IRAQ SANCTIONS MONITOR Number 163 Thursday, November 30 2000 LATEST NEWS++++++ FRESH FROM ITS INTERNATIONAL PREMIERE....... VHS copies of the film 'Big Ben to Baghdad', the epic account of last year's journey in a 37-year-old Routemaster bus from London to the capital of sanctions-engulfed Iraq. The 65-minute-film costs £9.99 from the Mariam Appeal, 13a Borough High Street, London+++++++++++++++++LATEST ______________________________________________________ Companies eye Iraq's power opportunities. The $700 million budget of the UN Development Programme's (UNDP's) electricity network rehabilitation programme (ENRP) for Iraq is attracting considerable interest from international companies hoping to secure some of the large-scale contracts scheduled to be tendered by the end of the year. At least eight engineering consultants from across the world including Europe, the US, India and Australia have been shortlisted and are in the process of preparing bids for the upgrading of transmission lines and the rehabilitation and rebuilding of substations in three northern regions. The UNDP has also called for expressions of interest by 5 December in the operation and maintenance of three 29-MW diesel power plants. The UNDP has received 15 expressions of interest for the supply of nine mini-hydro power plants. All 15 are likely to be invited to bid before the end of the year. The UNDP is responsible for the entire procurement, installation and commissioning of electrical equipment needed for the rehabilitation of the network in the three northern governorates of Irbil, Suleimaniya and Dohuk. Source: MIDDLE EAST ECONOMIC DIGEST 01/12/2000 _____________________________________________________ Saddam Hussain makes fresh gains. President Saddam Hussain has inflicted fresh blows on the increasingly battered UN sanctions regime, by preparing to start oil exports to Syria without UN approval and demanding a surcharge on every barrel of oil exported under the UN oil-for-food programme. On 21 November both Iraq and Syria announced that the Kirkuk-Banias oil pipeline has been reopened, and will soon deliver up to 200,000 barrels a day (b/d) to the Homs and Banias refineries. Industry sources say the oil will be priced at a discount, allowing Syria to earn a premium through exporting more of its own oil. Syria now produces some 550,000 b/d. The UN says the step is not in conformity with its sanctions imposed on Baghdad. According to the UN, such an agreement would need its approval and the organisation has asked both Syria and Iraq for clarification. The UN says it has not received an official answer from either country, but has urged both of them to make sales legal under the oil-for-food-programme. In another move Iraq's state oil marketer SOMO has announced that from 1 December it will charge its customers a $0.50 premium over the official selling price in the oil-for-food export programme supervised by the UN. The payments are to be channelled to an account outside UN control. Source: MIDDLE EAST ECONOMIC DIGEST 01/12/2000 _____________________________________________________ Russian foreign ministry says Iraq ready to discuss UN inspections. Text of report by Russian news agency RIA Moscow, 30th November: The director of the Russian Foreign Ministry's Middle East and North Africa Department, Aleksandr Saltanov, said today that Baghdad is ready to start a dialogue with the United Nations. Saltanov told RIA that there was discussion at the Moscow talks between Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov and Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz of the issue of Iraq's implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1244, which envisages work by an inspections commission to check Iraq has no prohibitted military programmes. Iraq up to now has been refusing access to the commission's experts. Saltanov said that the sides in the Moscow talks drew the conclusion that the issue of resuming international monitoring in Iraq would be discussed during the Baghdad-UN dialogue. He added that major attention during the Moscow talks was devoted to Russo-Iraqi bilateral relations. "Iraq traditionally always has been a trading partner of our country", he said. The sides discussed specific aspects of the development of trade and economic relations both within the framework of humanitarian aid and for the post-sanctions period. Source: RIA news agency, Moscow, in Russian 0815 gmt 30 Nov ______________________________________________________ Iraq's Aziz rejects new U.N. weapons inspectors. MOSCOW, Nov 30 (Reuters) - Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Tareq Aziz rejected on Thursday the dispatch of new U.N. weapons inspectors to Baghdad, Russia's Interfax news agency said. Interfax quoted Aziz as saying bluntly "No" when asked whether Baghdad would accept a mission under inspector Hans Blix. Aziz was questioned at the airport, before leaving Moscow at the end of a two-day visit. Russia has called for U.N. sanctions to be lifted against Iraq but urged Baghdad to resume dialogue with the U.N. on the inspections issue. ______________________________________________________ Iraq oil exports still rolling as deadline looms. DUBAI, Nov 30 (Reuters) - Iraqi crude oil