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Monday, October 2, 2000

1. Yugoslav 'Opposition' Negotiates Sale of Yugoslavia
2. Canadian observers in Yugoslavia
3. Russian Balkans expert on post-election situation in Yugoslavia

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URL for this article is http://emperors-clothes.com/analysis/11.htm

Yugoslav 'Opposition' Negotiates Sale of Yugoslavia

by Michel Chossudovsky and Jared Israel
People may not be aware that two prominent members of the Democratic
Opposition of Serbia (DOS) just made a very important trip to Bulgaria.
They met with representatives of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the
World Bank and the NATO governments at a so-called "donor conference." The
purpose was
to set the stage for NATO governments to takeover Yugoslavia.

The trip was announced the day after the Yugoslav elections. Mladjan
Dinkic, the most likely Finance Minister in an opposition government, "said
that representatives of his G-17 Plus will travel to Bulgaria this week for
a donor conference on Yugoslavia with representatives of the International
Monetary Fund." (United Press International, 27 September 2000) Dinkic was
accompanied by Dr. Dragoslav Avramovic, an economist in Zoran Djindjic's
'Alliance for Change'. These so-called "democratic opposition" groups have
been paid huge sums by US government agencies.

Dinkic told United Press International that "Dragoslav Avramovic had
drafted a letter of intent with a request to the IMF and World Bank. Dinkic
said he expected that this would be followed by negotiations with creditor
countries, the so-called Paris Club..." These are the NATO countries. A
"Letter of Intent" includes a "Memorandum on Economic and Financial
Policies". This establishes the conditions under which all of Yugoslavia
would be put under the control of Western donors and creditors. Only a
Yugoslav Finance Minister, selected by Parliament, has a legal right to
draft a "Letter of Intent." But Dinkic and Avramovic
represent only the so-called "democratic" opposition. In what country is it
legal for opposition elements to "negotiate" with enemy countries who
finance their movement? This is an extreme act of interference by the NATO
countries.

What measures do the NATO countries want to impose? 
� End of all government price controls;
� Introduction of "free markets" without any protection for farmers or
businesses from dumping of foreign goods; 
� End to all social protection. No government help with medical care,
transportation , food or heating; 
� A freeze on credit to businesses 
� Massive layoffs of workers and drastic pay cuts for workers and farmers; 
� Forced liquidation of important businesses and industries, public and
private 
� Any future reconstruction work to correct bombing damage be entrusted to
companies from the NATO countries. They would be paid with money Yugoslavia
would be forced to borrow from international lenders.

The result of these policies would be: food prices would go fly high;
enterprises would be driven into bankruptcy and liquidation; foreign
capital would seize the entire economy.

The "Letter of Intent" would require the acceptance of Washington's
political demands. These were just laid out in the so-called "Serbian
Democratization Act," # HR1064. It was passed by the US House of
Representatives on September 25, the day Dinkic announced his trip to
Bulgaria. Good timing. This law
states that for Yugoslavia to be free of sanctions, and for it to be
"allowed" into the IMF it would have to:

1) Negotiate independence (meaning secession) for Kosovo and probably
Vojvodina

2) Completely "democratize" the country. "Democratize" is a code word for
carrying out all US government orders;

3) Settle "all succession issues with the other republics". This would
include the 50 billion (US) that the Croatian government and the
Izetbegovic government in Bosnia are demanding as war reparations. The
money would go right to these countries' creditors, which are NATO
governments and Western Banks;

4) Fully cooperate "with the International Criminal Tribunal for the former
Yugoslavia, including the transfer to The Hague of all individuals in
Yugoslavia indicted by the Tribunal." This means the Yugoslav Army would
have to hunt down any person the Hague tribunal said was a war criminal.
Any leader of resistance could be put on the Hague's secret list of phony
war criminals..

All this makes perfectly clear that Mr. Kostunica's promise to work with
the International Monetary Fund but at the same time "safeguard Yugoslavia"
is hollow words: they sound good but mean nothing. In agreeing to draft a
Letter of Intent, Kostunica's coalition has already deserted national
sovereignty. They have sold Yugoslavia, its economy, its institutions and
its people.

