On 9 Jan 2012, at 2129, Rob Seaman wrote:

>> 
>> Pages 7 and 8 appear to be assertions that it's true, rather than any solid 
>> reasons why it's true.
> 
> I'll try harder next time.

The problem is

> A more accurate statement is: “Civil time is mean solar time”, because this 
> is really just a definition of terms (p.7)

I know you really, fervently believe that to be not only true currently but 
inevitably and essentially true, but it just isn't.   For a start off, as the 
examples of Penzance, Vigo and Brest show (and I'm sure there are other 
examples of places 4 and more degrees east of the timezone they are 
administratively placed in where the offset is in the opposite direction), 
civil time is at best a very loose approximation of mean solar time as adjusted 
for the local timezone.  Civil time _used_ to be closer to mean solar time, but 
the coming of the railways  and the development of large extra-national 
organisations has rather stopped all that.   When civil time is routinely an 
hour or more out from local mean solar time, the issue of TAI, UTC, UT1, etc is 
in the noise floor, and will remain so for hundreds of years to come.

DST massively complicates matters, so that for an hour a year civil time is 
discontinuous and for another hour it's not only discontinuous but also not 
even monotonic.   But let's ignore that, and consider the case of local civil 
time in November: its relationship with mean solar time is loose in the 
extreme, and changes as you drive up the A30, the M5 and the M4 from Penzance 
towards London, or insert your own eastbound journey.  By driving for four 
hours, you can alter the relationship between civil time and mean solar time by 
twenty minutes.  If it's a requirement that civil time be mean solar time, then 
the fact that a four hour drive has the same effect as several centuries of 
drift is a bit of a contradiction.

And I think this is at the heart of your failure to convince people.  I think 
civil time is a distant relative of mean solar time, which in order to reflect 
some long-standing cultural assumptions is maintained as something 
approximately aligned to mean solar time.  However, as tradition and 
convenience diverge, people who need to know the difference know where to get 
it and for everyone else, it just doesn't matter.  Timetables, appointments and 
the TV Guide are in civil time; your watch is set to civil time; your computer 
and your PCR display civil time; the radio news bulletin announces civil time.  
If the sun's directly overhead at 9pm you might get concerned, but so long as 
it's not as absurd as that, you don't care, just so long as the ten o'clock 
news starts at ten o'clock, whether you're in London or Penzance (this argument 
applies, mutatis mutandis, in countries with multiple time zones)

Now there are use-cases, of which you have many, which mean you need access to 
assorted high-precision time scales with defined properties (I assume most of 
them are about earth orientation, and therefore intimately tied up with your 
physical location).  At the moment, you can derive those to high precision from 
UTC, DUT1, your location and some other constants.  Were UTC not to be hitched 
to UT1, either DUT1 will become larger in magnitude (which you foresee 
presenting problems), or an extra variable representing the integer portion of 
DUT1 (which will obviously change more slowly, having a resolution of only 1s, 
but will change over the lifetime of a given system) needs to be distributed 
somehow, or you're screwed.  We understand that.  There's also some merit --- 
but, as I suspect you deduce from the vibes, a merit not everyone is convinced 
of --- in the idea that the status quo is changing and therefore those the onus 
is on those that wish to see the change.  

But the argument that there is an inherent need for civil time to be coupled to 
mean solar time is debatable, to put it mildly, and your continued assertion 
that it's necessarily true and there's no point in debating it is putting 
people off the rest of your argument.  You either need to justify it a lot more 
carefully, including  explaining why the ~2 hour offsets routinely seen today 
don't cause anyone any difficulty, and why in some countries (ie, the UK) there 
are serious proposals with popular support to _increase_ the offset, or you 
need to construct the rest of your argument without reference to this 
not-axiom.  Because at the moment, people can immediately see that the claim is 
untrue in many cases, and therefore that any argument built on it is similarly 
untrue.

ian
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