On Dec 30, 2:20 am, James Annan <[email protected]> wrote:

> it is yet universally accepted. I do think it's plausible we would see
> only about 2C more warming in this century even if emissions continue to
> rise steadily (eg linearly extrapolating the recent rise in forcing),
> but I wouldn't want to bet the farm on it.

Using my arithmetic (check?), CO2 increased at Mauna Loa by 0.850 ppm
per year in the ten years 1960-69, and by 1.875 in the ten years
1999-2008.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
That is more than doubling of the rate of increase in 50 years is not
what I would call a linear, and would mean close to 3 times the pre-
industrial level by 2100.

Cheers, Alastair.

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