http://www.marxist.com/mubarak-has-fallen-revolution-until-victory.htm

 Mubarak has fallen! - Revolution until
Victory!<http://www.marxist.com/mubarak-has-fallen-revolution-until-victory.htm>
Written by Alan Woods Friday, 11 February 2011
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*The tyrant has fallen! As I write these lines, Hosni Mubarak has resigned.
This is a great victory, not just for the people of Egypt, but for the
workers of the entire world. After 18 days of continuous revolutionary
mobilizations, with 300 dead and thousands injured, Hosni Mubarak's 30-year
tyranny is no more.*

**<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/egypt/Feb_11_Tahrir_celebrating-matthew_cassel.jpg>
*[image: Celebrations tonight]*
*This is the result of the marvellous movement of the masses, which has
faced the guns and batons of the police and courageously resisted every
attack by the forces of reaction. It is the culmination of two weeks of
revolutionary struggle that has been an inspiration to us all.*

Yesterday the mass of demonstrators thought that they had won. But the past
24 hours convinced the masses that all the negotiations and compromises were
leading nowhere. That explains why today more people than ever turned out to
protest as the idea that nothing short of a popular insurrection would lead
to the overthrow of a hated and despised autocrat. Last night, before
Mubarak spoke on television, one demonstrator on Tahrir Square told the BBC:
“I will remain here until he goes. If he does not go, tomorrow will be a
very rough day for Mubarak.” Tomorrow has now arrived.

Already at dawn thousands of people were converging on Tahrir Square, ready
for a decisive confrontation with the regime. Events have moved with
lightening speed. The movement was becoming radicalized by the hour.
Protesters were "more emboldened by the day and more determined by the day",
Ahmad Salah, an Egyptian activist, told Al Jazeera. "This is a growing
movement, it's not shrinking." Political prisoners are being released from
the jails. But there are still an unknown number of people missing,
including activists thought to be detained during the recent unrest. Human
rights groups have alleged that the Egyptian army has been involved in
illegally detaining and sometimes torturing protesters.

The mood today became angry and defiant. Al Jazeera's Ayman Mohyeldin in
Cairo reported yesterday that in the northeastern town of Port Said at least
five government buildings, including the governor's office and the office
for public housing, were set alight in two continuous days of riots. People
have been blocking roads, there have been clashes, and huge numbers of
people poured into Liberation Square. Nobody knows the real numbers involved
today but the demonstrators have been out all over Egypt in their millions.

In the provinces things went even further than in Cairo. In Suez, where the
movement has been particularly radical, and where the casualties have been
especially numerous, the people occupied all official buildings. In Asyut,
where tens of thousands have been out on the streets, they have taken over
the headquarters of the ruling party and other official buildings.

In El Arish in northern Sinai, where tens of thousands demonstrated, a crowd
of about one thousand youths broke away from the demonstration and engaged
in gun battles with the police, attacking police stations with Molotov
cocktails.

In Alexandria a crowd of at least 200,000 people gathered outside the
Ras-el-Tin palace and fraternized with the sailors who distributed food to
the protesters. Damietta, a city situated where the Nile meets the sea, has
a population of around one million. Of these, 150,000 were on the streets
today, surrounding the police stations and besieging government buildings.
Similar reports are coming from all over Egypt.

There was fury on the streets against the lying propaganda of the media.
Last night on the BBC Newsnight programme the deputy editor of the official
organ of the regime *Al Ahram* apologized to the people and promised to
print truthful reports of the demonstrations: “The people are angry with
us,” he admitted: “I have even received telephone calls threatening to burn
the building down.”

In Cairo the protesters surrounded the central television station which was
protected by paratroops. But the attitude of the troops has been friendly
and fraternization was taking place. Acoording to one eyewitness, a
paratrooper Major, was seen smiling and shaking hands with protesters, who
tell the officer: “paratroopers are OK. But we don’t want the Presidential
Guards. He smiles back. All the soldiers on the other side of the fencing
around the television building look sympathetic towards the protesters. It
is a very emotional scene.”

There were constant rumours about a march on the President’s palace. Several
hundred demonstrators left Tahrir Square in Cairo to march all the way to
the palace last night – some 15 kilometers from the square. The palace was
being defended by the army and the elite Presidential Guard. Some
commentators speculated that, while the army would not fire on them, the
Guard might do so, in which case there could have been a confrontation
between the army and the Guard.