exports were still rolling out of both loading ports on Thursday, but concern was mounting that sales would stop on December 1 without an official United Nations price formula in place,industry sources said. The Iran Seva and the Sea Song were both loading Kirkuk grade from the Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan on Thursday, while the Arcadian One was loading Basrah Light at the Iraqi Gulf port of Mina al-Bakr, industry sources said. The Front Pride, which was due to load Kirkuk, was withdrawn, the sources added. Kirkuk flows were running at a normal rate of about 900,000 bpd on Thursday. An Iraqi oil official repeated on Thursday that Baghdad would defend its original December price proposal, which the U.N. Sanctions Committee rejected on Monday as too low. "We are sticking with our prices which are in accordance with the market," he told Reuters. Oil overseers at the U.N. have meanwhile kept the options open on Iraqi flows, saying in a report that the world body could either allow exports to continue without completed contracts or stop loadings, diplomats said on Wednesday. Iraqi officials have said repeatedly that Baghdad has no intention of halting its 2.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of export sales. But as of Thursday, state oil marketer SOMO had yet to release official loading programmes for December, market sources said. For now, however, liftings were continuing. Some lifters of Iraqi barrels said on Wednesday that SOMO had pushed their end-November loadings into December in an apparent bid to collect Baghdad's requested 50-cent per barrel surcharge. An Iraqi oil official blamed any deferrals on purely operational matters. "Operationally anything can happen and vessels can slip from one month to another," he said. ____________________________________________________ Iraqi plan threatens winter oil shortage. A new confrontation between Iraq and the UN has raised the spectre of oil supplies being disrupted this winter. Baghdad's aim is to divert about $420m ( £300m) a year from the oil-for-food programme controlled by the UN and put the money directly into the regime's coffers. To that end it is ostensibly cutting its oil price but asking customers to pay a premium of 50 cents for each barrel into a special bank account in Jordan, with the implied threat that contracts will not be renewed if they fail to do so. The UN sanctions committee has rejected this plan, but talks on an alternative mechanism are continuing. In the absence of an agreement this month, legitimate oil supplies from Iraq - which currently exports more than 2m barrels a day - could begin to dry up. Some western diplomats believe Iraq is bluffing and would not, if it came to the crunch, be willing to halt oil exports for the sake of gaining more control over the money. But because prices in the petroleum market are currently high, Iraq has accumulated a cash cushion of around $11bn that would allow it to withstand a period without exports. Last night Iraq and India announced a deal which the Iraqi vice-president, Taha Yassin Ramadhan, hailed as a sign that the UN embargo against Iraq had lost its meaning. `We will sell oil to any country which wants to buy it," he said on a visit to New Delhi. Under the agreement Iraq will increase its oil supplies to India and India will export surplus wheat to Iraq and help Iraq to upgrade its oil refineries and explore its oil field at Tubah in the south. It is believed that the deal is a fixed-price commitment for at least 20 years. Source: GUARDIAN 30/11/2000 P16 _______________________________________________________ Russia, Iraq Discuss Cooperating In Emergencies - Itar-Tass. NEW YORK - (Dow Jones)-Russian Minister for Emergency Situations Sergei Shoigu and Iraqi Vice-Prime Minister Tareq Aziz met Wednesday to discuss cooperation in warning and coping with emergency situations, Itar-Tass reported Wednesday. According to sources in the Russian ministry, the meeting was held under an August 2000 memorandum signed by the two countries, in which they agreed to exchange information on warning of natural calamities and industrial incidents, Itar-Tass reported. The two will also discuss reducing the risk of unexploded missiles and bombs in Iraq. The Russian ministry plans to set up a center in Iraq to train specialists to de-mine, according to the report. The talks are being held while Aziz visits Moscow, where he is expected to be until Thursday. _____________________________________________ UN weighs options, waits for new Iraqi Dec price formula. United Nations (Platt's)-29Nov2000/506 pm EST/2206 GMT The UN Security Council's Sanctions Committee on Iraq is weighing what action to take should Iraq not send a new pricing list for its December oil sales, a committee source said Wednesday. And with Dec 1 looming, the source said a disruption in sales was certain without a revised formula. The committee on Monday rejected Iraq's pricing formula for December because it was too low to reflect fair market prices and asked Baghdad to send a revised, more realistic formula. Iraq proposed the heavily discounted prices to compensate buyers for a 50 cts/bbl charge Baghdad wants lifters to pay directly to it, in a move to circumvent UN