Meanwhile, the US law, HR 1064, authorizes the US government to immediately
transfer another $105 million to the so-called "democratic" opposition and
the secessionist government in Montenegro. American money -- together with
funds transferred from other sources -- will not only pay for campaign
expenses,
it will finance payoffs.

Washington and NATO are openly paying key individuals in the opposition
parties to do what they are told to do. They are on the NATO bombers' payroll.

Further reading:

� 'The International Monetary Fund And The Yugoslav Elections' by Michel
Chossudovsky and Jared Israel. Summarizes devestating effects of World
Bank/IMF intervention in several countries. Discusses link between Western
financial takeover and social-political destruction.
http://emperors-clothes.com/analysis/1.htm 

� 'How the U.S. has Created a Corrupt Opposition in Serbia' By Jared
Israel, Prof. Michel Chossudovsky, Karen Talbot, Nico Varkevisser and Prof.
Petar Maher. http://emperors-clothes.com/analysis/scam.htm 

� ''NY Times' Confirms Charge: U.S. Gov't Meddles in Yugoslavia' with
comments by Jared Israel. "Suitcases full of cash" says the 'Times.'
http://emperors-clothes.com/news/erlang.htm 

� 'Emperor's Clothes Interviews Radio B292' Revealing interviews by Jared
Israel with two staff members at the U.S. "independent" radio station in
Belgrade. http://emperors-clothes.com/interviews/emperor.htm 

� 'Criticism of Emperor's Clothes on the Yugoslav Elections, with Reply'
Prof. Robert Hayden & Jared Israel.
http://emperors-clothes.com/letters/yugoltr.htm 

� 'Will the US Get Their Money's Worth in Yugo Elections?' by George
Szamuely at http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/szamuely/willthe.htm 

� 'U.S. Law Passed by House of Represntatives on Funding Yugo Opposition
and Harsh Terms for Lifting Sanctions'
http://emperors-clothes.com/news/1064.htm (If this link gives you a server
error please try a bit later; it is being set up.)
www.tenc.net [Emperor's Clothes]

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Press release 22 / 09/ 2000
========================

CANADIAN OBSERVERS IN YUGOSLAVIA

Marjaleena Repo
BELGRADE. The international observers of the Yugoslavian presidential and
parliamentary elections have arrived in Belgrade - some 200 of them from
(so far) 54 countries. Contrary to the reports that "they have not been
allowed in,"  there are registered observers from the following Western
European countries. Belgium, Denmark, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy,
Germany, Portugal, Sweden and UK. (The so far single American
observer is an active senior participant in the Gore presidential
campaign.) Among the observers are parlamentarians, delegates from
political parties and organizations, as well as independents like the two
participants from Canada.

The Canadian delegates have attended political rallies of the three major
presidential candidates, in Belgrade and Novi Sad. These events were noisy
and lively affairs, without any observable disturbances and any noticeable
police presence. Literature was freely distributed and received at these
events, in a way no different from political rallies in Canada. 
One of us (Marjaleena Repo) has paid particular attention to election
posters as she has been involved in the long-standing and not-yet-finished
fight for the right to poster in Canada - and she can report that posters
are everywhere in the street scene, accompanied by graffiti and the
defacing of each others posters even-steven fashion, it seems. She has seen
posterers at work in downtown Belgrade with posters urging women to vote,
while postering on top of other election messages! She had a chance to
discuss this contradiction with five English-speaking Yugoslavian youth
with their buckets and sponges. Unlike in Canadian cities, the posters
appear not to be scraped down by city workers but live to suffer the
indignities from competeing political parties. In addition, there are huge
billboards advertising the three major presidential candidates all around
the cityscape. All in all, the appearance of democracy in action.

