Global spot propylene costs move further south

Spot propylene costs continued to lose noticeable ground in global markets
as energy and naphtha markets maintained their bearish trend during the
course of the past week. Consecutive decreases in upstream costs combined
with poor downstream demand led to expectations of further falls while
causing an increasing number of buyers to step out from the market.

NYMEX crude futures contracts for June delivery declined more than
$11/barrel since May started, with $1.81/barrel of this drop occurring
during the past week. Similarly, ICE June Brent crude prices fell more than
$8/barrel since the start of this month, while they lost around $1/barrel
during last week. Facing downwards pressure from the persistently bearish
energy complex, spot naphtha markets inevitably posted additional drops
over the week. In Asia, spot values plummeted $40/ton on a CFR Japan basis
week over week, while prices lost another $15/ton in Europe on CIF NWE
basis. When compared to the end of April, the most recent figures
represented a decrease of $90/ton in both regions.

In Europe, despite some production cutbacks, spot propylene prices plunged
€120/ton on FD NWE basis during last week in tandem with relentless drops
in naphtha feedstock costs and muted buying interest from the downstream PP
market. According to market sources, naphtha supply loosened as the
industry focused on lower cost feedstock, propane, and due to restarting
refineries. Now that spot propylene prices fell by €130/ton since early
May, June monomer contracts in the region are expected to settle lower than
May levels.

In Asia, spot propylene offers decreased by $110/ton on FOB South Korea
basis compared to the previous week, while the cumulative drop with respect
to early May reached $150/ton. Seeing steep losses in the last few weeks,
most buyers preferred to follow a “wait and see” policy in a bid to see a
clearer market scene for the coming weeks.

In the US, spot polymer grade propylene prices recorded a sharp decrease of
9 cents/lb ($198/ton) on DLVD USG basis last week in the midst of a lack of
healthy demand and retreating upstream costs. The recent levels represent a
massive fall of 15.75 cents /lb ($347/ton) with respect to the end of
April. In contrast to initial flat nominations for June, other contract
announcements for polymer grade propylene emerged with drops between 3
cents/lb ($66/ton) to 10 cents/lb ($220/ton).





-- 
CA. Rajesh Desai

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