Emissions: http://sres.ciesin.columbia.edu/final_data.html http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdf http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/emission/index.htm
Stabilization, projections based on emissions sceanrios: http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg1.htm (see summary for policy makers, chapter 10, and references therein.) And today's special, for economists only: http://nordhaus.econ.yale.edu/dice_mss_091107_public.pdf -dl ----- Original Message ----- From: "William Connolley" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Newsgroups: gmane.science.general.global-change To: <[email protected]> Sent: Friday, March 07, 2008 5:02 PM Subject: [Global Change: 2460] Re: Emissions and stabilization of atmospheric CO2 > > Why don't you want the SRES scenarios? > > -William > > On 07/03/2008, LRS <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >> >> We are a team of 3 economists, who are attempting to compute paths of >> sustainable human welfare over many generations. We require some >> simple -- indeed, much simplified -- physically feasible paths of CO2 >> emissions and associated long-run stable levels of atmospheric >> CO2. Ideally, we would like to be able to take three ordered pairs >> 'off the shelf' of climate science, call them (e1,S1), (e2,S2), >> (e*,S*). (e1,S1) is a pair of emissions (e1) and CO2 concentration >> (S1) for the year 2025. (e2,S2) is another such pair for the year >> 2050. And (e*,S*) is a pair that would be stable at 2075 and >> thereafter. >> >> We are not concerned with political or economic feasiblity for this >> question, just physical feasibility. The rest of our model will take >> care of the economic consequences of these choices of (e,S). >> >> Ideally, we would like several regimes of these three ordered pairs, >> with different levels of S* -- e.g, one for S*= 450 ppm CO2e, one for >> S*=550 ppm CO2e, and so on. >> >> We would much appreciate input from climate scientists to help us with >> this question. >> Humberto Llavador, University Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona >> John Roemer, Yale University >> Joaquim Silvestre, Univ of California, Davis >> >> > >> > > > -- > William M. Connolley | www.wmconnolley.org.uk | 07985 935400 > --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