The other Canadian delegate, Professor Dimitri Kitsikis, has a long-time
experience of national elections, having systematically studied and
observed them in many countries, notably in France, Greece and Turkey. His
observations are therefore particularly valid and he has been unshaken by
Western insistence that Yugoslav elections could be rigged. On the
contrary, he is observing that these elections do not differ
from those in any other democratic countries, particularly from France, of
which Dr. Kitsikis is an expert.

The delegates have attended an information session on the electoral process
in Yugoslavia and have been provided with background information and
documentation on how the system works and how it makes an effort to
guarantee  an equal, free and transparent voting method leading to reliable
results. Questions
were invited and responded to. We were informed that the delegates will be
able to attend any and all polling stations on voting day, Sept. 24, and
officials at the polls have been instructed to welcome foreign observers
with full access to the actual voting situation, while respecting the
citizens' right to privacy.

While in Belgrade, disturbing news reached the observers. The International
Herald Tribune of Sept. 20 has a front page story, titled "U.S. aids
Milosevic foes: Millions allocated to a democracy program." The article
states that U.S. officials have acknowledged $77 million financial
"contribution" to opposition groups in Yugoslavia, from students to labour,
from so-called independent media to political rock bands, and the newspaper
states that "There is nothing secret or even particularly unusual about the
U.S. democracy-building program in Serbia, which is closely co-ordinated
with European allies and is similar to previous campaigns in pre-democratic
Chile, South Africa and Eastern Europe, among other places."

Washington Post (Sept. 21) further reveals that U.S. officials and
corporations are also "providing a sophisticated opinion survey system,
engaging for the purpose the New York firm that has done the job for Bill
Clinton [Penn, Schoen and Berland Associates]" which explains the many
polls that "prove" that an
opposition candidate is ahead of President Milosevic and suggest vigorously
that Mr. Milosevic will only win by fraud.

While the Canadian and other Western media have alredy declared the
election to be "rigged" (without any evidence, of course), we believe that
the actual evidence for rigging and distorting the Yugoslavian election
results has been found in the pre-democratic countries of U.S. and the
European Union who in an wholly illegal and undemocratic fashion are
interfering in the domestic affairs of a sovereign country. This, of
course, must be condemned by all true democrats, be they individuals,
organizations or nations. - 30-


MARJALEENA REPO is a social justice activist and a long-standing member of
Canada's "democracy movement," with hands-on experience on how Canada's
democracy does and does not work. In April '99, she was a founding member
of The Ad Hoc Committee to Stop Canada's Participation in the War Against
Yugoslavia.  She lives in Saskatoon, Sask.

DR. DIMITRI KITSIKIS is a professor of International Relations at the
University of Ottawa since 1970 and a fellow of the Royal Society of
Canada. He is a specialist of the Balkans and Turkey and has written many
books on the area.

Professor Kitsikis is multi-lingual and can give interviews in French and
Greek as well as in English.

Back in Canada on September 29, Ms. Repo can be reached at (416)466-6533 or
(306)244-9724.
Professor Kitsikis will be back in Ottawa on October 2, and can be reached
at University of Ottawa, tel: (613)562-5735 or at his home tel: (613)834-4634.

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RUSSIAN BALKANS EXPERT ON POST-ELECTION SITUATION IN YUGOSLAVIA

Source: Russia TV, Moscow, in Russian 1630 gmt 27 Sep 00
Interviewed in Russia TV's "Details" programme on 27th September,

Russian Balkans expert Vladimir Volkov said the situation in  Yugoslavia
after the elections is new and very alarming. Morally, the Milosevic regime
is suffering defeat, but the constitution requires a second round to be
held. However, Vojislav Kostunica is backed and funded by Western leaders
and NATO's aggression against Yugoslavia in 1998 is now repeating itself.
It is true however that Milosevic is on a losing streak and that logic
suggests a change of political leaders. But the West should not foster any
Illusions about Kostunica being an obedient toy, given the existence of the
Serb ethnic question. 

Following are excerpts of the interview. Subheadings have been inserted
editorially.

