A generator comes in handy in that case, as happened early this morning.

Regards,

SRK

Steven R. Kanner, MD
Lincoln, MA
From: Lincoln <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Lacho Ranchev
Sent: Monday, December 29, 2025 10:36 PM
To: Nick Gardner <[email protected]>
Cc: LincolnTalk <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [LincolnTalk] associated HVAC efficiencies

>> The advantages of gas-fired home furnaces are they are generally not subject 
>> to distribution disruption

How do you power the gas-fired furnace if you lose power to your home anyways?

Best,
Lacho


On Mon, Dec 29, 2025 at 8:28 PM Nick Gardner 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
COP is used because it's a lot easier to understand than BTU/kWh. Everyone 
agrees there may be a point where gas heating emits less carbon than using gas 
fired electricity to power a cold climate heat pump, but those circumstances 
are very rare and over the course of a year the heat pump will have vastly 
lower emissions, and will only have lower emissions over time as the grid gets 
greener.

I agree grid reliability isn't amazing in Lincoln with overhead power lines and 
lots of trees. But a battery and/or a generator is a great emergency backup.

-Nick
On Mon, Dec 29, 2025, 19:51 Arthur Buckland 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

Thank you, what a huge benefit to all of us to have Lincoln's CREE group- a 
wonderful resource for us non-technical older folks

Yes, it is true Mitsubishi’s new inverter-driven compressors (cold temperature 
HVACs) are an engineering marvel. Their low temperature models even perform 
much better at high temps than conventional HVACs, and even many stand alone AC 
units. Mitsubishi does though obfuscate their efficiency numbers by using this 
vague COP metric and then give a multiplier in their engineering manuals in a 
different section, and never ever give the normal efficiency curves for this 
type of equipment. And it appears they are intentionally trying to hide the kWh 
(kilowatt hours- this is half of the charges on your Eversource bill the other 
half is a "delivery charge") to BTU (British thermal Units or "therms") 
efficiencies

Mainly, I am most concerned about the unreliable and inefficient Lincoln 
electricity distribution system. If there is a power outage in a storm no 
matter how efficient the HVAC is, there is no heat produced. In this last storm 
one of the Hive stated they had no electricity for 28 hours and it was not even 
a big storm. The advantages of gas-fired home furnaces are they are generally 
not subject to distribution disruption and have a 98% conversion from natural 
gas to BTUs. That compares with modern gas-fired CCGT electricity power plants 
which run at best a 62% gas to kWh conversion rate and then send the 
electricity down our Lincoln grid which has at best an 8% transmission loss. 
That means our electricity uses  ~2X  more gas,  generating twice the carbon, 
before any HVAC begins to convert the electricity to heat
For the Mitsubishi model MUZ-FH12NAH-1 (one of the best cold temp HVACs) I 
asked Chat GPT to convert the  Mitsubishi published COP numbers to BTU heat 
delivered per 1kWh:
Outdoor ambient temp (degrees f,)    BTU heat /1 kWh

   47                                15,354 (normal above this)
     17                                  8,456
     5                                   7,376
   -13                                 6,824
So I think you can see once you get below 15 degrees Fahrenheit you consume 
twice the electricity to heat your home ( with 4X the carbon produced) , but 
the good news is, if you have one of these systems, they continue to heat down 
to pretty low temperatures as long as there is electricity.

I should be clear; we have this model of cold temp Mitsubishi mini split 
installed in our home. It is for an auxiliary room without plumbing and we will 
be installing US-made 24% efficiency solar panels with batteries (unfortunately 
using Chinese precious metals) to power it and charge our Mitsubishi 
(coincidentally) hybrid car

I am, I guess, particularly sensitive to this matter, because  we moved here 
from Concord, MA where the electricity costs about a third of what it does here 
in Lincoln and we had one power outage in 16 years that lasted 4 hours. We have 
already had 2 outages in a year from a mild storm and a car crash. The old 
power lines here are badly maintained with trees and bushes hanging all over 
the lines, but it gives Eversource a license to charge huge delivery bills


With warm regards,
Art
+1 978.873.3000




On Dec 29, 2025, at 11:05 AM, Stephen Dirrane 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Hello All-

Chuck Sizer, a founding member of Lincoln’s CFREE (carbon free residential- 
everything electric) group and a refrigeration engineer, monitored the 
coefficiency of performance (CoP) on his Mitsubishi heat pump a few years back 
when the temperature dropped to subzero temperatures.

