[email protected] (Bill Wilkie) writes:
> But the biggest BOONDOGGLE of all times, was what management spent a
> few million on and that was Four Quadrant Leadership. If discussed
> something with another person and YOU made the change you were
> operating from Quadrant 1. If you discussed it with another persons
> and THEY did it you were operating from Quadrant 2. No one ever
> figured out whay it was important but everyone in the company had to
> take the course. We spent millions and the manager who bought it was
> called a VISIONARY. I suspect or should I say HOPE he is on the
> unemployment line with the rest of the visionaries.

mid-80s, top IBM executives were predicting that corporate revenue would
double mostly based on mainframe business ... and there was massive
internal bldg program to double mainframe manufacturing capacity.

however, a couple years later, a senior disk engineer got a talk
scheduled at the internal, world-wide communication group conference
supposedly on 3174 performance, but opened the talk with statement that
the communication group was going to be responsible for the demise of
the disk division. The issue was that the communication group had
stanglehold on datacenter with their corporate strategic responsibility
for everything that crossed the datacenter walls and were fiercely
fighting distributed computing and client/server trying to preserve
their dumb terminal paradigm and install base. The disk division was
seeing data fleeing the datacenter to more distributed computing
friendly platforms with drop in disk sales. They had come up with
several solutions which were constantly vetoed by the communication
group.

The communication group stranglehold on the datacenter not only was
affecting disk sales but everything mainframe and a few short years
later the company goes into the red.

By the mid-90s, most of the easier applications had fled mainframes
(driving IBM into the red) and the major remaining customer was the
financial industry (accounting for significant percentage of all new
mainframe sales). However, the financial industry was facing significant
bottleneck with decades old legacy cobol financial software that did
settlement in the overnight batch window ... and globalization
(shortening the window) and business increases (increasing workload) was
putting extreme strain on the overnight batch window.

Late 90s, there was a period where the financial industry spends
billions of dollars on new software to support parallized "straight
through processing" (real-time settlement with every transaction),
planning on using large numbers of killer micros. However there were
using some industry standard parallelization libraries ...  and they
continued down the path even when repeatedly told (including by me) the
libraries introduced factor of 100 times overhead (compared to mainframe
batch cobol).  It wasn't until they actually had some major large pilots
go down in flames that they pulled back (100 times overhead totally
swamped anticipated throughput increases from large numbers of
parallelized killer micros).

A decade later, I was involved in effort that approached it from a
different standpoint. It supported high level business rules that
generated fine-grain, parallelizable SQL statements, and rather than
directly implementing parallelization ... it relied on the enormous work
that all the RDBMS vendors (including IBM) put into scalable cluster
parallelized throughput. Prototype pilots were implemented for different
financial sectors that easily supported several times their current peak
workloads on non-mainframe cluster RDBMS platforms. This was presented
to several financial industry groups and initially had high acceptance
... but then hit brick wall. They eventually said that the top
executives still bore significant scars from the failed efforts in the
late 90s and it would be a very long time before it would be tried
again.

Note that SQL/RDBMS features are common across mainframe and
non-mainframe platforms ... all platforms use industry standard
fixed-block disks, non-mainframes getting slightly better throughput
than mainframe doing CKD simulation on same industry standard disks
(real CKD disks haven't been made for decades). Native fibre-channel
having significantly higher native throughput than mainframe FICON
protocol running over the same fibre-channel.

The most recent published mainframe peak I/O throughput that I've found
is z196 getting 2M IOPS using 104 FICON. About the same time there was
fibre channel announced for E5-2600V1 blade claiming over million IOPS
(for single fibre-channel, two such fibre-channel having higher native
throughput than 104 FICON running over 104 fibre-channel).

max configured z196->z14 went from 80 @625MIPS for 50BIPS to 170
@882MIPS for 150BIPS (three times aggregate processing with more than
double the number of slightly faster processors).

In the same time frame, two chip e5-2600V1 blade at 530BIPS went to two
chip e5-2600v5 at about 4-5 times the aggregate BIPS rate (based on
benchmark iterations ratio to iterations run on 370/158 assumed to be
1MIPS processor).

trivia: in 1988 I was asked to help LLNL (LL national lab) help
standardize some serial stuff they were working with, which quickly
becomes fibre-channel standard ... some past FICON & fibre-channel posts
http://www.garlic.com/~lynn/submisc.html#ficon

other triva: in 1980, I was asked to do channel-extender support for STL
(now SVL) that was moving 300 people from IMS group to offsite
bldg. This included doing lot of the channel protocol stuff at the
remote site (significantly reducing the significant channel protocol
latency). This is included in the 1988 fibre-channel stuff but not
leveraged in FICON. Something similar shows up somewhat in zHPF/TCH
(30yrs later) ... but only claims 30% throughput improvement over
standard FICON.

-- 
virtualization experience starting Jan1968, online at home since Mar1970

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