I try to follow news related to energy and environmental topics related to 
Minneapolis issues.

I never really liked the old phrase "It's the economy, stupid!"   Remember that 
one?  However, my premise is that it could now well be remade into "It's the 
energy, stupid!" or "It's the environmental economy, stupid!"

Energy and environmental issue relate very directly to the decisions we make 
regarding development of transportation infrastructure.  So, here goes with a 
summary of recent related info on the topic:

http://www.energybulletin.net/4125.html  Good old Forbes is ran a poll called 
"US: Which Airline Will Not Survive?"  (published Jan 21, I believe.)  The 
issue of rising fuel costs is the first mentioned cause, although, of course, 
other matters figure in...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6865852/  MSNBC ran a Forbes update, focusing on 
rising fuel costs as the key cause of the fact that 2,005 airline losses will 
likely be triple earlier estimates.... (as of Jan 25)

http://www.ameinfo.com/news/Detailed/52463.html  -- Jim Rogers, a 
well-respected US investor, recently published "Hot Commodities" -- joining the 
ranks of serious investors taking "peak oil" into account.  Oil prices will 
trend upward due to shorter supply combined with greater demand....one can 
infer that jet fuel prices will continue to rise as well....long term.  

We cannot assume lower fuel costs will cause air travel to expand.  Fuel costs 
may fluctuate, but will rise long-term.  The airline industry is already in the 
throes of shrinking.  Spending dollars on airport infrastructure expansion is 
like throwing those dollars away, it seems to me.

I hope that we citizens, political leaders, and policy planners take time to 
become informed about the energy and environmental issues which are likely to 
shape our lives for many years to come.  Too often, we are content to hear a 
phrase like "the hydrogen economy" and assume that everything is alright, then. 
 The reality is complex, challenging, and will require a great deal from us as 
we decide how to spend scarce resources to shape our urban infrastructure.

A one-paragraph aside: there are many more complex threads to weave into the 
discussion.  There are local/global environmental impacts of air travel, which 
are now of course economic impacts as well.  There are at least two dimensions 
to the geopolitical implications of our local urban infrastructure planning.  
First, Americans are increasingly identified with a lifestyle of consumption 
which requires resource wars to support it.  Every investment we make either 
reinforces this perception or provides evidence that we Americans are beginning 
to truly act with the next generation and the people we impact all over the 
globe in mind.  The second dimension is this: as we take the lead in developing 
energywise, environmentally sustainable urban infrastructure, we encourage 
like-minded development around the country and around the world.  We all 
benefit from the spread of sustainable infrastructure anywhere it happens.

But more on that later....?  for now, I think I simply want to continue to pose 
the questions:  "Is investing in airport expansion a wise thing, given that the 
energy scenario for the next ten or twenty years will likely cause air travel 
to become more expensive?  Won't the air travel industry almost certainly 
contract rather than expand or remain stable?   Shouldn't we put increasingly 
scarce dollars into local sustainable urban transportation, rather than into 
the airport?

-- pedaling for peace and justice from Kingfield, for now -- Gary Hoover

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