Not in my voracious reading.

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On Sunday, June 19, 2022, 11:11 AM, Tom Brennan <t...@tombrennansoftware.com> 
wrote:

That's the most realistic assessment I've seen.

On 6/18/2022 11:36 PM, David Crayford wrote:

> It's not just about fixing broken code. If you read the ING CIO's 
> remarks about why they wanted off the mainframe it's not about the 
> platform. Nobody denies that mainframes are insanely brilliant hardware 
> platforms. ING wanted to get rid of batch and move towards an event 
> driven architecture using pub/sub where they can easily deploy loosely 
> coupled micro-services to provide cutting edge products. The technology 
> stacks are built on open source such as Kafka, MongoDB, Cassandra, NiFi, 
> Avro etc.  The retail banking industry has been disrupted by fintechs so 
> waiting for an overnight batch schedule for settlements is a competitive 
> disadvantage.  Cracking open and modernizing 50-60 year old COBOL batch 
> applications is a VERY heavy lift.
> 
> https://www.theregister.com/2016/07/01/ing_mainframe_strategy/ <- read 
> the comments section. It's hilarious :)
> 
> The doubly whammy is there's a skills crisis slowly unraveling. In the 
> last year we've had 3 key resources move to 3 day weeks with a view to 
> retiring. Replacing highly skilled assembler programmers with deep 
> subsystem knowledge is proving to be difficult. Young people don't want 
> to learn HLASM as they consider it a dead-end. Their position is "why 
> invest 3-4 years learning a language that is useless if you move to 
> another industry?" I can't comment about COBOL application developers.
> 
> In 10 years time I expect the mainframe to be alive and kicking and 
> significantly modernized. The small/medium shops will probably be all 
> gone. When I first moved to my current town in 1998 there were 25-30 
> mainframe sites. Now there are 3 and 1 is on life support. One of our 
> customers re-platformed their CICS/COBOL/Batch applications from a z9 to 
> a single blade server. It doesn't make any sense financially for a small 
> site to run a mainframe. 
> https://www.itnews.com.au/news/wa-insurance-commission-decommissions-mainframe-322780
>   

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