Probably this question falls in the category of "unknowable" or
"conditions not inconsistent with global warming, but impossible to
show causal relationship."

Nonetheless I'd like to ask the experts here their view on the matter.
Is there a link, do you think, between the "worst fires in living
memory" in Greece and global warming?

I see at least one argument for:

Drought: Southern Greece especially has been suffering from a drought
in recent years. According to a couple of studies I've seen, notably
Thomas Reichler and a co-author, global warming is leading to an
expansion of the tropics, which Reichler specifically linked to
drought in the Mediterranean. http://unews.utah.edu/p/?r=051906-1

I see one argument against:

Some of these fires were apparently started by arsonists. Regardless
of intent, Jon Keeley has shown that in Southern California, the
number of wildfires, even in the backcountry, tracks closely with the
number of people living in the area. Presumably the population in
Greece has been increasing, so perhaps that is as much an underlying
cause as any changes brought about by GW?

Comments, please.


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