Having been at his house and looked at all of the graphs with watt consumption 
tied in, I was amazed to see that, as Nick suggests, the CoP was able to shadow 
the temperatures exactly- meaning there was no increase of cost to provide 
temperature per degree with a heat pump; so the efficiency and economy 
maintained all the way to -5°.  Hvac engineer savant Antis Hartmann echoed 
Nick’s statement about newer systems having a steady CoP all the way down to 
-15°.

Lincoln is fortunate to have perhaps the most advanced committee reviewing 
apparatus, legislation and other initiatives towards more environmentally, 
sustainable and efficient energy with the CFREE group. Their meetings are 
advertise through Town’s website and a lot of their information has been posted 
to YouTube. For any resident consider considering upgrading their heating 
system, adding solar panels, and/or battery backups, or even considering an EV 
versus another combustion engine purchase, please reach out and take advantage 
of this amazing group of community- minded, locally active (slightly nerdy) 
individuals who have amassed tremendous amounts of information and insight.

Stephen Dirrane


Sent from my iPhone


On Dec 28, 2025, at 8:43 PM, Nick Gardner 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

That is unfortunately outdated information. With modern cold climate heat 
pumps, the heat pumps are more environmentally friendly than natural gas 
heating at around 15f if you're on the Lincoln basic plan and have a 95% 
efficient furnace. If you are on the standard plan, it's *always* more 
environmentally friendly to run the heat pumps instead of gas. The technology 
has greatly improved recently. Happy to go over the numbers with anyone if 
they'd like, I'm a bit proponent of heat pumps.

I do agree about power reliability, but battery backup solutions have gotten a 
lot better recently as well.

-Nick

On Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 20:09 Arthur Buckland 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

Thank you, Nick,

You are correct that point 1 about the unreliable Lincoln electric grid is the 
most important

But you might check your HVAC system:

“Areas of the country subjected to temperatures 40 degrees and lower for 
extended periods are not ideal for a heat pump installation.

Why? Well, as the temperature drops, heat pumps work harder to maintain desired 
comfort levels. This results in more energy use, driving up your utility bill.

In addition, once the temperature drops below 40 degrees, most heat pump 
systems lose their heating efficiency and must switch to emergency heat mode, 
which utilizes electric resistant heat strips that use more electricity.”

And you are correct, below 0 f. the heat strips are almost useless except to 
generate huge electric bills. It is like heating your home with non-oil-filled 
electric space heaters

Also since Massachusetts generally has very efficient gas-fired/generated 
electricity on our grid, the extra electricity to generate heat from HVACs 
consumes vastly more green house gases than direct conversion from gas at our 
homes

 Heating with electricity below 32f is bad for the environment.
With warm regards, wishing all a peaceful and healthy 2026
Art
+1 978.873.3000


On Dec 28, 2025, at 6:26 PM, Nick Gardner 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

I'd push back against number 2 in particular. Cold climate heat pumps typically 
provide full output down to 5f and still operate at -13f. I and many others use 
heat pumps as a primary method of HVAC and have had no issue even on the 
coldest of cold days.

-Nick
On Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 18:17 Arthur Buckland via Lincoln 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Rosemary

Erik Lyons - (978) 621-2642
New business, hard working, local

Max heating & cooling
Sam or Dan
(617) 453-8865
Best in Boston

Do not use HVAC for heating in Lincoln
1. Lincoln’s electric grid is too unreliable (I think Eversource cultivates 
tree growth over our old fragile power lines)
2. HVACs are not designed for very cold weather which we occasionally have

If you insist on HVACs have a good wood- burning stove in the house

With warm regards,
Art
+1 978.873.3000


On Dec 28, 2025, at 10:12 AM, Deb Wallace 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

Rosemary,

Have you tried Haffner's formerly Concord Oil? They have been servicing my 
furnace for decades and I have been very satisfied with them.    
https://www.haffners.com/

Deb


On Sun, Dec 28, 2025 at 8:43 AM Rosemary Lloyd 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Hello Hive,
We need to replace two gas fired furnaces (sadly, two reputable companies have 
concluded we cannot replace with heat pumps). Looking for recommendations for 
high efficiency furnace and a great company to procure and install them. Thanks!

Rosemary
--
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>.
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.
--
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>.
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.
--
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>.
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.
--
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>.
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.
--
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>.
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.
--
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>.
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.
-- 
The LincolnTalk mailing list.
To post, send mail to [email protected].
Browse the archives at https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/private/lincoln/.
Change your subscription settings at 
https://pairlist9.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/lincoln.

Reply via email to