On Wed, Mar 20, 2024 at 03:57 PM, gojko rakic wrote:

> 
> Some are saying there would be no October Revolution if there was no
> Lenin, especially his skills in arguing his case, which he demonstrated
> many times.

True, a crisis is when leadership can be decisive. What if Lenin's April Theses 
had been rejected? The dual power situation couldn't last indefinitely. If the 
Reds hadn't taken power, the Whites would have. They would have crushed the 
Soviets and a counter-revolutionary bloodbath would have ensued. The 20th 
century is replete with such examples. As it was, a civil war and imperialist 
intervention followed. But it was the Bolshevik control of the state and its 
resources which allowed it to effectively mobilize and organize the masses to 
prevent a restoration of the old regime.

The tragedy of our times is that the revolution did not spread to Germany and 
to the rest of the advanced capitalist countries. The much less developed USSR 
was left isolated and beseiged and, despite some remarkable accomplishments, 
inevitably displayed the repressive features and economic hardships 
characteristic of any society under seige.

Liberals and social democrats who have wished since 1917 that Kerensky's 
provisional government had survived and transitioned peacefully into a 
multi-party parliamentary democracy were dreaming. It was a question of whether 
a red or a white one-party state would emerge from the chaos in that highly 
polarized society. At best, the decision could have been postponed - anyone 
remember the Weimar Republic? - but not indefinitely.


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