As I recall, both Lenin and Trotsky were certain that the revolution could
not possibly survive if the working class in West Europe - especially
Germany - didn't take power and assist backward, isolated Russia. They had
no doubt that soon it would be extinguished by the small size of the
proletariat, mass illiteracy, and the huge loss of life and
economic decimation caused by WW1 and the civil war, aided by half a dozen
imperialist countries. No one spoke of "socialism in one country" until the
Stalin faction in the mid 1920s sought to prettify the reality and appeal
to patriotism to sell the country's condition as positive and not nearly
hopeless. "We don't need the assistance of outsiders - we can build
socialism by ourselves!" was their thinking which ultimately led to Popular
Frontism and alliances with the British/French/US imperialists to convince
them to leave the USSR alone in exchange for class collaboration. Trotsky
criticized this as a denial of material reality and never expected it to
survive, even in a deformed and degenerated state, stressing that the only
force that the USSR could really rely upon and trust was the working class
of other countries.

On Thu, Oct 17, 2024 at 10:56 AM Marv Gandall via groups.io <marvgand2=
gmail....@groups.io> wrote:

> On Thu, Oct 17, 2024 at 01:00 AM, John Edmundson wrote:
>
> Trotsky died 50 years before the collapse of the Soviet Union. Any
> 'expectations' he might have had in the1940s for a progressive result in
> the USSR have absolutely no bearing on what happened in 1989.
>
> Neither his nor our expectations right through to 1989 bore any relation
> to what actually happened, John.  I was replying to Artesian's comment
> that, unlike Lenin, Trotsky, and the Bolsheviks who took power, a true
> historical materialist would have understood from the outset that the USSR
> could not survive in a predominantly peasant economy lagging the more
> advanced industrialized West.  In fact, that was what Plekhanov and the
> Mensheviks warned against, as Gojko pointed out here:
> https://groups.io/g/marxmail/message/29566
>


> _._,_._,_
>
>


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