Hi All,

It seems like we are reaching a tipping point; solutions that could alleviate 
quickly the direct consequences of that high temperature are expecting.

Dr Salif Koné,
Malian National School of Engineers

Sent from my iPhone

> On 18 Apr 2016, at 17:40, Greg Rau <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Thanks, Stephen, that's a wonderful segway for our negative emissions H2:
> http://www.pnas.org/content/110/25/10095.full
> http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.est.5b00875
> Happy to provide all of the supergreen H2 you need (for a price).
> 
> As for H2 aircraft and the landing problem, how about zeppelins? I know that 
> Hindenberg incident over here last century didn't help this technology (the 
> Led Zepplin album cover (not to mention what as inside) influenced an entire 
> generation), but why not put H2 to use both for lift and for propulsion? 
> Zepplins would also seem to satisfy Prof. Northcott's desire for more 
> civilized travel (his Action Item 11 below).
> 
> Then there is Plan C - rockets. Rockets can use H2 as fuel, and Mr. Musk has 
> now demonstrated the soft vertical landing of such.  Was that landing on a 
> rolling barge in the open ocean the most amazing engineering feat ever, or is 
> it just me? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8Ij4FwO0nI  
> 
> Regards,
> Greg
> 
> 
> From: Stephen Salter <[email protected]>
> To: [email protected] 
> Sent: Monday, April 18, 2016 2:23 AM
> Subject: Re: [geo] March temperature smashes 100-year global record
> 
> Hi All
> One more possible option would be to use hydrogen for aircraft fuel.  It has 
> a great weight advantage but also a severe volume disadvantage.  This could 
> be partly overcome if we remove the landing gear and have planes landing on 
> ground vehicles.The landing gear on an Airbus 380 weighs the same as 200 
> passengers and their luggage.
> A note with sketches is attached. 
> Stephen
> Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design. School of Engineering, University 
> of Edinburgh, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh EH9 3DW, Scotland [email protected], 
> Tel +44 (0)131 650 5704, Cell 07795 203 195, WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs, 
> YouTube Jamie Taylor Power for Change
>> On 18/04/2016 06:38, Greg Rau wrote:
>> Dear Michael,
>> Yes, we need "moral alternatives to the present madness", but just in case 
>> all of those suggested aren't adopted in the next few decades it would seem 
>> immoral not to at least hope for additional options just in case 1-11 don't 
>> pan out in time.  As for crossing the the "large scale", "totalitarian" and 
>> "public debt"  thresholds, something tells me that it's going to take some 
>> very large scale, draconian implementation to execute 1-11 in the dwindling 
>> time remaining, and many of these activities will require capital and 
>> investment from somewhere. 
>> Meanwhile, natural CDR seems to be doing a good job consuming more than half 
>> of our CO2 emissions and actually reversing the air CO2 rise for a period 
>> each year*.  So given this positive example and the task we face, how 
>> immoral might it be to see if there are safe and cost effectively ways to 
>> increase or add to this natural CO2 uptake process just in case our journey 
>> on more virtuous paths to a stable planet proves to take longer than 
>> demanded by the recently lowered and oh so moral 1.5 Deg C warming limit?
>> 
>> *https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/wp-content/plugins/sio-bluemoon/graphs/mlo_two_years.pdf
>> 
>> Regards,
>> Greg
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> From: NORTHCOTT Michael <[email protected]>
>> To: "[email protected]"                     
>> <[email protected]> 
>> Cc: "[email protected]" <[email protected]>; "[email protected]" 
>> <[email protected]>; Greg Rau <[email protected]>; James 
>> Hansen <[email protected]>; P. Wadhams <[email protected]>; John Topping 
>> <[email protected]>; Robert Corell <[email protected]>; Peter R 
>> Carter <[email protected]>
>> Sent: Sunday, April 17, 2016 12:25 PM
>> Subject: Re: [geo] March temperature smashes 100-year global record
>> 
>> Hi John
>> 
>> The course of action to slow the rate of warming (it is 0.1 degree per 
>> decade not 0.2) and ultimately to stop it requires all of the following. 
>> Young people and climate activists the world over are calling for these 
>> things and campaigning actively and at cost of their freedom sometimes to 
>> bring them about:
>> 
>> 1. Ending tropical forest burning
>> 2. Stopping building of new coal and oil fired power stations (Turkey and 
>> India and S Africa are planning 100s) and ending coal extraction by China, 
>> Indonesia, and even Australia, Germany US and UK who have no conceivable 
>> need to continue extracting the stuff given the wealth already at the 
>> disposal of their citizens and corporations 
>> 3. Closing existing coal and oil fired electric power plants
>> 4. Reforesting uplands, reducing sheep grazing, and increasing uptake of co2 
>> in agric land with biochar, compost etc
