https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/au.172789535.55031594

*Authors*
Athar Hussain,Muhammad Ali Khan,Hassaan Sipra

*Cite as*: Athar Hussain, Muhammad Ali Khan, Hassaan Sipra. Impacts of
Solar Geoengineering on Projected Climate of South Asia. ESS Open Archive .
October 02, 2024.
DOI: 10.22541/au.172789535.55031594/v1

*Abstract*
The Solar Geoengineering (SG) is an interim solution to combat global
warming, which involves scattering back a tiny fraction of the incoming
sunlight. Hence, SG and its potential impacts are important to study for
the identification of changing weather patterns over regions of climate
vulnerable South Asia. This study explores the projected spatio-temporal
patterns of two meteorological parameters, temperature, and precipitation,
under SG numerical experiment (stratospheric aerosol injection), relative
to projected climate change. Furthermore, future projections of same
meteorological parameters without SG under a representative concentration
pathway (RCP 4.5) will also be studied for comparative analysis. Offsetting
climate parameters are associated with multiple risk factors. Thus, Both SG
and non-SG scenarios will be studied for the future time period. The
results indicate that the temperature reduces by -0.62 °C under the SG G4
scenario and spatial distribution patterns of temperature also depicts an
overall cooling effects during the G4 implementation (2020-2029) and
continuation (2030-2069) phase. Moreover, on a regional scale, a cold bias
(less severe) is projected as compared to projected climate under RCP 4.5.
Our findings show that, precipitation is also projected to be decreased by
-0.02 mmday-1. Dry bias pattern is projected during implementation phase
only. The G4 based SG continuation and termination (2070-2090) phases
depict no drastic change in precipitation over South Asia.

*Source: Authorea*

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