Dear Michael,
I suggest that you look at first at the 2002 NAS expert panel review:
Abrupt climate change: inevitable surprises - before posting
nonsense.
As for Broecker 'who is universally known as Wally and has done as
much as anyone to bring the perils of climate change to the world's
attention, sees climate as an animal capable of acting in
unpredictable and violent ways. "If you're living with an angry beast,
you shouldn't poke it with a sharp stick," he says.'
There was a climate shift in 1998/2001 (one of four in the last
hundred years) and a negligible warming trend since - surprise.
Cheers
Robert
On Jan 19, 2:38 am, Michael Tobis <[email protected]> wrote:
> "As an electrical engineer - you surely understand what is implied by
> the idea of climate as a dynamical and complex system."
>
> Weather is a complex dynamical system.
>
> It's not obvious to me that this is a fair characterization of
> **climate**, i.e., the quasi-stationary statistics of weather.
>
> Yes, climate is complicated. Yes, it changes. But the idea that
> climate is chaotic, unpredictable, etc., does not follow and is not
> really well supported by the evidence. Arguing this is a time sink I
> haven't got room for right now, but I think somebody should at least
> stand up and say it.
>
> As always, the argument for more humility in climate science should
> logically lead directly to an argument for more severe vigor in
> emissions regulation (as Broecker, e.g., argues) but as usual that
> seems directly opposite to be the point of our correspondent.
>
> mt
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