>> The advantages of gas-fired home furnaces are they are generally not
subject to distribution disruption

How do you power the gas-fired furnace if you lose power to your home
anyways?

Best,
Lacho


On Mon, Dec 29, 2025 at 8:28 PM Nick Gardner <[email protected]> wrote:

> COP is used because it's a lot easier to understand than BTU/kWh. Everyone
> agrees there may be a point where gas heating emits less carbon than using
> gas fired electricity to power a cold climate heat pump, but those
> circumstances are very rare and over the course of a year the heat pump
> will have vastly lower emissions, and will only have lower emissions over
> time as the grid gets greener.
>
> I agree grid reliability isn't amazing in Lincoln with overhead power
> lines and lots of trees. But a battery and/or a generator is a great
> emergency backup.
>
> -Nick
>
> On Mon, Dec 29, 2025, 19:51 Arthur Buckland <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>>
>> Thank you, what a huge benefit to all of us to have Lincoln's CREE group-
>> a wonderful resource for us non-technical older folks
>>
>> Yes, it is true Mitsubishi’s new inverter-driven compressors (cold
>> temperature HVACs) are an engineering marvel. Their low temperature models
>> even perform much better at high temps than conventional HVACs, and even
>> many stand alone AC units. Mitsubishi does though obfuscate their
>> efficiency numbers by using this vague COP metric and then give a
>> multiplier in their engineering manuals in a different section, and never
>> ever give the normal efficiency curves for this type of equipment. And it
>> appears they are intentionally trying to hide the kWh (kilowatt hours- this
>> is half of the charges on your Eversource bill the other half is a
>> "delivery charge") to BTU (British thermal Units or "therms") efficiencies
>>
>> Mainly, I am most concerned about the unreliable and inefficient Lincoln
>> electricity distribution system. If there is a power outage in a storm no
>> matter how efficient the HVAC is, there is no heat produced. In this last
>> storm one of the Hive stated they had no electricity for 28 hours and it
>> was not even a big storm. The advantages of gas-fired home furnaces are
>> they are generally not subject to distribution disruption and have a 98%
>> conversion from natural gas to BTUs. That compares with modern gas-fired
>> CCGT electricity power plants which run at best a 62% gas to kWh conversion
>> rate and then send the electricity down our Lincoln grid which has at best
>> an 8% transmission loss. That means our electricity uses  ~2X  more gas,
>> generating twice the carbon, before any HVAC begins to convert the
>> electricity to heat
>> For the Mitsubishi model MUZ-FH12NAH-1 (one of the best cold temp HVACs)
>> I asked Chat GPT to convert the  Mitsubishi published COP numbers to BTU
>> heat delivered per 1kWh:
>> *Outdoor ambient temp (degrees f,)* * BTU heat /1 kWh*
>>
>>    47 15,354 (normal above this)
>>      17   8,456
>> 5    7,376
>> -13 6,824
>> So I think you can see once you get below 15 degrees Fahrenheit you
>> consume twice the electricity to heat your home ( with 4X the carbon
>> produced) , but the good news is, if you have one of these systems, they
>> continue to heat down to pretty low temperatures as long as there is
>> electricity.
>>
>> I should be clear; we have this model of cold temp Mitsubishi mini split
>> installed in our home. It is for an auxiliary room without plumbing and we
>> will be installing US-made 24% efficiency solar panels with batteries
>> (unfortunately using Chinese precious metals) to power it and charge our
>> Mitsubishi (coincidentally) hybrid car
>>
>> I am, I guess, particularly sensitive to this matter, because  we moved
>> here from Concord, MA where the electricity costs about a third of what it
>> does here in Lincoln and we had one power outage in 16 years that lasted 4
>> hours. We have already had 2 outages in a year from a mild storm and a car
>> crash. The old power lines here are badly maintained with trees and bushes
>> hanging all over the lines, but it gives Eversource a license to charge
>> huge delivery bills
>>
>>
>> With warm regards,
>> Art
>> +1 978.873.3000
>>
>>
>>
>> On Dec 29, 2025, at 11:05 AM, Stephen Dirrane <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>>
>> Hello All-
>>
>> Chuck Sizer, a founding member of Lincoln’s CFREE (carbon free
>> residential- everything electric) group and a refrigeration engineer,
>> monitored the coefficiency of performance (CoP) on his Mitsubishi heat pump
>> a few years back when the temperature dropped to subzero temperatures.
>>
>> Having been at his house and looked at all of the graphs with watt
>> consumption tied in, I was amazed to see that, as Nick suggests, the CoP
>> was able to shadow the temperatures exactly- meaning there was no increase
>> of cost to provide temperature per degree with a heat pump; so the
>> efficiency and economy maintained all the way to -5°.  Hvac engineer savant