[Presenter Sergey Pashkov] The "Details" programme is on the air.
Hullo! It looks as if the political map of Central Europe is changing
again. It looks as if Milosevic is on the way out: eight per cent is a wide
gap and perhaps, a second tour, an extra two weeks, would be needed by
Slobodan Milosevic in order to come to agreement both with the opposition
and perhaps with the West, to exchange his personal security and the
security of his comrades-in-arms for a peaceful handover of power, perhaps,
at worst. At best, Slobodan Milosevic can lay claim to a fairly high post
inside Yugoslavia: he has a very large party and he has a very large
faction in parliament. What will happen? What will happen in Europe? What
implications does this hold for Russia? We will be talking about this today
with Professor Vladimir Konstantinovich Volkov, director of the Institute
of Slavistics and Balkan Studies, doctor of history...

Situation is new and very alarming

[Q] Let's get to the point straight away: the situation in the Balkans, the
situation in Belgrade, is this at last the long-awaited stability and peace
or is it the forerunner of a new civil war?

[A] Unfortunately, it does not seem to me that this draws a final line.
This is rather a new and a very alarming interim stage. We are now seeing a
totally unique situation and, evidently, it is necessary to separate the
situation, which has arisen in Yugoslavia itself, from the situation we are
observing now in the international arena. Morally, the Milosevic regime is
suffering defeat

[Q] Let's first talk about the situation which has arisen in Yugoslavia
itself. Do you agree with the thesis that the Milosevic regime is declining
in importance: Milosevic, as a politician, has ceased his existence?

[A] I agree with your remark that eight per cent is a very large gap and
the recognition of this fact by the Central Electoral Commission is in
itself already a very serious phenomenon. We can say that, morally
speaking, the Milosevic regime is suffering defeat. But the sphere of moral
assessments is one thing, another matter is that we are dealing with a
specific constitutional situation. Under the Yugoslav
constitution and in accordance with all electoral regulations, the winner
is he who gets over 50 per cent of the vote...

 [Q] Is 50 per cent of the vote also needed in the second round? Or is an
ordinary majority enough?

 [A] An ordinary majority is needed there. But inasmuch as there are [only]
two candidates and there will not be any dissipation of votes, the winner
will be perfectly evident. 

Kostunica backed and funded by Western leaders 

But here we have come up against a totally unique situation when literally
the same evening when balloting had ended, the Democratic Opposition of
Serbia, whose leader and candidate is Vojislav Kostunica, declared itself
the winner. That is not something which has occurred in any other state.
Nowhere else have we come up against such a situation.

[Q] But unique is that this position was backed there and then by Western
leaders: both the prime minister of Great Britain and the president of the
United States said that they are absolutely certain that such statements by
the Serb opposition are well-founded.

[A] There we move to the other aspect of these elections, namely the
international situation in which they are taking place. Please pay
attention to the following matters. Literally a week or even more prior to
the elections, the mass media in the West, and not only they, but officials
as well, started saying that they would not allow Milosevic, as they put
it, "steal victory". That is to say, he was accused beforehand of a
premeditated attempt to rig the elections. They were saying that under no
circumstances would they allow him to walk off with this victory, they
predicted Kostunica's victory. That is the first thing.
Secondly, we know that officially - and that is also an absolutely new fact
- large funds were handed over to the opposition, which this opposition is
using to operate. I am not at all against this political struggle and it
seems to me that both the Democratic Opposition of Serbia and Kostunica are
very worthy leaders, but when such a - well - public struggle is unfolding
around these elections, such a whipping up of passions from
outside, this is blatant interference in Serbia's internal affairs.

NATO's aggression in 1998 is repeating itself

[Q] But as regards Serbia and the Balkans, this is not exactly new: There
has been both the bombing of Belgrade, military pressure, real pressure on
the Milosevic regime on the part of the NATO countries - this is
already as it were an event of the most recent history: political pressure
and military pressure. What does this mean for us? Does this mean that if
Kostunica wins, that if the West is now investing financially, backing the
victorious Serb opposition, Russia will have no place left in the Balkans?

