On Monday 28 November 2011 01:14:01 [email protected] wrote:
> On Monday 28 November 2011 00:40:22 Dinesh Shah wrote:
> > On Mon, Nov 28, 2011 at 12:23 AM,  <[email protected]> wrote:
> > > On Sunday 27 November 2011 23:34:27 Binand Sethumadhavan wrote:
> > >> On 27 November 2011 23:12, Dinesh Shah (દિનેશ શાહ/दिनेश शाह)
> > >>
> > >> <[email protected]> wrote:
> > >> > BTW, far more number of people die in road and rail accidents in
> > >> > India and around the world than nuclear reactors going bust.
> > >> >
> > >> > Should we ban all road and rail travel? after all  auto-mobiles and
> > >> > rail are also considered technology.
> > >>
> > >> This particular meme seems to be absolutely standard around the world,
> > >> to be used in all scenarios where one wants to enforce one's point of
> > >> view. And of course, it is plain wrong.
> > >>
> > >> Road accidents can be certainly reduced by banning road travel, and
> > >> that is obviously not a decision you want to make. So you will start
> > >> by identifying particular stretches of roads that seem to be more
> > >> dangerous than others and (a) ban traffic on those stretches, or (b)
> > >> improve those stretches to eliminate the accident-causing factors.
> > >> Since banning is still not an option, you will turn to the latter.
> > >>
> > >> If you do that in a structured way, you will also further emerge with
> > >> metrics like "accidents per 1000 vehicles" or "accidents per 1000
> > >> route-km" and so on, that will allow you to meaningfully compare two
> > >> separate stretches of roads.
> > >>
> > >> And then you will attempt to do a similar analysis with a planned
> > >> nuclear reactor. You will end up realizing that in terms of the metric
> > >> that can be meaningfully compared - like  "deaths per 1000 population"
> > >> or "deaths per year of operation" - your average nuclear reactor is
> > >> several orders of magnitude more dangerous that your average state
> > >> highway.
> > >>
> > >> Now you will start factoring in the probability of a failure. At which
> > >> point, after investigating the geological and other factors, you will
> > >> hopefully realize the killer legacy our current incumbent in the PMO
> > >> is hell bent on leaving for our children.
> > >
> > > Well said.
> > >
> > > There was a similiar strawman argument "more people die of shark bites
> > > than nuclear accidents''. Ofcourse ofcourse. BUT the death rate is near
> > > 100% when your boat meets with an accident in shark infested waters.
> > > And more importantly it stops with you. You see, your wife on the beach
> > > does not get killed 30 years later automagically.
> >
> > It looks like whatever argument put forward here is not convenient to
> > your, it becomes "strawman argument". :-)
> >
> > Since you don't like road accident argument I will change to fire. We
> > have learned a great deal to use and control fire. Still fire causes
> > death and destruction. We sure don't want to stop using fire for
> > current and future gen?
>
> Sure. Read shark part again. Fire stops destruction at the end of fire.
> Ones kith and kin and random joes walking past the fire site  wont die 10
> years from now.
>
> A nuclear disaster - actually even when not a disaster - does not end with
> the destruction of the reactor. It continues for a few centuries
> afterwards. It does not stop at the site. It keeps spreading wider and
> wider. It
> concentrates it self in the food chain (read about strontium, cesium,
> cobalt).
>
> > > Unfortunately one has to deal with these type of factually wrong
> > > statements all the while.
> >
> > Really? I would like to know which are wrong statements? (so I can
> > learn to make right statements :-) )
>
> Read about radioactivity and half life. Also those readings from Geiger
> counters tell you less than half a story. In Japan, NGOs took apart car air
> filters and tested for radioactivity. The radioactivity was 100 times
> higher in 100% of the cases and 100 times higher in a significant number of
> cases.

a 1000 times higher in a number of cases.
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