To get back on topic (more or less) here is a list of some dubious
career advice that I've been given over the years:

1981 : "Stay away from COBOL...it's a dead language."

1982:  "Structured analysis, structured design, structured
code...everything else is crap"

1983:  "There won't be any more batch processing within 5 years,
everything will be online"

1984:  "Find another line of work.  4GLs will make programmers obsolete."

1985:  "What, you're still using VSAM?  Get a database!"

1986:  "Hierarchical data bases are obsolete.  If you're not
relational, you're not in the game!"

1987:  "*Still* using COBOL?  You dumb [EMAIL PROTECTED]"

1988:  "CASE tools will solve the application backlog"

1989:  "Code reuse will solve the application backlog"

1990:  "Forget CASE tools.  Desktop development is much faster!"

1991:  "The mainframe is dead.  Go client server"

1992:  "Find another line of work.  Overseas outsourcing will put you
out of a job"

1993:  "OO analysis, design and development will solve the application backlog"

1994:  "What? You're still using IMS??"

1995:  "Forget Cobol.  Learn C".

1996:  "Forget C.  Learn C++".

1997:  "Y2K will be the end of the world as we know it"

1998:  "Okay, maybe COBOL isn't dead....but it *will* be after Y2K is finished"

1999:  "All future application development will be in JAVA"

2000:  "The mainframe is the best platform for e-business"

2001-present:  I stopped listening to advice.  :-)

The jury is still out on some of these items.....

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