>> Antis Hartmann echoed Nick’s statement about newer systems having a steady
>> CoP all the way down to -15°.
>>
>> Lincoln is fortunate to have perhaps the most advanced committee
>> reviewing apparatus, legislation and other initiatives towards more
>> environmentally, sustainable and efficient energy with the CFREE group.
>> Their meetings are advertise through Town’s website and a lot of their
>> information has been posted to YouTube. For any resident consider
>> considering upgrading their heating system, adding solar panels, and/or
>> battery backups, or even considering an EV versus another combustion engine
>> purchase, please reach out and take advantage of this amazing group of
>> community- minded, locally active (slightly nerdy) individuals who have
>> amassed tremendous amounts of information and insight.
>>
>> Stephen Dirrane
>>
>>
>> Sent from my iPhone
>>
>> On Dec 28, 2025, at 8:43 PM, Nick Gardner <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> 
>> That is unfortunately outdated information. With modern cold climate heat
>> pumps, the heat pumps are more environmentally friendly than natural gas
>> heating at around 15f if you're on the Lincoln basic plan and have a 95%
>> efficient furnace. If you are on the standard plan, it's *always* more
>> environmentally friendly to run the heat pumps instead of gas. The
>> technology has greatly improved recently. Happy to go over the numbers with
>> anyone if they'd like, I'm a bit proponent of heat pumps.
>>
>> I do agree about power reliability, but battery backup solutions have
>> gotten a lot better recently as well.
>>
>> -Nick
>>
>> On Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 20:09 Arthur Buckland <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Thank you, Nick,
>>>
>>> You are correct that point 1 about the unreliable Lincoln electric grid
>>> is the most important
>>>
>>> But you might check your HVAC system:
>>>
>>> “Areas of the country subjected to temperatures 40 degrees and lower for
>>> extended periods are not ideal for a heat pump installation.
>>>
>>> Why? Well, as the temperature drops, heat pumps work harder to maintain
>>> desired comfort levels. This results in more energy use, driving up your
>>> utility bill.
>>>
>>> In addition, once the temperature drops below 40 degrees, most heat pump
>>> systems lose their heating efficiency and must switch to emergency heat
>>> mode, which utilizes electric resistant heat strips that use more
>>> electricity.”
>>>
>>> And you are correct, below 0 f. the heat strips are almost useless
>>> except to generate huge electric bills. It is like heating your home with
>>> non-oil-filled electric space heaters
>>>
>>> Also since Massachusetts generally has very efficient
>>> gas-fired/generated electricity on our grid, the extra electricity to
>>> generate heat from HVACs consumes vastly more green house gases than direct
>>> conversion from gas at our homes
>>>
>>>  Heating with electricity below 32f is bad for the environment.
>>> With warm regards, wishing all a peaceful and healthy 2026
>>> Art
>>> +1 978.873.3000
>>>
>>> On Dec 28, 2025, at 6:26 PM, Nick Gardner <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>> 
>>> I'd push back against number 2 in particular. Cold climate heat pumps
>>> typically provide full output down to 5f and still operate at -13f. I and
>>> many others use heat pumps as a primary method of HVAC and have had no
>>> issue even on the coldest of cold days.
>>>
>>> -Nick
>>>
>>> On Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 18:17 Arthur Buckland via Lincoln <
>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Rosemary
>>>>
>>>> Erik Lyons - (978) 621-2642
>>>> New business, hard working, local
>>>>
>>>> Max heating & cooling
>>>> Sam or Dan
>>>> (617) 453-8865
>>>> Best in Boston
>>>>
>>>> Do not use HVAC for heating in Lincoln
>>>> 1. Lincoln’s electric grid is too unreliable (I think Eversource
>>>> cultivates tree growth over our old fragile power lines)
>>>> 2. HVACs are not designed for very cold weather which we occasionally
>>>> have
>>>>
>>>> If you insist on HVACs have a good wood- burning stove in the house
>>>>
>>>> With warm regards,
>>>> Art
>>>> +1 978.873.3000
>>>>
>>>> On Dec 28, 2025, at 10:12 AM, Deb Wallace <[email protected]>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> 
>>>> Rosemary,
>>>>
>>>> Have you tried Haffner's formerly Concord Oil? They have been servicing
>>>> my furnace for decades and I have been very satisfied with them.
>>>> https://www.haffners.com/
>>>>
>>>> Deb
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Sun, Dec 28, 2025 at 8:43 AM Rosemary Lloyd <[email protected]>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Hello Hive,
>>>>> We need to replace two gas fired furnaces (sadly, two reputable
>>>>> companies have concluded we cannot replace with heat pumps). Looking for
>>>>> recommendations for high efficiency furnace and a great company to procure
>>>>> and install them. Thanks!
>>>>>
>>>>> Rosemary
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