Hi Stephen--Not at all--I am just saying that the meteorological situation
is also a very important factor to consider.

Mike



On 6/5/12 6:10 AM, "Stephen Salter" <[email protected]> wrote:

>   Mike
> 
> Both diffusion and oxidation are involved.  Are you saying that methane
> released from the Arctic does not get oxidised?
> 
> Stephen
> 
> Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
> Institute for Energy Systems
> School of Engineering
> Mayfield Road
> University of Edinburgh EH9  3JL
> Scotland
> Tel +44 131 650 5704
> Mobile 07795 203 195
> www.see.ed.ac.uk/~shs
> 
> 
> On 04/06/2012 14:46, Mike MacCracken wrote:
>> Hi Stephen--I think there is a simpler explanation, and that is that the
>> planetary boundary layer is shallow due to the typical inversion, so CO2
>> tends to build up near the ground during the non-growing season. My guess is
>> that the late summer values also tend to be a bit lower than Mauna Loa due
>> to the CO2 being pulled out from a thinner layer (you see a much larger
>> seasonal variation in high latitude CO2 than at Mauna Loa).
>> 
>> Mike
>> 
>> 
>> On 6/4/12 6:30 AM, "Stephen Salter"<[email protected]>  wrote:
>> 
>>>    Hi All
>>> 
>>> There are not many large coal-fired power stations in the Arctic and so
>>> the question arises about where this extra CO2 in the Arctic has come
>>> from.  One possibility is that it is the product of methane
>>> decomposition and would be in line with the report to this group from
>>> Greg Rau of 22 May.
>>> 
>>> We know that the atmosphere weighs about 5 E18 kilograms.  If we know
>>> the plan area represented by the observing stations and the decay rate
>>> of methane to CO2 we could get an approximate figure for the mass of
>>> methane causing the rise in CO2.  We could then compare this with the
>>> scary rate of methane increase reported by Semiletov and Shakhova.
>>> 
>>> Stephen
>>> 
>>> 
>>> Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
>>> Institute for Energy Systems
>>> School of Engineering
>>> Mayfield Road
>>> University of Edinburgh EH9  3JL
>>> Scotland
>>> Tel +44 131 650 5704
>>> Mobile 07795 203 195
>>> www.see.ed.ac.uk/~shs
>>> 
>>> 
>>> On 02/06/2012 17:41, Rau, Greg wrote:
>>>> Greenhouse gas levels pass symbolic 400ppm CO2 milestone
>>>> Monitoring stations in the Arctic detect record levels of carbon dioxide,
>>>> higher than ever above 'safe' 350ppm mark
>>>> Associated Press
>>>> guardian.co.uk, Friday 1 June 2012 07.50 EDT
>>>> 
>>>> The Arctic Ocean with leads and cracks in the ice cover of north of Alaska.
>>>> Photograph: Courtesy Eric Kort/Jet Propulsion Laboratory/NASA
>>>> The world's air has reached what scientists call a troubling new milestone
>>>> for carbon dioxide, the main global warming pollutant.
>>>> 
>>>> Monitoring stations across the Arctic this spring are measuring more than
>>>> 400
>>>> parts per million of the heat-trapping gas in the atmosphere. The number
>>>> isn't quite a surprise, because it's been rising at an accelerating pace.
>>>> 
>>>> Years ago, it passed the 350ppm mark that many scientists say is the
>>>> highest
>>>> safe level for carbon dioxide. It now stands globally at 395.
>>>> 
>>>> So far, only the Arctic has reached that 400 level, but the rest of the
>>>> world
>>>> will follow soon.
>>>> 
>>>> "The fact that it's 400 is significant," said Jim Butler, the global
>>>> monitoring director at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
>>>> Administration's
>>>> Earth System Research Lab. "It's just a reminder to everybody that we
>>>> haven't
>>>> fixed this, and we're still in trouble."
>>>> 
>>>> "The news today, that some stations have measured concentrations above
>>>> 400ppm
>>>> in the atmosphere, is further evidence that the world's political leaders ­
>>>> with a few honourable exceptions ­ are failing catastrophically to address
>>>> the climate crisis," former vice president Al Gore, the highest-profile
>>>> campaigner against global warming, said in an email. "History will not
>>>> understand or forgive them."
>>>> 
>>>> Carbon dioxide is the chief greenhouse gas and stays in the atmosphere for
>>>> 100 years. Some carbon dioxide is natural, mainly from decomposing dead
>>>> plants and animals. Before the industrial age, levels were around 275 parts
>>>> per million.
>>>> 
>>>> For more than 60 years, readings have been in the 300s, except in urban
>>>> areas, where levels are skewed. The burning of fossil fuels, such as coal
>>>> for
>>>> electricity and oil for gasoline, has caused the overwhelming bulk of the
>>>> man-made increase in carbon in the air, scientists say.
>>>> 
>>>> It's been at least 800,000 years ­ probably more ­ since Earth saw carbon
>>>> dioxide levels in the 400s, Butler and other climate scientists said.
>>>> 
>>>> Readings are coming in at 400 and higher all over the Arctic. They've been
>>>> recorded in Alaska, Greenland, Norway, Iceland and even Mongolia. But
>>>> levels
>>>> change with the seasons and will drop a bit in the summer, when plants suck
>>>> up carbon dioxide, NOAA scientists said.
>>>> 
>>>> So the yearly average for those northern stations likely will be lower and
>>>> so
>>>> will the global number.
>>>> 
>>>> "It's an important threshold," said the Carnegie Institution ecologist
>>>> Chris
>>>> Field, a scientist who helps lead the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental
>>>> Panel on Climate Change. "It is an indication that we're in a different
>>>> world."
>>>> 
>>>> Ronald Prinn, an atmospheric sciences professor at the Massachusetts
>>>> Institute of Technology, said 400 is more a psychological milestone than a
>>>> scientific one. We think in hundreds, and "we're poking our heads above
>>>> 400,"
>>>> he said.
>>>> 
>>>> Tans said the readings show how much the Earth's atmosphere and its climate
>>>> are being affected by humans. Global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil
>>>> fuels hit a record high of 34.8 billion tonnes in 2011, up 3.2%, the
>>>> International Energy Agency announced last week.
>>>> 
>>>> The agency said it's becoming unlikely that the world can achieve the
>>>> European goal of limiting global warming to just 2 degrees based on
>>>> increasing pollution and greenhouse gas levels.
>>>> 
>> 
>> 


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