But according to the reports, instead of shooting the protesters down, the
Army were serving breakfast. CNN reported that the soldiers and the crowd
were cheering each other. In a gesture pregnant with meaning, the tanks
turned their guns away from the demonstrators, who responded with wild
cheering. A soldier climbed out of a tank and hung an Egyptian flag on the
barrel of its gun.
Manoeuvres at the top

To put these developments in context: the first indication that something
was going on at the top was when on Thursday 10, the military's supreme
council met, in the absence of its commander in chief, Hosni Mubarak, and
announced on state TV its "support of the legitimate demands of the people".
In reality, the real decisions were made, not by the army council but on the
streets and in the factories. After weeks of sitting on the fence, the
officer caste has been knocked off its perch by the actions of the working
class and the revolutionary people.

<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/egypt/Jan_29_3-3arabawy.jpg>
[image: 29 January. Photo: 3arabawy]
The council was in permanent session "to explore what measures and
arrangements could be made to safeguard the nation, its achievements and the
ambitions of its great people". AFP quoted an army source as saying: "We are
awaiting orders that will make the people happy." By 3.34 pm euphoria had
gripped the crowd in Tahrir Square. People were cheering loudly, and once
again calling for the fall of the Mubarak regime and: "the army and the
people stand together, the army and the people stand united".

General Hassan al-Roueini, the military commander for the Cairo area, told
thousands of protesters in central Tahrir Square: "All your demands will be
met today."Since the first demand was the disappearance of Mubarak, people
naturally assumed that the President had been deposed.

A senior field commander who preferred to remain anonymous told *Ahram
Online* that the Supreme Council had taken over authority in the country,
“for an interim period”, the duration of which was to be determined later.
Asked about what such a step might mean for the president, the
vice-president and the prime minister, the armed forces commander said
"these are people who have no power over the of the armed forces."

A senior member of Egypt's governing party told the BBC he "hoped" that
President Hosni Mubarak would transfer power to Vice-President Omar
Suleiman. However, there were already some indications that Mubarak was not
willing to go quietly. One hour later contradictory messages were
circulating. Reuters quoted Egypt's information minister, Anas el-Fekky as
saying: “The president is still in power and he is not stepping down. The
president is not stepping down and everything you heard in the media is a
rumour.” It was said that Mubarak was “still in negotiations over whether to
hand power to Suleiman”. An Egyptian official told the Reuters: "It is not
decided yet ... It is still in negotiation.”

But what was there to negotiate?
Mubarak’s little surprise

President Hosni Mubarak had a little surprise prepared. His decision not to
resign evidently came as a rude shock both to the Egyptian military chiefs
and to Washington. CIA Director Leon Panetta had spoken earlier as if his
resignation were a done deal and a resolution to the crisis was guaranteed.
Other sources in Cairo spoke in the same sense. On the other side of the
Atlantic Ocean President Obama, with his customary sense of an actor’s
rhetoric, spoke of an “historic moment” that was being prepared “before our
eyes”.

Once again the old man tricked them all. Mubarak was pursuing his own
agenda. Many asked what his motivation could be. He was under intense
pressure from all sides to step down quickly. The Americans were terrified
that if he did not go soon the situation, which was already getting out of
control, would get much worse. Instead of merely changing a few faces at the
top, the direct intervention of the masses would sweep everything away; the
whole regime would go, and with it the last vestiges of US influence in
Egypt.

The problem was that he was also hearing other voices. The Saudi monarchy,
even more corrupt, rotten and reactionary than the Mubarak regime, is
terrified and realise that now their friend in Cairo has gone, they could be
next. They have been offering large sums of money to Egypt, but on condition
that at all costs Mubarak should stay. The Israelis are equally terrified of
the consequences of losing their faithful Egyptian ally, the man who enabled
them to sell the so-called Peace Plan – that vicious piece of deception - to
the world. They were anxiously pleading with everybody to cease criticising
the Egyptian President.

But the most influential voices were the ones in the President’s head. They
were telling him that he was great, that he was good, that he knew better
than anybody what was best for Egypt. Like the Absolute Monarchs of old, he
regards himself as above all laws, parliaments, parties and generals. He
considered himself the embodiment of the Nation and the supreme judge of the
People’s Will. As he spoke in calm and measured tones last night, his face
as inexpressive and stony as the funeral mask of a Pharaoh, one got the
impression of a man who had lost all touch with reality.

