February 12th, 2009 @ 10:02pm

Why Comcast hates - and fears - the Internet

Posted by Robin Harris
ZDNet.com

http://blogs.zdnet.com/storage/?p=397


Comcast lost corporate credibility last year over Internet bandwidth 
management: breaking FCC rules; enraging customers; and packing public 
meetings with Comcast employees. All that over network management?

Nope. Comcast has a much bigger problem - and it isn’t with Torrent users.


Follow the money

How does Comcast make its money? Selling TV programs - and now HDTV 
programs - to subscribers. Internet access is a profitable addition for 
current subscribers, but as a stand alone business it stinks: cable 
costs are too high to be supported by ISP revenue alone.

But what are Internet users doing? The are using the Internet to 
download TV shows and movies. Comcast can’t sell you the content as 
“cable TV” when you can get it for free on the web.


VOIP too

Another fast growing business for Comcast is VOIP. But if you use Skype 
over your Internet connection you won’t buy Comcast’s VOIP service.

It is a conundrum, indeed. If they increase the bandwidth of their 
system to enable Internet HD video, they slit their own throats. If they 
don’t the telcos may steal Internet business with DSL or wireless 3G.


What is Comcast to do?

It looks like they’re moving towards a multi-prong strategy:

* Meter Internet bandwidth. This is a winner: less investment in 
bandwidth; a chance to collect overages from heavy downloaders; 
entry-level pricing low enough to keep DSL and satellite at bay.
* Push “everything” packages. TV, phone, Internet at a price carefully 
calculated to be less than the sum of the parts. Grab telco revenue, 
minimize downloading, lock out ISP competition.
* Kill “net neutrality.” Comcast wants to charge Internet entertainment 
suppliers so make up for the people canceling cable TV service. Common 
carrier status (see “Net Neutrality” is stupid) eliminates this revenue, 
so Comcast is fighting it.


The Storage Bits take

Cable’s had a good run, but it is coming to an end. TV, which used to be 
concentrated in 3 networks, is now atomized among dozens competing for 
screen time with video games, DVDs and computers.

Cable’s costly infrastructure, optimized for hundreds of channels, can’t 
adjust to a world where entertainment is downloaded. They have to tame 
the Internet to survive.

The telcos have been going through hard times as land line usage 
craters. Cable is next up.

Gigabit Ethernet to every home should be a national goal. Let people, 
not companies, decide what they want to see. Let entrepreneurs build new 
services to use that bandwidth and see what happens. It will be cool.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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