On Tue, 19 Jun 2007, Tom Adams wrote: > On Jun 19, 5:02 pm, William M Connolley <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >> On Tue, 19 Jun 2007, Coby Beck wrote: >>>> http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2007/2007_Hansen_etal_2.pdf >> >>>> Anyone believe it? >> >>> I believe it, at least the first few pages. Do you? And if not what >>> specifically and why? >> >> I don't think the implication of probable rapid sea-level rise by 2100, from >> analogies with the palaeo record, is supportable. >> >> (thats an answer to mt too). > > I don't think that was his whole argument.
Errrm, what else does he have to say then? > As far as I know from your reply above, you may well be completely > convinced by the physics of albedo, even if you don't think the paleo > record is a slam dunk. > > Also, the physics/earth science of albedo is something to study, > measure, all that. Seems a good scientific paper from the standpoint > of lots of stuff there to try to refute. If you strip out the emotive language, yes. > I assume you are saying the paleo record is ambiguous on the matter? > Or are you saying the evidence points the other way? H seems to be translating absence of discernable lag between ice sheet forcing and sea level rise from the palaeo stuff into a likelihood of 2m of SLR this century. I don't think you get century-scale info out; and anyway the general view os for a ~800 year lag from forcing to response. -W >> >> -W. >> >> William M Connolley | [EMAIL PROTECTED] |http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/met/wmc/ >> Climate Modeller, British Antarctic Survey | 07985 935400 >> >> -- >> This message (and any attachments) is for the recipient only. NERC is >> subject >> to the Freedom of Information Act 2000 and the contents of this email and any >> reply you make may be disclosed by NERC unless it is exempt from release >> under >> the Act. Any material supplied to NERC may be stored in an electronic >> records management system. > > > > William M Connolley | [EMAIL PROTECTED] | http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/met/wmc/ Climate Modeller, British Antarctic Survey | 07985 935400 -- This message (and any attachments) is for the recipient only. NERC is subject to the Freedom of Information Act 2000 and the contents of this email and any reply you make may be disclosed by NERC unless it is exempt from release under the Act. Any material supplied to NERC may be stored in an electronic records management system. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