control. Under sanctions, all revenue from Iraqi oil sales must go to a UN-controlled account. _______________________________________________ Jordan plans first "semi-commercial" flight to Iraq. Dubai (Platt's)-29Nov2000/544 am EST/1044 GMT Jordan's Royal Jordanian airline plans to send its first "semi-commercial" flight to Baghdad in more than 10 years on Thursday, the Jordan Times newspaper reported Wednesday. The paper quoted Transport Ministry Undersecretary Alaa Batayneh as saying that under the arrangements for the so-called semi-commercial flights, passengers must demonstrate they are flying to Iraq for specific humanitarian reasons. He said Jordan would ensure the planned weekly flights would be arranged through "the proper channels" but he did not elaborate. Iraq has argued that the UN sanctions imposed against it in 1990 do not apply to civilian flights. Some countries which have sent humanitarian flights to Baghdad recently have only sent prior notification to the UN Sanctions Committee. ________________________________________________ US says allies would make up for any Iraq oil cuts. WASHINGTON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - The White House appeared untroubled by a possible disruption of Iraqi oil supplies, saying on Wednesday that U.S. allies have promised to make up for any shortfall and it also could tap the U.S. oil reserve. The oil markets are growing nervous that there may be a break in Iraqi oil exports because of a dispute between Baghdad and the United Nations over the price at which Iraq sells oil under the U.N. oil-for-food program. The current six-month phase of the program, which allows Iraq to escape Gulf War-era U.N. sanctions, expires on Dec. 5 and, if the dispute is not resolved, some in the oil market say Iraqi exports could stop as early as the end of this week. "If Iraq decides to play games with the market and cut production unilaterally, we have commitments from our allies to make up for any shortfalls which might result," U.S. National Security Council spokesman P.J. Crowley told Reuters. _________________________________________________ Iraq strengthens resolve on December oil pricing. DUBAI, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Iraq is fortifying its defence of its December crude oil pricing, making a break in export flows virtually inevitable from Friday. The United Nations on Monday rejected the pricing as too low. "Our minister put things very clearly yesterday," an Iraqi oil official told Reuters on Wednesday. "We are sticking with our original price proposal." Oil Minister Amer Mohammed Rasheed told reporters in India that Baghdad would defend its price formulae ahead of a December 1 deadline. At the same time, Rasheed stressed that Baghdad wanted to avoid an interruption in export sales of some 2.3 million barrels per day (bpd) under the U.N. oil-for-food deal. Iraq has asked the U.N. to extend current eighth-phase oil sales volume from the six-month tranche's December 5 expiry to January 15 in order to avoid an export gap. Industry sources reckon Baghdad still has nearly 80 million barrels of unlifted crude oil contract volume remaining during the eighth phase. "It is not our intention to stop exports," the Iraqi oil official reiterated. "But we submitted the price mechanism and the United Nations rejected it." The official stopped short of blaming the world body for any potential halt in Iraqi oil sales under the U.N. oil-for-food programme. "We don't want to put it that way," he said. Western diplomats said on Tuesday that Iraqi barrels cannot be exported without an approved pricing plan, which could cause oil sales to grind to a halt from Friday. Customers of Iraqi crude oil are expecting a shortfall in flows in any case next month, after several lifters reported that oil marketer SOMO had cut their volumes apparently following the companies' refusal to cough up Baghdad's newly-imposed 50-cent per barrel surcharge. "Under these conditions, Iraqi oil is off limits," said a Western oil executive. "And now we cannot count on Iraqi supply." The Iraqi oil official said SOMO had not cancelled any crude oil liftings. He declined to say whether exports in December would continue to run at current levels. _______________________________________________ Russia to set up mine-clearing centre in Iraq. Text of report in English by Russian AVN Military News Agency web site Moscow, 29th November: Russian Emergencies Minister Sergey Shoygu is to meet Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz in Moscow tonight, a spokesman for the Emergencies Ministry told the Military News Agency. The main topic of the negotiations is bilateral cooperation to prevent and liquidate emergencies. In particular, they will discuss Russia's participation in UN humanitarian operations in Iraq and establishment of a Russian humanitarian mine-clearing centre in Iraq, the spokesman said. According to the Iraqi Interior Ministry, there are about 450,000 unexploded US air bombs on the territory of Iraq. However, the number of antipersonnel mines and other explosive devices left after the armed conflicts in the region is difficult to count. ________________________________________________ Saddam's former press aide appointed