The people of Egypt, however, reacted to Mubarak’s speech, among other
things, with a kind of black humour which often disguises a serious message.
Here is an example: “The Interior Minister asks Hosni Mubarak to write a
Farewell Letter to the Egyptian people. Mubarak replies: Why? Where are they
going?"

The crowds who gathered in Tahrir Square with Egyptian flags, waiting
impatiently for news of his resignation, listened in shocked disbelief as he
repeated the same old platitudes. He sympathised with the youth of Egypt, he
regretted past mistakes, he wept for the blood of the martyrs and promised
to punish those responsible for their deaths (at this point the Father of
the People did not even blush), he promised a new and better life. But he
did not resign.

Shock then turned into anger – a cold fury gripped the masses, a fury even
more intense because of the high hopes that had been aroused by the earlier
rumours. All the plans of the Egyptian military were suddenly in ruins.
Instead of a “managed transition” Egypt was once again plunged into a
revolutionary maelstrom.
Key role of strike movement

The decisive element in the revolutionary equation, that eventually forced
Mubarak out, was the intervention of the working class. This is the answer
to all those “clever” ladies and gentlemen who argued that the workers were
not revolutionary or even that the working class did not exist. In the past
few days across the country, workers and unions have been joining the
protests. Nationwide strikes gave a new and irresistible momentum to the
mass demonstrations in Cairo and other cities.

All over Egypt the workers moved into action with more than 20 strikes in
the railroads and also in textile industry, among nurses and doctors, in a
hospital, in both government-owned and also privately owned factories. The
numbers are in the region of tens of thousands and have been growing all the
time. On Wednesday there was a spate of strikes in Kafr El-Zaiat, Menoufeia
and the Suez Canal zone. The *CTUWS *reported that in the textile town of
Mahalla, more than 1,500 strikers blocked roads and that more than 2,000
workers from the Sigma pharmaceutical company in Quesna went on strike.

In Giza, hundreds of young women and men held a protest in front of the Giza
governorate’s office, demanding housing. In Assiut 7,000 Asyut University
employees protested, expressing their anger at not working under proper
contracts, and low wages. The protesters demanded that they be given the
same rights as the permanent employees. Another 200 employees of the Assiut
Petrol Company continued their protest from yesterday in front of the
company’s headquarters, where they had spent the night. The protesters said
that they would refuse to move until they are given proper contracts.

In the governorate of Qena, 200 employees of Siyanco went on strike for the
day, demanding that financial guidelines be implemented, with equality for
all. Thousands of oil workers also went on strike and protested in different
parts of the country. In Ismailia, employees of the Suez Canal University,
Petrotrade and the general hospitals demanded better work conditions and
proper contracts. In Aswan in the south of Egypt, 300 employees of the
Development and Agricultural Credit Bank protested against corruption.

Egypt Telecom, one of the country’s largest telecommunications companies
also saw widespread protests in front of its various headquarters throughout
the country over the last two days. The workers are calling for proper
contracts and better wages. In Cairo, 700 Mukattam Hospital employees,
including doctors and nurses, held a protest demanding better wages and
proper labour contracts.

The doctors and nurses have been striking and demonstrating. In Ain Shams
hospital, 1000 employees protested demanding better wages and proper
contracts and health insurance for hospital staff. Even the actors have been
protesting against their union, demanding the resignation of its head,
Ashraf Zaki and that the general prosecutor launches an investigation of
corruption.

Yesterday (Thursday) thousands of medical students, doctors dressed in white
coats and lawyers in their black robes, marched in central Cairo and were
hailed by pro-democracy protesters as they entered Tahrir Square. It is well
named. This is indeed* Liberation* Square. They were joined by artists and
public transport workers, including bus drivers, all of whom had joined the
strikes. The movement is growing.

Many of these strikes are of an economic nature. Of course! The working
class is pressing its immediate demands. That is to say, they see the
Revolution as a means of fighting not just for formal democracy but for
better wages, for better working conditions – for a better life. They are
fighting for their own class demands. And this struggle will not cease just
because Hosni Mubarak is no longer sitting in the Presidential Palace.

