Dear MARMAM Community,

My co-authors and I are pleased to announce our new publication in
Endangered Species Research:

Lomac-MacNair, K., Blank, J., Blees, M., Wisdom, S., Perham, C., Crawford,
J., Onoufriou, J. and Quakenbush, L., Behavioral reactions of non-denning
polar bears to industry activities, North Slope, Alaska, 2009-2023.
Endangered Species Research, pp.1-17.

Abstract: Polar bears Ursus maritimus from the Southern Beaufort Sea
subpopulation overlap with oil and gas industry activities in the Beaufort
Sea and northern coast of Alaska, USA. Under the Marine Mammal Protection
Act, the US Fish and Wildlife Service authorizes incidental, non lethal
Level B harassment of polar bears and currently applies a 1610 m impact
area around industrial activities to estimate potential disturbance. This
study analyzed 2058 polar bear observation reports collected from 2009 to
2023, including 1762 with distance data, and evaluated covariates including
group composition (e.g. presence of cubs), season, nearest industry
activity, activity type (stationary or mobile), bear reaction, and the
distance at which a reaction occurred. Of the 2058 polar bear groups, 93%
(n = 1918) exhibited no behavioral reaction, and 7% (n = 140) reacted by
walking, swimming, or running away. Most observed reactions (91%) occurred
at distances less than 805 m from industry activity, with a mean reaction
distance of approximately 300 m. Using logistic regression with model
selection, the probability of a polar bear reacting to industry activity
was primarily influenced by distance and activity type, but not by season
or group composition. Polar bears were more likely to react to mobile
activities (vehicles, vessels, and aircraft) than to stationary (pad
operations) at equivalent distances. For stationary activities, predicted
reaction probabilities remained below 3% at both 805 and 1610 m, indicating
that the current 1610 m impact area is likely conservative. These findings
provide quantitative support for refining disturbance estimates and
incidental take assessments for stationary industrial activities on
Alaska’s North Slope.

Our paper is available online: https://doi.org/10.3354/esr01537

Cheers,

Kate
Kate Lomac-MacNair, PhD
Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
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