February 13, 2009, 12:01AM EST

Ergen Could Be Serious About Sirius
The CEO of EchoStar and Dish Network may need the troubled radio company 
as bad as Sirius needs him: His satellite TV business is losing customers

By Ron Grover
BusinessWeek

http://www.businessweek.com/print/technology/content/feb2009/tc20090212_430066.htm


No one is a bigger tightwad than Charlie Ergen. The 55-year-old Ergen, a 
poker-playing former financial analyst for Frito-Lay , got his start in 
satellite TV by selling one of those giant backyard dishes from the back 
of a pickup. Even after he built Dish Network into the fastest-growing 
satellite TV company, he insisted that even his top executives fly coach 
and stay two to a hotel room when traveling. So it's no surprise that 
Ergen saw opportunity in scooping up debt held by the troubled satellite 
radio company Sirius XM. Wall Street sources say Ergen bought the bonds 
on the cheap as a possible precursor to a takeover. Talk about a 
skinflint entrée to a new, if struggling, business.

But the purchases are more than a bargain hunt. Ergen may need Sirius as 
badly as the near-bankrupt radio company may need him. Dish Network, 
after years of gaining on cable companies and outpacing rival DirecTV, 
has fallen hard from its orbit. Dish recently lost its alliance with 
AT&T, which bundled Dish's service with its phone offerings. The 
partnership accounted for much of what little growth Dish has registered 
in its 13.7 million subscriber base. Worse, AT&T now works with DirecTV, 
leaving Dish with no large phone company to help goose sales.

In the quarter that ended Sept. 30, Dish lost 10,000 subscribers. The 
company's 9% earnings increase, to $223.7 million, was mostly a result 
of increasing customers' bills—not exactly a recipe for long-term 
success, especially in a market where consumers are curtailing 
nonessential spending.

Ergen also lost a big legal battle recently when Dish was ordered to pay 
$104.6 million in damages to TiVo for violating patents on TiVo digital 
video recorders. Dish is appealing the decision.


Bankruptcy Attractions

No wonder Ergen is nosing around. "He's an entrepreneur," says Sanford 
C. Bernstein analyst Craig Moffett. "He is always looking for his next 
business." Ergen could derive a lot of benefits from an acquisition of 
Sirius XM, Moffett says. For starters, the company could use the 
bankruptcy proceedings to drive down costs, including deals with 
carmakers, which share profits with Sirius for pushing new subscriptions.

Sirius would join a long list of other ventures that Ergen has been 
considering in order to shift focus from the slower-growing satellite TV 
business. He now aims to reach consumers when they're away from home, 
says Tuna Amobi, who follows Sirius and Dish for Standard & Poor's, 
which like BusinessWeek is a unit of The McGraw-Hill Companies. In late 
2007, Ergen paid $380 million for Slingbox, a technology that lets 
people view cable or satellite service while traveling. Ergen's other 
company is EchoStar, which was split off from Dish to develop Slingbox 
and other technologies. EchoStar has introduced the service for Apple 
iPhones and Research In Motion BlackBerrys.

Where does Sirius XM fit? It's unlikely Ergen could use Sirius' existing 
satellites, which are configured for radio use, but he might be able to 
make use of a satellite that Sirius expects to be delivered next year. 
Dish could also market its TV service jointly with the radio service and 
make use of other Sirius operations, Amobi says.

The bigger question is whether Ergen gets Sirius XM at all. Clearly, 
Sirius CEO Mel Karmazin doesn't want Ergen to take control. (Wonder why? 
In 2004, when Karmazin was Viacom president, Ergen yanked Viacom's MTV 
and Nickelodeon from his Dish during a contract dispute, then put 
Karmazin's home phone number on the screen in their place to encourage 
angry viewers to call.) Karmazin is said to be seeking out Liberty Media 
and its billionaire Chairman John Malone as a "white knight," according 
to news reports. No doubt Karmazin is hoping that Liberty, which also 
owns DirecTV, will head off Ergen. EchoStar, which is said to be 
accumulating the bonds, refused to comment, as did a representative of 
Liberty.


Another Game of Poker?

As useful as Sirius XM could be, the frugal Ergen is unlikely to throw 
around big bucks to win a business he'll have to recapitalize for a sum 
that could reach hundreds of millions of dollars. It's not that he 
doesn't have the funds—as of Sept. 30, EchoStar had more than $970 
million in cash.

"I don't see Charlie stepping into a bidding war," says one longtime 
associate. In fact, maybe that's exactly what Karmazin is hoping for: 
Bring in someone to put some money on the table and watch the cheapskate 
take a hike.

Then again, Ergen may be engaged in just another game of poker, albeit 
one with high stakes. He's already into the bidding, even if he bought 
the Sirius bonds for pennies on the dollar. Malone or anyone else who 
wants to buy Sirius has to settle with Ergen first, since he is the main 
bondholder. Maybe Ergen simply pushes back, forcing the company into 
bankruptcy by not accepting whatever Malone might want to pay for the 
$175 million that comes due on Feb. 17.

But there's no denying Ergen needs Sirius badly enough to throw in a few 
more bucks to win control. The old Ergen wouldn't do that, to be sure. 
But times change. So, too, might the guy who started one empire on the 
back of a pickup truck and now needs to find his next one.

-----------
Grover is Los Angeles bureau chief for BusinessWeek.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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