https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-5915/

*Authors: *Katharina Perny, Timofei Sukhodolov, Ales Kuchar, Pavle
Arsenovic, Bernadette Rosati, Christoph Brühl, Sandip S. Dhomse, Andrin
Jörimann, Anton Laakso, Graham Mann, Ulrike Niemeier, Giovanni Pitari,
Ilaria Quaglia, Takashi Sekiya, Kengo Sudo, Claudia Timmreck, Simone
Tilmes, Daniele Visioni, and Harald E. Rieder

*05 December 2025*

*Abstract*
Some major volcanic eruptions, such as the one of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991, can
inject large amounts of sulfur dioxide (SO2) into the stratosphere, leading
to a volcanic aerosol cloud. This dense aerosol cloud induces a radiative
heating of the stratosphere, causing ozone and water vapour changes,
thereby altering middle atmospheric dynamics and chemistry. The scale of
these impacts for varying injection amounts and heights on stratospheric
temperature anomalies is still highly uncertain. Here we analyse specially
designed chemistry-climate model experiments following the Historical
Eruptions SO2 Emission Assessment Protocol (HErSEA) under the Interactive
Stratospheric Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (ISA-MIP). The results
confirm our general understanding of the stratospheric aerosol forcing due
to extra SO2 injection, while simultaneously highlighting structural
differences between models. Overall, for the Pinatubo-like experiments the
multi-model mean temperature anomalies agree well with meteorological
reanalyses data sets, and we find that in most cases, differences between
models are larger than differences for individual models across experiments
with varying injection amounts and altitudes. Differences in transport,
radiative transfer, and microphysics as well as the characterization of
aerosol size distributions play a crucial role for the emergence of the
spread in the modelled temperature response. Our results show further, that
the sensitivity of the stratospheric temperature response to model
selection is also apparent in other MIPs. Hence, we argue for caution in
attribution studies and the interpretation of stratospheric aerosol
injection experiments relying on individual or few models.

*Source: EGUsphere*

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