It isnt really a balance. The shut down was just to buy time, and it worked, but at tremendous cost. The basics of mask wearing, testing and contact tracing to isolate and quarantine positives and their contacts involve relatively minimal cost, and no threat to civil liberties. And this works. Iceland never shut down at all. They just tested lots of people from the first reported case onward, and had a team of 50 people testing and tracing the contacts and telling them to stay home for two weeks. They have close to zero daily new cases. That is all we need to do nationally, but everybody is too busy whining to get on board and there is no real leadership at the national level.
On Sat, Jun 13, 2020, 9:08 AM Floyd Thursby via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > The balance that is the main challenge is how to maintain an economy, > allow personal rights, and mitigate disease spread. Everyone has the > answer depending on various orientations but none of them seem to strike > the balance effectively. I have just kinda decided to go about life, > take some precautions, but recognizing sooner or later getting infected > is a high probability no matter what. A vaccine is a long time away, if > it would even be effective > > --FT > > On 6/13/20 11:58 AM, OK Don via Mercedes wrote: > > Our numbers are still rising in this part of the country. With little to > no > > testing we will probably never know the full extent of the disease. > > > > On Fri, Jun 12, 2020 at 9:47 PM Curt Raymond via Mercedes < > > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > > > >> Still pretty hard to really prove that data isn't it? 100,000+ deaths > in > >> the US in 4 months is 3x+ what the flu would get over twice that period. > >> It'll take a long time before we antibody test enough people to really > >> prove those numbers. > >> Based on how the US numbers continue to inch down I'm thinking that > having > >> a bad "early" COVID season might be a good thing for our later results. > >> Brazil's numbers are terrible and rising and thats after having very low > >> numbers in the initial 4 months. > >> -Curt > >> > >> On Friday, June 12, 2020, 4:20:37 PM EDT, Max Dillon via Mercedes < > >> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > >> > >> https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/#latest > >> > >> 1. According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the > >> overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1%[ > >> https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/] and thus in the range > >> of a strong seasonal influenza[ > >> https://www.ebm-netzwerk.de/en/publications/covid-19] (flu). > >> > >> 2. Even in global “hotspots”, the risk of death for the general > population > >> of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride > to > >> work[https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v1]. > The > >> risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or > no > >> symptoms were not taken into account. > >> > >> Max Dillon > >> Charleston SC > >> > >> > >> _______________________________________ > >> http://www.okiebenz.com > >> > >> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > >> > >> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > >> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > >> > >> > >> _______________________________________ > >> http://www.okiebenz.com > >> > >> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > >> > >> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > >> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > >> > >> > -- > --FT > > > _______________________________________ > http://www.okiebenz.com > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > _______________________________________ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
