Values and norms do and must guide what questions we ask, but they cannot be
allowed to influence our scientific answers.

Scientific papers should contain empirical statements and not value-based
judgments.


On Sat, Jul 23, 2011 at 4:44 PM, Jerome Whitington <
[email protected]> wrote:

> Hi All -
>
> Forgive me for joining in - I am a newcomer on this list.
>
> Georges Canguilhem, who analyzed the French medical sciences, argued that
> the objectivity of medicine in fact requires its normative component.
> Research is not only motivated by goals like curing disease, but is
> organized toward those aims in all its detail. He shows that the positive
> agenda of a non-normative physiology, which sought to build up an
> understanding of normal functions in their totality, remained an allusive
> dream. But for Canguilhem this normative dimension hardly undermines
> medicine's claim to objectivity - on the contrary. The science of the normal
> body needs pathology in order to exist.
>
> It strikes me that ecological sciences also have an undeniable clinical
> aspect, at least in a great many research contexts. It is not only that we
> are motivated by goals of repairing the earth - or even just making
> policy-relevant conclusions - but that the research is actually organized in
> such a way. The normative dimension is inescapable, but this doesn't mean
> the methodological basis of research isn't robust. Like medicine, climate
> science implies intervention, and our understanding of climate would be
> hardly as developed were it not so.
>
> Incidentally, Canguilhem attributed this polarized condition of normative
> judgment as an essential element of life itself. Living bodies inherently
> are involved in polarized judgments - inside versus outside, up versus down,
> pain versus pleasure. If life is this normative activity, it means that
> disease is not a strictly objective condition (say, loss of funtionality),
> but also a 'subjective' judgment about that condition (that the loss of
> function is bad). This also helps clarify why people use medical sciences to
> manipulate their bodies in unconventional ways (augmentation, performance
> enhancing drugs). And of course these sciences are also organized around
> normative goals.
>
> Regards,
> Jerome Whitington
> Dartmouth College / NUS
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Fri, Jul 22, 2011 at 6:08 PM, John Nissen <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>> Hi Ken,
>>
>> You take a fundamentally different view of the Earth System and
>> geoengineering.  I see the Earth System as in an extremely precarious state
>> and geoengineering as absolutely necessary to nudge the system back into a
>> state that allows continued habitation of the planet by ourselves and our
>> offspring.  Do you really think that we can survive the century simply by
>> reducing carbon emissions?  If we wait for some dramatic event, like
>> disappearance of Arctic sea ice, as an "emergency" sufficient to justify
>> geoengineering, don't we risk leaving geoengineering too late?
>>
>> For me, geoengineering is like chemotherapy when a vital organ has cancer,
>> or like fire-fighting when parts of the burning building contain
>> explosives.  You start tackling the problem as quickly as you possibly can,
>> concentrating on the critical parts.
>>
>> John
>>
>> ---
>>
>>
>> On Fri, Jul 22, 2011 at 4:02 PM, Ken Caldeira <[email protected]>wrote:
>>
>>> Two points:
>>>
>>> I am not opposed to scientists making prescriptive statements in their
>>> roles as citizens.
>>>
>>> However, I am opposed to prescriptive statements (statements about what
>>> we should do) in peer-reviewed scientific papers.
>>>
>>> I think science is about establishing objective facts about the world. As
>>> citizens, we take these facts and our values and make judgments about what
>>> we should do.
>>>
>>> I am 100% in favor of Jim Hansen making prescriptive statements. I would
>>> just prefer that he not do it in the context of a peer-reviewed scientific
>>> paper.
>>>
>>> Science cannot tell us what to do. It can give us information which we
>>> can use to make decisions.
>>>
>>> If the science gets mixed up with politics in peer-reviewed scientific
>>> publications, I think it ends up weakening the credibility of the entire
>>> scientific publication process (since statements whose truth value cannot be
>>> empirically established are obviously getting past reviewers).
>>>
>>> I should say that the worst in this respect are the economists, who
>>> insist that they should be regarded as a science while simultaneously trying
>>> to tell us what we should be doing.
>>>
>>> ---
>>>
>>> On deployment of some sort of solar reflection system:  all of our model
>>> results indicate that a high co2 world with deflection of some sunlight
>>> would be more similar to a low co2 world than is a high co2 world without
>>> deflection of sunlight.
>>>
>>> So, do I think that direct environmental damage from greenhouse gases
>>> could be diminished by deploying such a system?  Yes, probably although I am
>>> not 100% certain of this.
>>>
>>> Do I think near-term deployment will reduce overall risk and improve
>>> long-term well-being? Of this I am less certain, as it is hard to predict
>>> the various sociopolitical, as well as environmental, repercussions that
>>> might occur.
>>>
>>> Ken Caldeira
>>> [email protected]
>>> +1 650 704 7212
