.Clouds hang over special relationship

Blair's pledge of allegiance masks worry and anger over US approach

Ewen MacAskill, Richard Norton-Taylor, Julian Borger in Washington and Ian
Black in
Brussels
Friday November 9, 2001
The Guardian

Tony Blair famously pledged only hours after the attacks on New York and
Washington to
"stand shoulder to shoulder" with the US. Mr Blair, on his visit to
Washington this
week, still lined up enthusiastically with the US president, George Bush,
but there
was a gap visible for the first time.
Significant differences are appearing over how the war should be fought and
how Muslim
opinion should be won over. Central to all this are the issues of the Middle
East
conflict and Iraq.
Mr Blair returned from his Middle East trip last week convinced that there
has to be a
move towards resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. There is
frustration in
Whitehall that Washington does not share this sense of urgency.
A Downing Street spokesman insisted yesterday: "It was very clear from the
conversations that the prime minister had with the US president yesterday
that they
[the Americans] are also absolutely committed to doing what they can."
But another civil servant disagreed: "The US focus is on Afghanistan, not
the Middle
East."
The other big difference is over Iraq. Some in the US administration are
pushing for
an all-out war on any state that harbours terrorists, with Iraq lined up as
the next
target. British ministers react to this with horror.
There are differences too over the prosecution of the war. The British
position,
shared by the military and ministers, is that ground troops should be used
as quickly
as possible and that a bridgehead be established around the strategically
vital city
of Mazar-i-Sharif, as the bombing campaign creates hostility in Muslim
countries
across the world.
The use of cluster bombs and "daisy-cutters" also risks turning British
public opinion
against the war.
This underpins concern about the lack of total commitment by the US towards
the
impending humanitarian crisis. Britain would like the US to demonstrate that
the
coalition is more than cosmetic and to provide a real role for the military
of other
countries.
A British official cautioned that it would be unrealistic to expect harmony,
but the
problem is that the dividing issues threaten to become more serious.
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict
One British minister complained this week about the delay by the US
secretary of
state, Colin Powell, in making his long-awaited statement setting out the US
position
on the Middle East conflict; one that would make a historic shift in the US
balance
towards support for a viable Palestinian state.
That minister will have been even more exasperated to learn that a state
department
spokesman has now dashed expectations that the speech will be made at the UN
general
assembly in New York. Parts of it are believed to be included in President
Bush's
address to the assembly tomorrow, but it was unclear last night whether that
speech
includes mention of a Palestinian state.
Since September 11, Mr Blair has made several trips to the Middle East,
conscious that
the divide between the Palestinians and the Israelis is one of the biggest
causes of
resentment towards the US in the Muslim world.
Mr Bush has not demonstrated the same urgency. There is a strain of thinking
within
Washington that to try to resolve the Middle East conflict by switching from
its
traditional backing of Israel, would be seen as a reward for terrorism.
Mr Bush has not met the Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat since becoming
president: he
can correct that this weekend. Such a meeting would be symbolically
important for the
Arab world.
Iraq

Opinion within the US administration is divided, with some, such as the
deputy defence
secretary, Paul Wolfowitz, keen to take the war to Iraq and finish off
Saddam Hussein.
Attempts have been made by supporters of this strategy to make a link
between Bin
Laden and Saddam. The New York Times yesterday ran a lengthy piece quoting
two Iraqi
defectors as claiming the Iraqi government ran a secret camp to train
Muslims to
attack targets in the US and Europe, including hijack training.
Such pieces help establish a context in which it will be possible for the
US, if it
successfully completes its actions in Afghanistan, to turn then to Iraq.
In contrast with the mixed signals from the US administration, the British
government
is solidly opposed to any extension of the war beyond Afghanistan. One
British
diplomat said that Iraq was a "red line which Britain will not cross" unless
there was
solid evidence linking Bin Laden to Saddam, even if it was established that
Saddam had
spent the last few years preparing weapons of mass destruction.
Military
British military commanders are frustrated by US tactics and an apparent
determination
to "shut out" allies, as one defence source put it yesterday. While
Washington has
repeatedly said it wants military help, it is reluctant to acknowledge it,
let alone
use it, official sources say. "You're not the only ones. You may have said
you want us
but your body language says you do not", a well-placed defence source said
yesterday
referring to Washington's approach.
He said it was "remarkable" that not a single non-American officer had
appeared at
public briefings held by General Tommy Franks, the US commander. Seventy
British
military planners, as well as a smaller number of French, German, and
Italian, are
assigned to his headquarters in Tampa, Florida.
Tony Blair was reported as pointedly telling friends that 4,200 British
armed forces
personnel in the Gulf committed to the campaign had been made available "so
that they
can be used".
It is thought that more than 100 SAS soldiers are deployed in or around
Afghanistan
waiting for an assignment. Unlike US special forces, which rely on quick
raids, the
SAS are trained to stay on the ground for long periods.
Washington, according to British sources, insists that the next raids must
be carried
out by US special forces. These have been delayed as a result of the failure
of the
raid by US Rangers on positions near Kandahar on October 20.
British defence officials also believe the US has not paid sufficient
tribute to
air-to-air refuelling and reconnaissance operations carried out by the RAF.
Though cautious as a breed, British military commanders are increasingly
impatient
about the reluctance of the US to commit more special troops on the ground
as the
Northern Alliance has shown little sign of having much effect.
British views on how the war should be fought have support from military
strategists
inside the Pentagon, who have been pressing Gen Franks to take a more
radical and
innovative approach less reliant on bombing.
However, the institutional resistance represented by generals like Franks is
considerable. They remain steeped in the Powell doctrine(named after the
former
chairman of the joint chiefs, and current secretary of state), which
emphasised the
use of overwhelming force, air power in particular, as a means of achieving
goals with
minimum casualties - in a word: "overkill".
Humanitarian effort
The British and European governments, appear to be more engaged with the
potential
humanitarian crisis than the US.
Part of the reason the British government has been pushing for the
bridgehead is to
create 'safe havens' for refugees escaping from the harsh Taliban
government, the
bombing and starvation. The US is proving reluctant - fearful that 'safe
havens' could
be infiltrated by the Taliban.
The British are credited in US military circles for reminding US central
command on
the need for taking the humanitarian effort as seriously as the bombing
campaign.
Coalition
In Washington, the US state department shares the British concern over the
White
House's tone deafness to Arab sensitivities. The blunt objection by the
national
security adviser, Condoleezza Rice, of a pause in the bombing for Ramadan
was seen as
unnecessarily offensive by many US diplomats.
Britain's approach to the crisis involves another potential transatlantic
difference -
the European Union's role. British officials said one of Mr Blair's
objectives was to
persuade President Bush to take up other EU members - notably Italy and
Spain - on
their offers of military help.
There is mounting concern about the difficulty of maintaining EU support for
a long
war, especially one that includes continued bombing. Smaller countries,
notably
Portugal, Greece, Belgium and the Netherlands, have been offended by the way
the big
member states, led by Blair, have undermined EU attempts to forge common
policies.
While Mr Blair understands Mr Bush's need to avoid a Kosovo-type situation
in which
target lists have to be approved by 15 member states, the US also needs to
keep at
least France, Germany and Italy on side, and the others broadly supportive.
This is
where there could be a tug between the US and the EU for British loyalties.

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