But these are also political strikes. Mubarak has gone, but the workers have
been demanding that the unjust system upon which he rested must also go. The
workers are raising the question of democracy in the factories and in the
unions. The official government union federation, the Egyptian Trade Union
Federation (the only legal union), supported Mubarak. But they have
disappeared. The strikers are demanding the removal of the old leadership.
On January 30 a new federation was established, the Federation of Egyptian
Trade Unions (FETU), across many cities, both private and public sector.
Workers prepared the ground

Let us remind ourselves that the Egyptian Revolution was prepared by the
biggest strike movement Egypt has witnessed in more than half a century.
>From 2004 to 2008 over 1.7 million workers participated in more than 1,900
strikes and other forms of protest. In the recent period there have been
3,000 strikes, including all sectors, both government and private. Many of
them were successful, leading to wage increases. But improved living
standards were no longer enough to satisfy the workers.

Thousands of workers of the Mahalla Spinning and Weaving Company went on
strike on Thursday demanding better wages. According to the Center for Trade
Union & Workers’ Services (CTUWS), 24,000 workers took part in the protest.
The workers from the morning shift had joined their colleagues from the
night shift and gathered this morning in front of the company’s
headquarters, where they announced their strike and their solidarity with
the protesters in Tahrir Square.

The workers at government textile mills at El Mahalla el Kubra and tens of
thousands more at smaller private factories are the soul of the Egyptian
labour movement. Events in Mahalla on April 6, 2008 changed everything. Tens
of thousands of people in this city of half a million came onto the streets.
"Our slogans now are not labour union demands," said Mohamad Murad, a
railway worker, union coordinator and leftist politician. "Now we have more
general demands for change."

The police opened fire, killing two people, and crowds rampaged through the
streets, setting fire to buildings, looting shops and throwing bricks at the
officers. Protesters tore down and stomped on a giant portrait of Mubarak in
the central square. "This uprising was the first to break the barrier of
fear all over Egypt," Murad said. "On that Friday, the crowds controlled the
city". […] No one can say that Egypt was the same afterward." There is no
question that these strikes played a key role in breaking the fear of the
rest of the people, starting with the workers themselves. The April 6 youth
movement grew out of that movement of the workers.
The army

Yesterday’s events already showed that the general staff was no longer
interested in saving Mubarak but rather in saving itself and the regime upon
which its power and privileges depend. Mubarak is 82 years old and in any
case would be leaving office in September. He was a spent force and the
generals knew it. Yesterday they obviously decided to ditch him. But to
their immense surprise and irritation, the old man refused to go.

In theory, the final decision was made by the army, clearly shaken by the
events of the past 24 hours. But the army itself was showing signs of
cracking under the pressure of the masses. Al Jazeera reported yesterday of
an army Major dropping his weapons and joining the demonstrators in Tahrir
Square together with his soldiers. He announced that he was not alone but
part of a group of 15 officers of different ranks joining the revolution.
Apparently it was not as isolated case. Under these circumstances there
could be no question of using the army against the revolutionary people.
This, and the massive strike wave that has been sweeping Egypt, explains why
in the end the army council decided to ditch Mubarak.

The army may now have taken over the government in Egypt, but they do not
control the streets or the factories. Millions of Egyptians were pouring
onto the streets. The military had to act quickly or lose control of the
situation completely. But the generals had only a few choices. The first was
to do nothing, allow the crowds to grow and let them march to the
presidential palace and hope for the best. The second choice was to try to
block more demonstrators in Tahrir Square. The third was to overthrow
Mubarak.

The problem with the first option was that it would mean that the masses and
not the military, determined the course of events. The second option would
create a situation where the army might have to fire on the protesters. But
a bloody clash with the people would have lead directly to a split in the
army.

That left them with only one option, which was a coup. This should already
have been done last night so that it could have been announced before
demonstrations started to build up after Friday prayers. The delay in acting
shows that the army high command was itself divided, paralysed and incapable
of decisive action. They wanted the Boss to disappear but at the same time
they feared the consequences of his disappearance. Maybe Mubarak sensed this
and that is why he treated them with such contempt.

The fears of the army chiefs were well grounded. Now that Mubarak has gone a
heavy weight will be lifted from the shoulders of Egyptian society. The
flood gates will be open and every section of society will press for its
demands to be satisfied. But how could a military regime satisfy them?
“Revolution until Victory”

<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/egypt/Feb_8-omarroberthamilton.jpg>
[image: 8 February. Photo: omarroberthamilton]
The overthrow of Mubarak is only the first step. The Revolution has now
entered into a new phase. The fight for democracy is only the first half of
the task. The second half will be the fight against the dictatorship of the
rich: for the expropriation of the property of Mubarak and the entire ruling
clique; for the expropriation of the property of the imperialists who backed
them and kept them in power for three long decades.

