I suspect that the reason that these and other neighborhoods lost population was BECAUSE they are middle class neighborhoods without a lot of apartments.
And I will predict that all the neighborhoods that lost population also share one other feature in common: the average age will be higher than the city as a whole. Here's what I think happens. There are neighborhoods that a lot of people settled down in 20, 30, 40 years ago. Being maybe 80% owner-occupied, there isn't a lot of turnover. Kids grow up and move out. If the parents are old enough, maybe one of the parents has died. And the average number of people living in each house starts to drop. And the average number of people living in the neighborhood also drops. This would not be true in neighborhoods with a high percentage of rental property. Because of the affordable housing crunch, more people on average will be living in each rental unit, pushing overall population levels in a neighborhood higher. The population dropoff would not tend to happen in neighborhoods with high immigrant populations. I expected to find several neighborhoods in north Minneapolis north of Lowry to have lost population. In fact, only one lost population: Lind-Bohanon. And one or two showed significant increases. I think the reason is that a significant population of Hmong families have moved in, along with African-Americans. These families tend to be younger with more children. They tend to reverse the empty nest syndrome. Re. population gains and representation at the legislature OVerall, Minneapolis gained something like 14,000 I suspect that north, northeast and south Minneapolis all, in raw numbers, actually gained population 1990-2000 But that isn't really the hurdle. Between 1990 and 2000, Minnesota's population grew 12.4%, from about 4.4 million to about 4.9 million. For Minneapolis to not lose representation in the legislature, its population also had go grow at least 12.4% 1990-2000. In Northeast, several neighborhoods lost population, several others showed stagnant growth, and only three neighborhoods out of 13 met or exceeded the necessary 12.4% population increase. Therefore, even though northeast probably has more people living in it overall in 2000 than in 1990, because the growth was nowhere near the 12.4% statewide average, northeast will have to lose representation. The question is, how is that done. Jay Clark Cooper loki anderson wrote: > > --- Jay Clark <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > There are neighborhoods in south, north and > > northeast Minneapolis that > > have lost population > > > Northeast and the outer fringes of south Minneapolis > > have suffered the > > worst declines. > > For the record, now that I have looked at the > demographic info, the Columbia, Marshall Terrace, > Holland, Logan Park, Bottineau, St Anthony West, St > Anthony East, Beltrami and Northeast Park > neighborhoods all gained in population. > > Sheridan and Windom Park each lost a small (less than > 100) number of residents. The only neighborhoods that > lost considerable numbers in Northeast were the Waite > Park and Audubon Park neighborhoods (about 1000 people > combined). These losses were more than made up for by > the gains in the other northeast and southeast > neighborhoods (southeast neighborhoods all gained). > > Which sort of brings up a question that's been > puzzling me. How could these two neighborhoods lose so > many people? Both are largely middle class > neighborhoods without a great deal of apartment > buildings. Neither had any developments tear down > existing properties and neither has any boarded up or > condemned buildings. And I don't think there are many > vacant houses either. What's up? > > Loki Anderson > Marshall Terrace > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > ===== > "Let me tell you how it will be > There's one for you, nineteen for me > 'Cause I'm the Taxman..." > -George Harrison > > __________________________________________________ > Do You Yahoo!? > Check out Yahoo! Shopping and Yahoo! Auctions for all of > your unique holiday gifts! Buy at http://shopping.yahoo.com > or bid at http://auctions.yahoo.com > _______________________________________ > Minneapolis Issues Forum - A Civil City Civic Discussion - Mn E-Democracy > Post messages to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Subscribe, Unsubscribe, Digest option, and more: > http://e-democracy.org/mpls _______________________________________ Minneapolis Issues Forum - A Civil City Civic Discussion - Mn E-Democracy Post messages to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subscribe, Unsubscribe, Digest option, and more: http://e-democracy.org/mpls
