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Headline:  US spends millions to bolster Belarus opposition
Byline:  Scott Peterson Staff Writer of The Christian Science Monitor
Date: 09/10/2001
(MINSK, BELARUS)While voters in Belarus were expected yesterday to reelect
their 
authoritarian president, Alexander Lukashenko, questions swirled about
both the fairness of the election and the nature of Western assistance
to pro-democracy forces.

On the eve of the vote, the Belarussian government banned 2,000 of
7,000 local election observers. Analysts say a controversial
early-balloting system - some polling stations in yesterday's election
actually opened on Tuesday - was designed to seal a first-round victory
for the Belarus leader.

Whatever the outcome, the election is revealing a remarkably high level
of US and Western involvement on the side of pro-democracy activists,
which has embroiled the American ambassador and senior Western
officials in a political firestorm.

Although regime opponents say they are pleased to have help in building
civil society in the former Soviet republic - and, by extension, in
their attempt to oust the man often called the "last dictator in
Europe" - the lifeline of cash and moral support has bolstered
Lukashenko's claim that he is a target of Cold War-style meddling.

While it is against US law to fund foreign political parties, American
and European grant money is flowing to an array of pro-democracy and
civil society groups, newspapers, and political awareness campaigns.

"It would be dark, scary and awful without that [US] money," says
Anatoly Gulayev, deputy editor of the independent newspaper "Den," and
vice president of the Belarussian journalists' union. "Very few
[opposition] newspapers live without that help. We should admit it and
be grateful for it."

"What we want to see is a change in the system," US Ambassador Michael
Kozak said in an interview. "If Lukashenko opened the system so there
is a free press and a free and fair election, we would accept his
government as legitimate."

Lukashenko says he is under personal attack, and that the US has
crossed a fine line of intervention - a view shared even by some
opponents and Western analysts.

"We will not have Americans telling us what to do... We cannot be
brought to our knees," Lukashenko told supporters last week. He accused
the US and the West of "sleazy election techniques," and read a list of
opposition leaders he claimed had been paid by the US Embassy in Minsk
to "remove" him.

Lukashenko has also accused the chief of the Organization for Security
and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), Hans-Georg Wieck - a former West
German intelligence chief, who by all accounts played a critical role
uniting opposition parties behind one candidate - of being the
opposition's "chief of staff."

The president has said he will expel both men from Belarus after the
election.

Washington spent $24 million in Belarus last year, and US officials say
the figure is slightly higher this year. That amounts to a small
fortune in this impoverished nation wedged between NATO's eastern flank
and Russia.

"To me, [the aid] is nothing to be embarrassed about if you say you
want to develop an open, civil society," Ambassador Kozak says. "We
made no secret about it."

But critics say that, even if the opposition were to win Sunday's vote,
they could have a hard time shaking a "Made in the USA" label. Others
argue that the US has overplayed its hand, and that the opposition may
see more profit in staying out of power.

"[The US] really helped the opposition financially so much, that the
opposition has gone crazy," says Alexander Feduta, an independent
journalist and former Lukashenko insider who is a fierce critic of the
regime. "Name me any other country where you get paid for being in the
opposition."

Portions of grant money have been stolen and are often misused, he
says, and have had little real impact: "Revolution is not done that
way."

While political parties may not officially receive Western cash, the
line often blurs in Belarus, a country of just 10 million with a
nascent pro-democracy movement.

"Lukashenko is right that [outside money] flows into politics," says
Paulyuk Bykowski, a political writer for the weekly Belarussian Market
newspaper. Of the 19 or so registered opposition parties, "almost every
one has 10 to 20 non-governmental organizations [eligible for outside
cash]."

Using American money to help put down democratic roots here should not
be tainted by Cold War memories of superpower meddling, says Thomas
Carothers, an analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
in Washington. "The US is helping facilitate [opponents] who are
already there," Mr. Carothers says. "If you have an election and there
are some gray areas where you can help out, this is a different
ballgame from the cold war."

Some comparisons are being made between Belarus and Serbia - where
indicted war criminal Slobodan Milosevic was ousted from power last
year, in part because of intense US support for pro-democracy
activists. A meeting at the State Department in February brought
together officials responsible for Serbia and Belarus, to see what
lessons from Belgrade might apply in Minsk.

Mr. Kozak's work on tough political nuts began in Nicaragua - preparing
for the April 1990 elections that booted the Sandinistas from power, he
is careful to say, and not with the CIA-backed Contra guerrillas. As an
assistant secretary of State and later presidential envoy, he offered
an exit deal to Panamanian strongman Manuel Noriega in 1988, and most
recently was US envoy to Cuba.

A recent letter to The Guardian newspaper in London, from an Oxford
University lecturer, complained about the "current role of so many
veterans of the dirty wars of Latin America." Kozak was singled out as
"an expert in ensuring Washington's favored candidate wins elections."

In a rare move for any US envoy, Kozak wrote a response, saying, "Our
objective and to some degree methodology are the same."

Kozak's letter focused on his work on the Nicaragua elections. But a
follow-up story in The Times of London last week about Kozak's "unusual
admission" focused on the illegal support for the Contras, and was
headlined: "US adopts 'Contras policy' in communist Belarus." Referring
to that article, the Belarus foreign minister accused Kozak of giving
"covert support" to the opposition.

Consequently, beneficiaries of US help here are closemouthed about the
extent of that aid. Newspapers, for example, receive money for items
from new computers and telephones, to paying for rent and bigger print
runs.

Some raise questions about why it appears that marginally influential
groups receive cash, while opposition parties themselves seem to go
wanting. "Obviously, we are thankful to the Americans... But I know for
sure that the budget for [opposition leader Vladimir] Goncharik is
meager," says Den deputy editor Gulayev, whose paper was raided twice
in July.

The focus, he says, should be on major newspapers and concrete help
instead of seminars on "how we should live " and "small-time
newsletters that remain piled in closets."

(c) Copyright 2001 The Christian Science Monitor.  All rights reserved.

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