>> 5. Ending expansion of air sea and road travel and moving all road and sea 
>> travel to electric vehicles and wind. Rationing air travel to gradually 
>> shift international and national travellers to other means. 
>> 6. Moving all electricity production to renewable power and battery / 
>> reservoir storage of back up power. 
>> 7. Reengineering older buildings with insulation. 
>> 8. Requiring all new builds to generate own power and be zero carbon
>> 9. Reducing shipping and flying of food by favouring local over global food 
>> production.
>> 10. Ending large scale animal husbandry and moving mainstream human protein 
>> requirements to beans, vegetables etc. 
>> 11. Favour pedestrians, cyclists and electric bikes, segways, electric 
>> wheelchairs etc in all city planning and movement infrastructure 
>> 
>> Globally these measures would generate at least a billion of jobs, reduce 
>> deaths from pollution, and reduce health costs of cancers, heart disease, 
>> obesity and air pollution, and reduce concentrations of wealth by putting 
>> capacity to generate power, grow food and move around back in the hands of 
>> householders and local communities. None of them require large scale 
>> totalitarian and public debt-based technologies of the kind represented by 
>> CDR. 
>> 
>> We need moral alternatives to the present madness. We need to argue for them 
>> in every possible forum and embrace them ourselves. Arming the future 
>> against the sun is a counsel of despair. 
>> 
>> Regards
>> 
>> Michael
>> 
>> Professor of Ethics
>> University of Edinburgh 
>> 
>> 
>> On 17 Apr 2016, at 17:10, John Nissen <[email protected]> wrote:
>> 
>>> Dear Professor Mann, 
>>> 
>>> Most of us would like to keep global warming below 1.5C this                
>>>                    century.  But we are way off course.
>>> 
>>> Nobody likes to admit in public that we are already in dangerous territory. 
>>>  But we are!
>>> 
>>> The rate of global warming (near-surface temperature rise) could now exceed 
>>> 0.2 C per decade; CO2 is above 400 ppm (an excess of 120 ppm above 
>>> pre-industrial 280 ppm) of which most will remain this century due to CO2's 
>>> long lifetime in the atmosphere; and we have already had over 1 C 
>>> anthropogenic global warming (AGW).  This means that, even with the most 
>>> drastic cut in CO2 emissions, we cannot avoid an extremely dangerous 3C 
>>> this century without aggressive CO2 removal (CDR).  Indeed, if we want to 
>>> keep AGW below 1.5 C this century and halt ocean acidification, then we 
>>> need to get global warming rate down below 0.05 C per decade, i.e. less 
>>> than a quarter the current rate.  
>>> 
>>> Thus climate forcing has to be reduced by 75% within a decade or two, to 
>>> have a chance to keep below 1.5 C this century.
>>> 
>>> Thus we have to reduce the CO2 level to around 210 ppm (30 ppm above 
>>> pre-industrial 280 ppm), and reduce methane from 1.8 ppm to around 1.0 ppm 
>>> in order to reduce their combined forcing by 75%.  This assumes we maintain 
>>> aerosol cooling, especially the SO2 cooling from coal-fired power stations. 
>>>   
>>> 
>>> This is exacerbated by climate forcing from the Arctic, at around 0.5 W/m2 
>>> and rising exponentially as albedo loss accelerates.
>>> 
>>> Therefore, in addition to urgent CO2 emissions reduction, we need (i) 
>>> aggressive CDR so that CO2 is soon being removed from the atmosphere faster 
>>> than than it is being emitted, (ii) suppression of methane emissions, 
>>> especially fugitive methane (iii) rapid cooling of the Arctic to restore 
>>> albedo, and (iv) maintenance of SO2 aerosol cooling, if global warming is 
>>> to be kept below 1.5 C this century.  
>>> 
>>> Do you agree or can you suggest an alternative course of action to avert 
>>> extreme danger?
>>> 
>>> Kind regards,
>>> 
>>> John Nissen
>>> Chair, Arctic Methane Emergency Group (AMEG)
>>> 
>>> 
>>> On Sun, Apr 17, 2016 at 3:22 AM, Greg Rau <[email protected]> wrote:
>>> 
>>>> http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/apr/15/march-temperature-smashes-100-year-global-record
>>> "The UK Met Office expects 2016 to set a new record, meaning the global 
>>> temperature record is set to have been broken for three years in a row.
>>> Prof Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Penn State University in the US, 
>>> responded to the March data by saying: “Wow. I continue to be shocked by 
>>> what we are seeing.” He said the world had now been hovering close to the 
>>> threshold of “dangerous” warming for two months, something not seen before.
>>> “The [new data] is a reminder of how perilously close we now are to 
>>> permanently crossing into dangerous territory,” Mann said. “It underscores 
>>> the urgency of reducing global carbon emissions.”
>>> GR - and the need to seriously consider additional ways of managing CO2 and 
>>> climate.
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>> 
>> The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in
>> Scotland, with registration number SC005336.
>> 
>> 
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