I think that the GOP is heading towards a split and may well soon become two 
separate parties with one party arising from the GOP's corporate wing and the 
other party from its white nationalist  Trumpist wing. In fact, Trump has been 
reported as talking with his aids about this very scenario. If that happens 
then the Democrats may well be able to hold on to the White House for the 
foreseeable future, which would explain why the Jacobin/DSA would be nervous 
about someone like Howie Hawkins possibly playing a "spoiler" role in 2024 
since a strong run by a Green or independent leftist candidate could upset the 
apple cart for the Democrats in 2024, especially if the economy should still be 
mired in an economic downturn.

Meanwhile, top Republicans like Mitch McConnell are trying to split the 
difference between the contending Republican factions - condemning Trump on the 
one hand while voting to acquit him on the other hand. That, however, is not 
likely to stop the GOP from splitting into two.


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