russia and Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine vowing to attend, the United
States possibly boycotting, and China sternly telling Jakarta the summit
should stick to economic issues and forget politics.

“It’s turning into a total ratf***k,” a well-connected observer said.
“Jakarta is worried about the session falling apart. Jokowi wants it to be
a trade fair promoting Indonesia. Big business will be staying away, I
suspect.”

China Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Indonesian counterpart Retno
Marsudi by phone last week that Indonesia, the 2022 host for the conclave
of the world’s 20 most economically important nations, should focus more on
economic issues in accordance with the objectives of the G20, rather than
discussing political and security issues.

"China firmly supports Indonesia in playing its role as president,
eliminating interference to achieve the goals of the agenda that has been
set, and leading the G20 in the right direction," the Chinese Foreign
Ministry statement said. But, Wang said, “President Joko Widodo has
reiterated that since its formation, the G20 is an economic forum, not a
political forum, and China fully agrees with him on this.”

There has been no indication from the palace in Jakarta whether Indonesia
is showing resentment against China’s efforts to intervene in its G20
leadership. International law expert Hikmahanto Juwana told Benar News that
Jakarta needs to uphold its foreign policy principles and that  Indonesia's
stance is correct in inviting all members of the G20 without exception.

China's request is not surprising given Beijing's foreign policy stance and
interests although Indonesia clearly has no obligation to have to
accommodate Wang Yi's wishes. But China’s influence has been growing
sharply in Indonesia through its massive trade surplus and growing foreign
direct investment, which in 2020 reached US$2 billion annually. The 150-km
Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Train project is China’s most important Belt and
Road Initiative venture in Indonesia, if not Southeast Asia although bad
planning and cost overruns have driven the bill for the project to as high
as US$6 billion. Tensions in the Natuna area have risen, with China
demanding that Indonesia stop drilling in its own waters.

Western nations led by the United States pressed Widodo to invite Zelensky
in the wake of Indonesia’s decision to also invite Russian President
Vladimir Putin, who has confirmed he will attend. The western countries had
demanded that Russia, a member of the G20, be excluded following its
February 24 invasion of Ukraine, but Indonesia argued it must remain
"impartial."

The United States apparently is now undecided whether to attend. Washington
earlier responded to Indonesia’s announcements by saying the world cannot
deal with Russia as it did before the invasion. "The United States
continues to believe that it can't be business as usual with regards to
Russia's participation with the international community or international
institutions," State Department deputy spokeswoman Jalina Porter told
reporters in response to a question about the invitation. She did not
comment on what the United States would do. If the US does boycott, the
European Union, which is also a member as a whole, then faces its own
decision. Germany and the UK have both strongly backed Ukraine in the war.

Whatever stances the nations opposing nations take, the session is likely
to be a mess. When Indonesia assumed the leadership last December, the G-20
annual parley was regarded mostly as a pleasant interlude for the world’s
government leaders to convene to bloviate about issues related to the
global economy such as sustainable development and financial stability in a
pleasant location. Indeed, Indonesian officials were looking forward to an
agenda on the “Global Health Architecture, Sustainable Energy Transition,
and Digital Transformation.” Now that is secondary. While the G20 may be
focused on economic and not political issues, Russia’s actions, with its
brutal invasion of its neighbor Ukraine, are threatening at least as much
global economic damage as the Covid-19 pandemic.

But like most major emerging economies, the government has tried to
maintain a neutral position on the Ukraine invasion. Jokowi, as the
president is universally known, responded to a request from Zelenskyy by
saying Indonesia would offer humanitarian aid.

He has publicly called for an immediate end to hostilities and stressed the
need for a "peaceful solution” and did so recently in a phone call with
Japanese premier Fumio Kishida

"An infringement on sovereignty and territorial integrity through the use
of force and intimidation, as well as an attempt to unilaterally change the
status quo by force, are unacceptable in any region," he was reported as
saying.

The Ukrainian ambassador in Jakarta said the economic impact of Western
sanctions on Russia and supply chain cuts were important issues facing the
global economy.

Wang said that since the beginning of this year, Chinese President Xi
Jinping and Jokowi Widodo have held two telephone talks and recorded an
“important consensus.”

*Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat **is a lecturer at Universitas Islam Indonesia*

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