On Aug 28, 1:55 am, James Annan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Kit Stolz wrote:
> > Will climate change be perceived as an underlying cause of these
> > fires?
>
> Probably, especially if people talk about it enough. And you can be sure
> that plenty of scientists are at this very minute beavering away doing
> their best to find a connection.
>
> Meanwhile, you may find "harbinger" to be a useful term which maintains
> plausible deniability.
>
> James
Note that this is not a theoretical question for the insurance
industry and for insurance regulators. There is a heck of a debate
right now about the impact of GW on hurricanes and the insurance rates
for the North Carolina coast. The regulators gave a 25% rate
increase this year and the industry wanted 100%.
If an event happens does it increase the probability of similar
events? If you have a wide accepted theory like AGW, then it has to
have an impact on how we answer this question.
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