Brian etal: Few notes below.
On Jan 19, 2014, at 11:52 AM, Brian Cartwright <[email protected]> wrote: > Thanks, John, for the response. I'm also an advocate of boosting soil carbon > with biochar but let me add a couple of comments. > > As Ron Larsen points out, biochar brings benefits for atmosphere, soil and > energy. These should all contribute to providing incentives for its use. In > the soil area, it is hardly the only method for sequestering carbon, though. > You mention the damage done by chemical inputs in agriculture; a carbon-smart > agriculture would use soil biota to exchange and fix nutrients from soil and > atmosphere with the result of immense soil C sequestration. Improvements > could also result from reversing deforestation and grasslands > desertification. These are all essential parts of restoring soil carbon > worldwide and they receive virtually no scientific attention or funding. [RWL: Re first sentence - if the metric is only atmosphere, soil carbon will lose out. The energy aspect is pretty important, but less so than soils. Agree on the funding (especially in US), but I can’t keep up with the technical paper per day pace of scientific literature for biochar. See the statistics at http://www.biochar-international.org/biblio , 372 in 2013 and that will increase a bit. > > So the situation calls for wide-ranging research, policy discussion,education > and even agitation. That is the social change that I urge and support, > because methods of restoring soil carbon are generally also methods that > strengthen local ecological resilience and restore landscapes. The potential > then exists for people to feel hopeful about taking action. When you say that > "social change does not come into this" except to reassure the public, I > would ask, don't we have to challenge the prevailing wisdom about what needs > to be done to truly reverse climate change? [RWL: We better be careful, though. I see the “prevailing wisdom” moving in the direction you (and I) desire. I’m thinking of the rumor that the IPCC will soon be calling for CDR (in Vol III of AR5). Ron > > Brian > > On Sunday, January 19, 2014 7:56:42 AM UTC-5, John Nissen wrote: > Hi Brian, > > The debate between David Keith and Clive Hamilton seems sterile. > > Plan A, the agreed-upon best scenario, simply won't work to prevent at least > 4 degrees warming. Arguably the "carbon budget", touted in AR5, has been > spent or very nearly spent already. See this short video from David Wasdell > [1] for example. > > Thus the only way to prevent catastrophic warming and catastrophic ocean > acidification is by removing CO2 faster than we are putting CO2 into the > atmosphere. There is no option but to applying CDR geoengineering. The > timescale on acidification may be as little as two decades to get CO2 below > 350 ppm and prevent the ocean from becoming too acidic. A target of two > decades may also be required to keep the future CO2 warming trajectory below > 1.5 degrees C (considerably safer than 2 degrees). > > On top of this we have to cool the Arctic with SRM geoengineering, otherwise > the albedo loss and methane forcing are liable to send global warming and > climate change towards intolerable extremes. There is evidence that Arctic > amplification is already causing an increase in weather extremes through > disruption of the jet stream [2]. > > Thus Plan B has to involve both CDR and SRM. > > Note that social change does not come into this - except we need to explain > to people that geoengineering is not some bad-dream sci-fi dangerous stuff, > but practical measures, generally based on processes that occur naturally in > nature, either mimicked or boosted. These measures often have extremely > beneficial effects, for example putting carbon in soil as biochar can boost > crops and reduce requirement for artificial fertilizer - a big contributor of > CO2 to the atmosphere. Cloud brightening can reduce sea surface temperature > and thereby reduce strength of hurricanes and restore fishing grounds and > marine habitats. > > This is where both David Keith and Clive Hamilton could really help: by > explaining to people, in a calm and considered way, the true situation and > what can to be done about it with their moral support. > > Cheers, John > > [1] http://www.youtube.com/embed/-Fru6Df3Efk > > [2] http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n1/full/nclimate2065.html > > > > On Sat, Jan 18, 2014 at 2:54 PM, Brian Cartwright <[email protected]> > wrote: > > > On Friday, January 17, 2014 4:23:25 PM UTC-5, Keith Henson wrote: > "Social change" means to the advocates enforcing what they see as > frugal morality on people, though, of course, never on the advocates. > We on the technical fix side tend in the direction of letting people > do fairly much whatever they want, Hummers, frequent air flights and > all, as long as we can provide the energy and ecological support to > let it happen. > > [snipped] > > Yes, in this context "social change" means cutting back emissions and > promoting alternative energy, and there may be components of "frugal > morality" in that campaign. In the David vs. Clive debate, that "social > change" is, shall we say, the unspoken Plan A, the agreed-upon best scenario. > My question is, how does geoengineering, in this case SRM, get pushed > forward as Plan B? Is there no better Plan B? > > Briefly, there is: the imbalance of the global carbon cycle comes partly from > the pumping of CO2 emissions from fossil fuels, but equally from depletion of > global soil carbon. And unlike SRM, restoring soil carbon not only has no > harmful side-effects, but offers manifold benefits. Isn't it puzzling that > this debate is even taking place? > > Brian > > > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "geoengineering" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "geoengineering" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.