Arab League envoy - paper. Text of report by London-based newspaper 'Al-Sharq al-Awsat' on 29th November Amman: Iraqi diplomatic sources told `Al-Sharq al-Awsat' in Amman that the Iraqi government has decided to appoint President Saddam Husayn's former press secretary Dr Muhsin Khalil as Iraq's permanent representative to the Arab League to succeed Dr Sultan al-Shawi, who was summoned to Baghdad after reaching the retirement age. Khalil is currently the chairman of the Iraqi National Assembly's Legal Affairs Committee. He previously served as Iraq's ambassador to Yemen. He also headed the Iraqi Foreign Ministry's Arab department. Khalil was the Iraqi president's press secretary during the Iraq-Iran war (1980-1988) and is described as a tough diplomat who is familiar with the official [Iraqi] media line. ______________________________________________ Baghdad mounts diplomatic offensive to end embargo. BAGHDAD, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Iraq has begun a diplomatic offensive to win Arab and world support for ending the decade-old United Nations trade sanctions against Baghdad. President Saddam Hussein sent Deputy Prime Minister Tareq Aziz to Damascus, Beijing and Moscow to try to drum up support for his bid to end the sanctions imposed after Iraqi troops invaded Kuwait in August 1990. Aziz flew to Syria on Saturday on the first direct flight abroad by a senior Iraqi senior official since the 1991 Gulf War, raising the stakes still further in Baghdad's challenge to the sanctions. Civilian flights in and out of Iraq have been banned since 1990, but Baghdad has recently been chipping away at the air embargo, attracting a growing stream of "humanitarian" flights. Core sanctions remain in force, however, and only a U.N. Security Council decision can remove them. During his stay in Damascus, Aziz met Syrian Foreign Minister Farouq al-Shara and discussed both sanctions and bilateral ties. These were severed after the outbreak of the 1980-1988 Iraq-Iran war in which Syria sided with Tehran, but the two sides agreed three years ago to restore relations and resume economic cooperation. Aziz went from Damascus to Beijing where he met President Jiang Zemin and other top officials and secured Chinese support for ending the embargoes. Then the Iraqi deputy premier flew on to Moscow, where he held talks on Wednesday with Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov. Russia has played a key role in arguing for the lifting of sanctions, while trying to persuade Iraq to cooperate with the U.N. in allowing inspectors to complete checks into whether it holds weapons of mass destruction. In a similar mission, Iraqi Vice-President Taha Yassin Ramadan is currently in New Delhi holding talks with senior Indian officials. Baghdad has rejected a U.N. resolution adopted last December which could ease sanctions on Iraq once it allows a new arms inspection team to return. U.N. inspectors have been barred since the last team left in mid-December 1998, shortly before Washington and London launched a four-day air campaign against Iraq after accusing Saddam of hindering the work of arms inspectors. U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan and Iraqi officials plan to begin talks early in 2001 on how to break a two-year impasse on weapons inspections, the key condition for lifting sanctions, diplomats in the world body reported on Wednesday. A high-level Iraqi delegation is expected to travel to New York in January, after the Muslim holy month of Ramadan ends. The meetings are a follow-up to Annan's talks with Izzat Ibrahim, vice chairman of Iraq's Revolutionary Command Council, during an Islamic summit in the Gulf state of Qatar on November 17. In its latest diplomatic offensive, Baghdad is seeking the backing of the countries visited by its officials for its defiance of two Western-imposed no-fly zones in the north and south of the country. Western planes patrolling these zones have met challenges from and struck at Iraqi air defences almost daily since the United States and British launched extensive air and missile attacks against Iraq in 1998. Russia has repeatedly criticised Washington and London for imposing the no-fly zones and said they were breaching U.N. resolutions. Chinese officials have also criticised Western countries for setting up the zones. ________________________________________________ Conference on Iraq to discuss lifting of embargo. MOSCOW, November 28 (Itar-Tass) - An international conference on the problems of Iraq will be held in Yerevan on December 15 with the participation of representatives of Russia, Great Britain, US and Iraq, Tass was told on Tuesday by Aram Shegunts, the director-general of the committee for international, cultural, scientific and business cooperation with Iraq. On the agenda of the meeting which will be attended by MPs, representatives of the public and diplomats of the four countries are items connected with the situation in Iraq, with the practical steps to arrest and lift the international economic embargo and with deliveries of humanitarian aid to Baghdad, mostly from Russia. tel: +44 (0)20 7403 5200 fax: +44 (0)20 7403 3823 email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] web: www.mariamappeal.com