I put that video up on the Mainframe Blog a couple days ago. Note that "recession proof" doesn't mean immune to venue changes. That is, there will be ongoing turmoil in corporate identities and locations. So the mainframe jobs won't necessarily be in the same cities for the same companies. But the expert predictions are there will be lots of jobs. Some of them can be done from home.
IBM and other companies will temper that demand somewhat by continuing to boost mainframe worker productivity -- mainframers are and will continue to be the most productive workers in IT, probably even widening the gap. But "temper" is the right word, certainly not "eliminate." I don't think this jobs analysis is particularly sophisticated, and it doesn't have to be. If you consider the list of "recession proof" jobs, most of them just follow from demographic trends in the United States. If there are more elderly people -- a well-established demographic trend in the U.S. -- there will be more demand for healthcare, ergo more healthcare workers. You can make some accurate job category predictions for Japan also: here the birthrate is extremely low, there's basically zero immigration, and you can guess what the demographic trends are. Automakers are not going to be happy with the Japanese domestic market, to pick one example. - - - - - Timothy Sipples IBM Consulting Enterprise Software Architect Based in Tokyo, Serving IBM Japan / Asia-Pacific E-Mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] ---------------------------------------------------------------------- For IBM-MAIN subscribe / signoff / archive access instructions, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] with the message: GET IBM-MAIN INFO Search the archives at http://bama.ua.edu/archives/ibm-main.html
