With scrutiny of nominations complete it is clear that
the candidates  below  will be  the notable contenders
in the fray, the others may withdraw by the 19th May
2005 the last date for withdrawal or lose steam in
pursuing  the high pitched big money electoral battle
at the fag end of electioneering (ending 31st May
2005)
 
11 Taleigao Assembly Constituency  
23 booths
areas of Corporation of City of Panjim Ward Nos: I II
III IV V VI VIII XII   XIV i.e St Inez Camarbhatt
Tonca Caranzalem Govt Quarters Portais Bhatulem etc
electorate 13426 males and 13181 females total 26603
voters excl service and new voters
INC    Atnasio (Babush) Monserate  (ex-UGDP, ex BJP )
BJP    Pradip Nagvekar
 
in the last election  (June 2002 ) the UGDP (Atnasio
(Babush) Monserate ) won the seat 
 
 
in 14  Cumbarjua Assembly Constituency  
31 booths
areas of  Chorao Capao Malar Navelim Goltim Zua
Cumbarjua Gandaulim Bainguinim Ela Corlim Carambolim
etc
electorate 12870 males and 12891 females 25761 total
voters excl service and new voters
INC   Pandurang Madkaikar    (ex MGP ex BJP)
BJP   Krishna Kuttikar       (ex INC)
IND   Nirmala Sawant         (ex INC)
MGP   Vijaykumar Shet         
 
in the last election (June 2002 ) the MGP (Pandurang
Madkaikar) won the seat
 
in 28 Benaulim Assembly Constituency
23 booths
areas Utorda Clata Majorda Betalbatim Nagwado
Sernabattim Vanelim Colva Gandaulim Benaulim Mazilwado
Vasvaddo Pulwado
electorate 11285 males 11590 females total 22875
voters  excl service and new voters
NCP  Francisco (Micky) Pacheco  (ex UGDP ex UGDP (S) 
now also backed by INC alliance partner
UGDP Francisco Monte Cruz (ex INC )
BJP  Premanand Lotlikar  
 
in the last election (June 2002 ) the UGDP (Francisco
(Mickey ) Pacheco won the seat
 
in 30 Margao Assembly Constituency
25 booths
areas Aquem Tlasanzor Tolleaband Aquem Alto Aquem
Baixo Caloconda Sirvodem Sarvodem Colmorod Ratwado
Dando Pedda Comba Murmutti Pajifond Malbhat 
electorate 12565 males 12079 females total 24644
voters excl service and new voters
INC   Digamber Kamat   (ex BJP)
BJP   Sharmad  Raiturkar
 
in the last election (June 2002 ) the BJP  (Digamber
Kamat ) won the seat
 
in 40 Poinguinim Assembly Constituency 
21 booths
areas Ardhophond Talpona Sadolxem Poinguinim Pratagal
Polem Borus  Shelli  Loliem Cotigao Keri  Ponsulemol
Gaondongorim
Shristhal 
electorate 7438 males 7176 females total 14614 voters 
INC  Isidore Fernandes   (ex IND ex BJP ) 
BJP  Ramesh Tawadekar 
 
in the last re-election (Oct 2004) the BJP (Isidore
Fernandes)  won the seat

As things stand it is clear that those 5 MLA's who
have "sacrificed by resigning to bring down the Mr
Manohar Parrikar (BJP + UGDP combine ) Government have
been rewarded by the INC/NCP alliance with a ticket to
contest. 

Resignation and re-election is the new criteria under
the amended "Anti Defection" law in force.

 
The 34 MLAs of the House placed under suspended
animation excluding Mr Filipe Neri Rodrigues (Ind)
whose case of disqualification is  subjudice are as
below: 

Thus after 5th June 2005 counting of votes  there will
be just 39 seats requiring a simple majority of 20 to
form the Government.

*******************************************************
BJP (16)

Mr Manohar Parrikar, Mr Manohar (Babu) Ajgaonkar, Dr
Suresh Amonkar, Mr Francisco D Souza, Mr Ramrao Desai
Mr Dayanand Mandrekar, Mr Vinay Tendolkar, Mr Vishwas
Satarkar, Mr Narhari Haldankar, Mr Damodar Naik ,Mr
Laximikant V Parsekar,  Mr Sadanand Shet, Mr Rajendra
Arlekar,  Mr Rajesh T Patnekar, Mr Vasudeo M Gaonkar
Mr V Pai Khot

UGDP (1)
Mr M Saldhana
Total 16 + 1 =17

*******************************************************
INC 15

Mr Pratapsing Rane, Mr Agnelo Fernandes, Mr Aleixo
Sequeira, Mr Chandrakant Kavlekar, Mr Dayanad
Narvekar, Mr Francisco Sardinha ,Mr Francisco
Silveira,  Mr Giovani Karl Vaz, Mr Harish Zantye, Mr
Jeetendra Desprabhu, Mr Joaquim Braz Alemao, Mr
Luizinho Faleiro, Mr Ravi Naik, Mr Subhash Shirodkar,
Ms Victoria Fernandes

NCP 1
Dr Wilfred De Souza 

MGP 1
Mr Ramkrishna Dhavlikar 

15 + 1 + 1 = 17

*******************************************************

As of date it is the INC + NCP combine which has a
comfortable position given that there is also a 
possibility that the cases filed by the NCP against
Rajendra Arlekar MLA Vasco da Gama also BJP State
President and that of Dayanand Mandrekar MLA Siolim 
for holding an "office of profit" at the last election
June 2002 will go against them reducing the figure of
the BJP strenght to  14.

Now that the BJP has filed their candidates in all the
five constituencies including the Catholic dominated
Benaulim Constituency the options before the voters
are

Does  the voter  wish to put back on the Treasury
benches 

I a)  Mr Manohar Parrikar led Govt who stands for
stability, development of the State and thereby allow
him to complete the unfinished development works in
his agenda until the end of the term May 2007  OR

b)  an INC NCP government who have  a PAST  RECORD OF
instability, multiple Chief Ministerial,   Ministerial
candidates, of veterans more than two times elected
MLA's --- self development and infighting ?

OR II 

Will the communal agenda of the BJP reflected in some
unsavoury   developments --- viz; striking of Good
Friday, St Francis Xavier Feast Holidays, tresspass in
" Paco Patriacal, defacing of name plates at
Fontainhas, desceration of the Masjid at Porvorim and
burning of the church door at Sanguem, communal CD on
freedom struggle act as a deterrent to the voters to
prefer    a lesser   evil viz; corruption,  self
development,  infighting by the elected leaders. 

OR III 

will the uncertainity before the voters of the
permutation and combination post elections 5 June 2005
 result in a status quo, dissolution of the House and
continuation of Presidents Rule .  

Incidentally it is the first time since the elections
were held in 1952 in the country that bye elections
are conducted when the elected members of the
Legislative Assembly are placed under suspended
animation and Presidents Rule is in force.

It may also be of interest to note that the five ex
MLAs who are contesting de novo have staked their
individual prestige rather than party image at the
hustings. This is a development which may not augur
well for the INC NCP party Organisation in the State.
GODFREY J I GONSALVES
BORDA MARGAO GOA 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]






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