>Date: Tue, 01 Feb 2000 09:35:38 -0500
>From: "����'� HenryC.K.Liu

>Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Status:
>
>Stratfor.com
>
>  2031 GMT, 991116 � Chinese Demonstrators Raise Mao
>
>                                       Demonstrations in the Chinese
>city of Chongqing flared up again over the weekend, mirroring protests
>held a month earlier. According to the Information Center of Human
>Rights and Democratic Movement in China, 2,000 demonstrators took to the
>streets demanding that the local government take responsibility for
>losses in illegal investment schemes. The demonstrations took on a new
>feel Nov. 15 as protestors waved pictures of Mao Zedong and chanted
>"Down with corruption."
>
>                  The resurgence of the demonstrations against the local
>government � coupled with the change in tactics � suggests that this is
>not a spontaneous demonstration of public dissatisfaction as the October
>demonstrations likely were. Instead, the symbolism employed now is
>likely a message to the central government by interests opposed to
>China�s economic reforms and its opening to the West. The symbolic use
>of Mao imagery could very well appear in economic protests in other
>cities.
>
>                  Ironically, the protest in Chongqing occurred on the
>same day Chinese and United States officials agreed to a bilateral deal
>which would further open Chinese markets while paving the way for
>Chinese entry into the World Trade Organization. The deal, while long in
>the works, brings China to a decision point. If it fully embraces the
>economic and structural aspects of the agreement, a political shift will
>necessarily follow. China cannot fully open its markets and adopt a
>Western economic model, while maintaining centralized control.
>
>                  It is this problem that underlies the ongoing struggle
>within China�s government. While President Jiang Zemin, resplendent in
>his Mao suit at the Oct. 1 celebration of China�s fiftieth anniversary,
>firmly established himself as the core of the third generation
>leadership, the question remains as to who will replace China�s aging
>leaders. However, the moderates and economic reformers, typified by
>Premier Zhu Rongji, a key author of China�s economic reforms, are
>fighting the hard-liners for leadership of the fourth generation.
>
>                  The image of the people rising up to embrace Mao and
>to clean out corrupt government officials becomes a potential rallying
>point for those opposed to the economic reformers and those deemed too
>pro-West. The Chongqing protest may be just the first of many such
>indigenous cries from the masses for a return to the days of Mao, when
>greed and graft were purged from the government and Western ideas were
>not allowed to infect the Chinese populace.
>
>


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