In my opinion, this time around the elections seem to be poised in no ones
favour =- a lot of these losses for UPA and NDA might gravitate towards the
third front - however I am sceptical about the 40+ number for the left
front. Though, all kind of post-poll alliances seem to be possible, there
seems to be only one thing for certain - Advani's dream of Prime
ministership  does not look like taking off this time aroundI just got back
from AP and the uncertainty amnongst all fronts there seems fascinating


2009/4/15 damodar prasad <[email protected]>

> http://elections.ndtv.com/frmopinionpoll.aspx
> hope many of you have seen yrday night NDTV election analysis and the
> various permutations and combinations by which any front can hope to form
> the govt. The NDTV insisted on the plausibility of UPA forming the govt.
> with outside support of LF or with inside support of BSP. However, for the
> Congress which still desire to progress in UP someday will not try a
> combinationn with Mayawathi bcoz it may cost them heavily.
>
> The thrid front has a chance to form the govt. if the Congress may support
> it from outside. It may end like farcical repetition of former non-congress
> govt.s, perhaps.
>
> Interestingly, NRam who was in the panel was making two distinct points.
> NRam is perhaps giving a sneak preview of what may happen after May.16.
>
> 1. On Sekhar Gupta's point that post-election, LF, particulalry CPI(M) will
> not go ahead with the idea of scrapping the nuclear deal. It may put forward
> some eye wash statements like some nuanced ammendements in the deal. NRam
> actually underlined this argument. I think journalist should specifically
> ask CPM, GS on LF's position of Nuke deal in the post-poll scenario.
> Pls dont ambush me for this. I am only referring to NDTV analysis.
>
> 2. NRam was very much for Sharad Pawar as PM in the likelihood of 3rd front
> forming the govt. For NRam, the distinguished editor of the the renowned
> daily, the Hindu, Pawar heading the NCP with plausible 15 seats is better
> choice than Ms. Mayawathi whose BSP has 42 seats. If we go by single largest
> party argument, as per the prediction, BSP tallies with LF on no: of seats,
> whcih is 42. Even as BSP is the single largest party, how can our editors
> concieve of dalit woman making herself to the post of PM.
> What to say?
>
>
>
> >
>


-- 
Bobby Kunhu http://community.eldis.org/myshkin/Blog/

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