On Thu, Oct 17, 2024 at 08:36 AM, Dennis Brasky wrote:

> 
> Trotsky criticized this as a denial of material reality and never expected
> it to survive, even in a deformed and degenerated state, stressing that
> the only force that the USSR could really rely upon and trust was the
> working class of other countries.

Trotsky, however, thought the restoration of capitalism was the least likely 
outcome. Instead, he expected that the impending world war would usher in the 
world revolution, including in the Soviet Union, where forces loyal to the 
newly-founded Fourth International would everywhere displace the Stalinists and 
social democrats.

A related question:  If the material conditions for an enduring socialist 
revolution were considered not to be present in Russia, even after 
industrialization under Stalin, why the assumption that those conditions were 
present in Spain in the 30's and Chile in the 70's, the two examples most 
frequently cited by critics of the Popular Front? What evidence is there that 
an attempt at socialist revolution in these equally less developed countries 
would not have been crushed, as they were by the Francos and Pinochets backed 
by imperialism?  Would not such an attempt have even more surely brought French 
and British forces into Spain and US military intervention in Chile if 
necessary? Why the certainty that these revolts would have triggered 
revolutions by the masses elsewhere when they did not do so in the immediate 
aftermath of WWI and the Russian Revolution, when the political context was 
arguably more favourable?


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