https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU23/EGU23-703.html

*Authors*
Temitope Samuel Egbebiyi, Christopher Lennard, Izidine Pinto, Romaric
Odoulami, Piotr Wiolski, Simone Tilmes, and TEMITOPE SAMUEL EGBEBIYI

How to cite: Egbebiyi, T. S., Lennard, C., Pinto, I., Odoulami, R.,
Wiolski, P., Tilmes, S., and EGBEBIYI, T. S.: How will Solar Radiation
Modification affect Cropland Suitability in West Africa?, EGU General
Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-703,
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-703, 2023.

*Abstract*
Cropland suitability, a process of evaluating the capability of a piece of
land in relation to the growing conditions of a given crop, is highly
essential for agricultural planning. Projected changes in the future
climate are expected to significantly affect the agricultural sector,
notably agricultural production which include cropland suitability.
Although, previous studies have shown Solar Radiation Modification (SRM),
which involves the injection of sulfur into the stratosphere to reduce
insolation of the sun and cool the planet, could mitigate the impact of
climate change (hereafter GHG) on agricultural production, however there is
still a lack of understanding on how Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI)
intervention (an SRM technique) will affect cropland suitability in West
Africa. The present study examines the impact of GHG and SAI on Legumes
(Cowpea, Soyabean and Groundnut) and Root and Tuber (Cassava, Potato and
Yam) suitability and planting season over West Africa. The Stratospheric
Aerosol Geoengineering Large Ensembles (GLENS) simulation for the
historical, GHG and SAI experiments for the period 1980-2009 and 2060-2089.
Ecocrop, a crop suitability model was used to investigate the impact of GHG
and SAI on the over West Africa owing to their economic importance to the
region. Our findings shows while SAI offset the impact of GHG on
temperature it leads to a reduction in rainfall over West Africa. Crop
suitability decreases northwards over the region. SAI intervention will
lead to an increase (over 12%) in highly suitable area for Cassava and
Potato compared to GHG but leads to 3% decrease compared to historical
period. In contrast, SAI results in decrease (6%) in suitable area for
Legumes when compared to GHG impact over West Africa. In addition, SAI
intervention will lead to a 1-2month early planting season for all legumes
crops and Yam over West Africa but delay of about 2months for Cassava and
Potato. The study will assist to improve our understanding on SAI
intervention at mitigating GHG impact on Legumes and Root & Tuber crop
production over West Africa. It will also help inform policy maker in their
decision making of adaptation strategies to ensure food security and zero
hunger and healthy nutrition in West Africa.

EGU General Assembly 2023

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