Washington is watching events unfold with bated breath. Leon Panetta, the
head of the CIA said yesterday there was “a strong likelihood that Mubarak
may step down this evening, which would be significant in terms of where
the, hopefully, orderly transition in Egypt takes place.” What the Americans
understand by an “orderly transition” is a transition controlled by the CIA.
But this is not going to happen.

The situation has gone too far, the masses are aroused and will take this
victory, not as a signal to demobilize but to press for their demands. By
clinging to power to the bitter end, Mubarak radicalized the whole
situation. Any chance of a “managed transition” has been fatally undermined.
The Americans were frantically manoeuvring with the tops of the army to
replace Mubarak by Omar Suleiman. But now Suleiman has had to go together
with his master.

The people did not trust Suleiman any more than Mubarak. Let us remember
that Suleiman told the American television station ABC that Egyptians were
"not ready" for democracy. He also warned that if protesters did not enter
into dialogue with the Mubarak government, the army could have been forced
into carrying out a coup. How could such a man be trusted with introducing
democracy in Egypt? One protester said that if Omar Suleiman takes over from
Mubarak: "all that will happen is that everyone in Tahrir will rewrite their
signs, and then carry on demonstrating".

The regime finally cracked under the hammer blows of the Revolution. On
Wednesday, Gaber Asfour, the recently appointed culture minister, resigned
from Mubarak's cabinet “for health reasons”. Today Hossam Badrawi, the
General Secretary of the NDP, the ruling party, has just resigned from it.
Others will follow. The rats are already hurrying to desert the sinking
ship.

In the absence of any alternative, the army high command has taken over. But
despite appearances, they too are powerless. The Army Council has taken over
on the crest of a revolutionary wave. Tanks and guns are all very well, but
they cannot provide jobs for the unemployed, or feed the hungry, or house
the homeless, or reduce the high cost of food. The army taking power under
these circumstances, therefore, will want to hand power to a civilian
government as soon as possible. It may well call elections in September or
even sooner. There is no lack of candidates for the job of president and
prime minister. El Baradei is waiting impatiently in the wings.

But none of the burning problems of Egyptian society can be solved by a
“market economy”. Egyptian society suffers from rising prices and
unemployment. There are seven million people unemployed [about 10 percent of
the workforce]. 76 percent of young people have no job. Wages are low. Most
government workers (about five million people) make about $70 a month. In
the private sector, wages are about $110 a month. There is a severe housing
problem and some poor people are living in cemeteries. Four million people
are without any rights to healthcare. They are not even recognized as part
of the working force in any contractual way.

There is a burning anger against inequality and corruption. Independent
journalists are highlighting the all-pervading corruption that is the chief
characteristic of the old regime. Billions of dollars are missing. The *
Guardian* published an estimate of $12 billion for the Mubarak family alone.
This has provoked fury and disgust, in a country where 40 percent live under
the poverty level. Now the Egyptian worker will say: “I want my rights,
where are our rights?” No bourgeois government can give the workers their
rights or solve any of the fundamental problems of the Egyptian people.

The working class is now the real motor force of the Revolution. Until
recently the demands of the Revolution had been political, centring on the
fight for democratic rights. But the workers are giving the programme a
social-revolutionary character. Yesterday we published the programme of the
iron and steel workers of Helwan, an industrial city on the banks of the
Nile.

This is a very advanced programme that expresses the desire of the workers
to carry the Revolution through to the end. Yesterday in Helwan, five
military factories were on strike. Today the workers of Helwan Military
Factory number 63 were in Tahrir Square carrying a banner that said simply
"thawra hatta'l nasr" (Revolution until Victory), and they meant it.

The Egyptian Revolution has begun but it has not finished. In order to solve
the problems of Egyptian society, it is necessary to break with capitalism,
expropriate the capitalists and imperialists and carry out the socialist
transformation of society. This is both possible and necessary. What we have
seen today shows that once the workers are mobilized to change society, no
force on earth can stop them. It is a lesson that sooner or later will be
learnt by the workers and youth of all lands.

*The people of Egypt are rejoicing and we rejoice with them. Anything is
possible now. Let our slogan be: Revolution until Victory!*

   - *Long Live the Egyptian Revolution!*
   - *Long Live Socialism!*
   - *Workers of the world, unite!*


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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