> http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-op-chait25mar25,0,3...

The two surveys are available here:

http://www.envsci.rutgers.edu/~weaver/national_journal_2006_04_01_insiders.pdf

http://syndication.nationaljournal.com/images/203Insiderspoll_NJlogo.pdf

The results are based on 58 Republicans (first poll) and 55
Republicans (second poll).

The difference between the first and second poll therefore amounts to
5 or 6 congress members (10% of 58 or 55).

By far the easiest way to explain the difference is therefore that
said 5 members of congress came from vulnerable seats and lost them in
between the two surveys.

I've got some other minor quibbles. Like, the question asked isn't the
same. In the first survey the word "pollution" is used, where in the
second the word "problem" appears. This may have made a difference to
the answer, and for example might have moved one Democrat to give a
different answer in the second survey (instead of 98% of Democrats
answering with a simple yes, in the second survey it's only 95%).

--------------------

It's not really that helpful to label Republicans denialists, it's
rather divisive and dismissive.

Michael Tobis mentioned that he would have probably answered "Yes it's
a crisis", even though he didn't really think that that's quite the
right way to put it, because, if I understand him right, an answer
"No, it's not a crisis" would be misunderstood.

Likewise, I think many Republicans might conceivably be reluctant to,
with a similar border line question (which hinges on what "beyond
reasonable doubt" means), answer in the affirmative, because they
don't want their position to be misunderstood.

--------------------

It seems a no brainer that people already favourable to CAFE
(Democrats) or nuclear power (Republicans) would prefer the solutions
they happen to like anyway?


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