Gareth wrote:
>> We're left hoping for a good decision driven by a misunderstanding of
>> the relationship between climate change and extreme weather.
>
> It's only a misunderstanding if the frequency of extreme events
> doesn't change by much. With respect to the 2003 European heatwave, it
> will be a normal summer in 20-30 years. Not an extreme event...
Indeed, it will be normal because you will be used to it (more or less).
And it will still be nowhere near as hot as a current Tokyo summer,
that's for sure!
The summer death toll from hot extremes in the UK has been falling even
as the temperatures have been rising. (I only focus on the UK by virtue
of having seen figures for it.) That doesn't stop people extrapolating
out to future carnage, even before the projected temperature gets
anywhere close to what is typical in Tokyo.
James
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