At 04:25 PM 10/8/2006, Tom Adams wrote:

>I am trying to better understand climate impact prediction.


You might want to take a look at the US National Assessment
of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and
Change.  The following commentary contains a link to this report:

http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/index.php/csw/details/vanishing-na-part1/



The "Vanishing" National Climate Change Assessment, Part 1: The Administration

Posted on Sunday, October 08, 2006

An October 3 story in Greenwire on the continuing controversy over 
the administration's actions to bury the first National Assessment of 
the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change quotes 
Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute as saying: "To 
the extent that it has vanished, we have succeeded." Here we clarify 
a few points about the actions of the administration to make the 
National Assessment "vanish".

See our 
<http://www.climatesciencewatch.org/index.php/csw/details/greenwire-national-assessment/>October
 
4 post for an annotated version of some key parts of the October 3 
Greenwire article, "Finger-pointing persists over White House's 
handling of 2000 report." The Greenwire story left a few points 
calling for clarification and further explanation.  In this post we 
will comment on the actions of Bush administration political 
officials in burying the National Assessment.  In a companion post we 
will comment on the role in this affair of the Competitive Enterprise 
Institute, acting on behalf of the global warming denial machine.

The context, briefly:

The <http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/nacc/default.htm>National 
Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and 
Change was developed in the 1998-2000 timeframe by a distinguished 
synthesis team made up of leading scientists and other experts, as 
well as hundreds of other scientists and experts who produced a large 
set of regional and sectoral reports, drawing on comunication with 
stakeholders and policymakers around the country. The National 
Assessment, supported by the federal government but scientifically 
independent, remains the most comprehensive and authoritative 
scientifically based assessment to date of the potential consequences 
of climate change for the United States. The reports looked at 
projected climate change resulting from human activities and 
identified a range of likely adverse societal and environmental consequences.

<snip - see link for complete commentary>



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