[A] You have touched on an entire set of problems. Let's try sorting them
out a bit... Now we are seeing a repetition of this [1998] situation and I
am getting the impression that NATO simply wants to take revenge
for the thwarting of its preliminary scenario over a year ago. And we can
now see that a very unconcealed and very powerful news-and-psychological,
propaganda war is being waged against Yugoslavia. An economic war -
sanctions - is being waged against it. But, at the same time we can also
see and are observing that the ships of the 6th American Fleet in the
Mediterranean have been put on combat alert, the troops stationed in Kosovo
have been placed in a state of increased combat readiness, and in Croatia,
Yugoslavia's neighbour, military manoeuvres are taking place, that is to
say, evident sabre-rattling is in progress. How do you assess this situation?

[Q] Well, one can interpret it two ways. On the one hand, one can say that
this is pressure on Yugoslavia, on the other hand, one can say that this is
pressure on the Milosevic regime. After all, objectively this entire
situation is being supported by Kostunica: we have outlined this topic.
Milosevic on a losing streak -logic suggests change of political leaders.
Let's talk about Russia now. I would like to know what will happen to our
policy in the Balkans?

[A] Russia has been placed in a very difficult position in this situation.
First of all, I would like to stress that Russia has long-standing,
friendly relations with Serbia and we regard Serbs and Serbia as a state
which is very close to us, but this does not mean that Russia should
support the Milosevic regime. Unfortunately, the situation has turned out
in such a way now that Milosevic is losing one round after another, both in
the international arena and in domestic politics. Naturally, the logic
itself of the unfolding of events prompts the need for a change of
political leaders. That is one issue. Kostunica will not be obedient toy in
the hands of the West 

[Q] But will we be able to come to an agreement with the new political
leader, will we be able to come to an agreement with the Democratic
Opposition of Serbia or will they already be staunch and stable allies of
the West?

[A] That is difficult to say. It seems to me that if the West fosters great
illusions about, say, Serbia's new leader - let's assume this will be
Kostunica - being an absolutely obedient toy in the hands of the Western
powers, that is an illusion. It is an illusion because, it seems me, many
analysts in the West do not realize, it would seem, a simple truth: as a
result of the ethno-civilian conflicts in the former Yugoslavia a new and
very dangerous question has arisen: the Serb ethnic question: Serbs, as a
nation, have found themselves  dismembered. The territory on which the Serb
population has lived for centuries has found itself cut off: the
Serb Krajina in Croatia, the territory of Bosnia-Hercegovina, the territory
of Kosovo which was the heart of the medieval Serbian state. As a result of
the collapse of the old Yugoslavia, the Serb people has found itself
dismembered, divided and all the gains it received through two Balkans wars
and two world wars have been cancelled.

[Q] Moreover, I believe that the issue of the future of Montenegro also
arises now . I believe that  Montenegro's president, [Milo] Djukanovic,
will raise the matter of Montenegro leaving the federal Yugoslavia and thus
the existence of Yugoslavia as such can be can called into question. 

Albanian national question also rears its head    

There is also the Albanian question, the question of Macedonia's Albanians.
That is to say, the apparently  explosive situation there is not very
reassuring.

[A] Here we have touched one more problem which is interconnected with
other questions existing in the Balkans. Apart from the Serb national
question which has arisen as a result of the ethno-civilian conflicts in
Yugoslavia, the Albanian national question also exists objectively. The
Albanians, as a nation, have found themselves historically divided among
various states... Therefore this question is very complicated. We cannot
say that peace could come the Balkans even as a result of this question
being resolved. 

Stability in Balkans is in the West's interests

Thank you, Vladimir Konstantinovich. The question is whether the West will
be able, whether the West will try - by investing substantial funds in
Serbia, in Yugoslavia - avoiding new bloody conflicts. At any rate, it is
evident, that it is in the interests, of Western leaders, including Bill
Clinton, who has elections coming up and a chance for [Albert] Gore to win
in the elections, to achieve some stability in the region. The question
about what Russian diplomacy will do in the Balkans henceforth, remains open. 
You have listened to the "Details" programme. All the best!

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Global Reflexion - Amsterdam - The Netherlands

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