>>> http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab
>>>
>>> Sent from a limited-typing keyboard
>>>
>>> On Jul 22, 2011, at 16:38, John Nissen <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Dear Ken,
>>>
>>> I've already looked at this interesting paper [1], from Jim Hansen and
>>> Mikiko Sato - but I'd not read before of his conjecture about rate of ice
>>> mass loss doubling per decade, producing many metres of sea level rise this
>>> century.  But the implication is that the situation can be saved simply by
>>> reducing fossil fuel emissions!  Is that the prescription that you are
>>> complaining about?  Wouldn't a well-considered prescription be welcome from
>>> somebody as eminent as Prof Hansen?  Geoengineering for example!  I don't
>>> see a way out of our predicament without it.  Do you, Ken?
>>>
>>> Does Hansen accept that 90% sea ice could be gone as soon as at end
>>> summer 2016? (BTW, I've another reference to this date we've been arguing
>>> about [2].)
>>>
>>> Hansen seems to dismiss methane as always producing less forcing than
>>> CO2:
>>>
>>> "*This sensitivity has the merit that CO2 is the principal GHG forcing
>>> and perhaps the only one with good prospects for quantification of its
>>> long-term changes.*" (page 15)
>>>
>>> However the paper is relevant to the methane issue in several ways.  One
>>> argument, which I've heard from Jeff Ridley, is that there is no sign of a
>>> methane excursion at previous interglacials* such as end-Eemian, when it was
>>> hotter, so we don't need to worry about having an excursion now.  Hansen
>>> shows that it was never hotter than it is now (in Holocene) by more than one
>>> degree.
>>>
>>> Elsewhere Hansen points out that the current rate of global warming is
>>> much higher than it has been for millions of years.  Andrew Lockley suggests
>>> it's higher than even it was at the PETM some 55.8 million years ago, when
>>> temperatures rose about 6 C [3].  That rate of change is important, because
>>> of methane's short lifetime.  The increasing speed of change implied by
>>> Hansen's climate sensitivity is thus relevant to methane.
>>>
>>> A further way that the paper is relevant to methane is because of climate
>>> sensitivity to radiative forcing.  The paper suggests various alternative
>>> values that could be taken - see [1] table 1.   If we get over 2 W/m-2 from
>>> methane, then that certainly takes us over the danger line of 2 degrees
>>> global warming, using his argument.
>>>
>>> Cheers,
>>>
>>> John
>>>
>>> * During the past 800,000 years, methane never rose much above 700 ppb
>>> until recently, see [1] figure 2
>>>
>>> [1] Full paper <http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1105/1105.0968.pdf>
>>> http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1105/1105.0968.pdf
>>>
>>> Abstract here:
>>>  <http://arxiv.org/abs/1105.0968v3>http://arxiv.org/abs/1105.0968v3
>>>
>>> [2] <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-13002706>
>>> http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-13002706
>>>
>>> [3]
>>> <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene%E2%80%93Eocene_Thermal_Maximum>
>>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene%E2%80%93Eocene_Thermal_Maximum
>>>
>>> ---
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jul 21, 2011 at 11:07 PM, Emily < <[email protected]>
>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Hi,
>>>>
>>>> here is a recent paper from Jim Hansen,including some figures I've read
>>>> before, which stunned me:
>>>>
>>>> "In the early Pliocene global temperature was no more than 1-2°C warmer
>>>> than today, yet sea level was 15-25 meters (50-80 feet) higher."
>>>>
>>>> best wishes,
>>>>
>>>> Emily.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> *Paleoclimate Implications: Accepted Paper and 'Popular Science'*
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> "Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change" has been
>>>> reviewed, revised in response to the referee's suggestions, and accepted
>>>> for publication in "Climate Change at the Eve of the Second Decade of
>>>> the Century: Inferences from Paleoclimate and Regional Aspects:
>>>> Proceedings of Milutin Milankovitch 130th Anniversary Symposium" (Eds.
>>>> A. Berger, F. Mesinger and D Šijački), Springer.
>>>>
>>>> This final version has also been published in arXiv:1105.0968v3
>>>> [physics.ao-ph]
>>>> <<http://columbia.us1.list-manage.com/track/click?u=0ebaeb14fdbf5dc65289113c1&id=fbefcc8464&e=60a7483168>
>>>> http://columbia.us1.list-manage.com/track/click?u=0ebaeb14fdbf5dc65289113c1&id=fbefcc8464&e=60a7483168
>>>> >
>>>>
>>>> A__'popular science' summary
>>>> <<http://columbia.us1.list-manage.com/track/click?u=0ebaeb14fdbf5dc65289113c1&id=d3b93e0894&e=60a7483168>
>>>> http://columbia.us1.list-manage.com/track/click?u=0ebaeb14fdbf5dc65289113c1&id=d3b93e0894&e=60a7483168
>>>> >
>>>> of the paper, intended for lay audience, is available.
>>>>
>>>> Thanks especially to reviewer Dana Royer for helpful comments,
>>>> foundations and NASA program managers for research support, and a number
>>>> of people for comments on an early draft of the paper, as delineated in
>>>> the acknowledgements.
>>>>
>>>> Jim Hansen
>>>>
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>>>>
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>
>
>
>

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