Dear Gideon,
A nuclear war would be orders of magnitude worse than any impacts of SAI
or termination. Soot from fires ignited by nuclear attacks on cities
and industrial areas would last for many years, and would overwhelm any
impacts from shorter lived sulfate aerosols. Of course the impacts
depend on how much soot, but a war between the US and Russia could
produce a nuclear winter. For more information on our work and the
consequences of nuclear war, please visit
http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/nuclear/
Alan Robock
Alan Robock, Distinguished Professor
Department of Environmental Sciences Phone: +1-848-932-5751
Rutgers University E-mail:
[email protected]
14 College Farm Road http://people.envsci.rutgers.edu/robock
New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551 ☮ https://twitter.com/AlanRobock
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On 7/26/2022 10:03 AM, Gideon Futerman wrote:
As part of the RESILIENCER Project, we are looking at low probability
high impact events and their relation to SRM. One important worry in
this regards becomes termination shock, most importantly what Baum
(2013) calls a "Double Catastrophe" where a global societal collapse
caused by one catastrophe then causes termination shock, another
catastrophe, which may convert the civilisational collapse into a risk
of extinction.
One such initial catastrophe may be nuclear war. Thus, the combination
of SRM and nuclear war may be a significant worry. As such, I am
posing the question to the google group: what would happen if SRM
(either stratospheric or tropospheric- or space based if you want to
go there) was terminated due to a nuclear war? What sort of effects
would you expect to see? Would the combination worsen the effects of
nuclear war or help ameliorate them? How would this differ between SRM
types?
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