Mark V Anderson wrote:

2) What makes you think that the politicos believe that we can build our way
out of congestion?  If only it were so.  How many highway miles have been
built in the last 20 years, as the Metro population increased by over 50%?
If we had kept up with our infrastructure for those 20 years, rush hour
might not have expanded to most of the day in Minneapolis.

3) I'd love to hear a real plan for mass transit, so we can truly see how
much it really costs.  The real question is, "can we build our way out of
congestion with mass transit?"  I doubt it.

Peter Vevang writes:
We are reaching a saturation point with our highways.  Even if you take the 
highway point of view, and believe that 'all growth is good' and 'highways are 
the best option', we still have severe problems.  We are in a situation of 
literal exponential growth in automobile traffic.  Not very many people dispute 
that.  Anyone that commutes on highways knows that the traffic jam moves 
further and further out every year.

Your eyes don't lie, traffic is getting worse:  Take I-394 for example, despite 
recent upgrades coming into town, the traffic jam that used to start near Penn 
or Highway 100 eight years ago now backs up near I-494, and if past experience 
is any guide traffic is going to be working its way all the way to Highway 12 
and from there past Wayzata to Orono.  It is not possible to add an additional 
4 or 6 lanes needed to improve flow, we have nowhere to put the extra lanes.  
But even if we could demolish nearby neighborhoods, we couldn't afford it.  
Imagine the cost of demolishing the large retaining walls, and somehow adding 
extensions to elevated sections of highway, excavating down 20 or 30 feet in 
places, and moving all the sewers, power lines and other utilities and 
installing new storm water systems.  We are facing this problem across the 
metro.  We can't add more lanes to I-35W, I-94 or I-394, we don't have the 
desire or political will to demolish neighborhoods and we would need many 
billions of dollars to accomplish our goals.  That is the reality, we all know 
it, complaining about it will not change the situation.  We know we are in 
trouble, we know we can't fix the situation with our current strategy of 
building highways (or not building highways).  Given that situation, even if we 
believe that highways are the best option, why should that preclude us from 
having rail as a backup to serve commuters that are at the core of the metro 
economy?  That seems like the prudent thing to do to me, to have a backup plan, 
so that our economic future is secure no matter how bad traffic gets.

If that isn't enough, run the numbers:  People that believe 'growth is good' 
should be afraid of the this.  This will affect economic growth because the 
result of congestion is that people won't want to drive as far.  A commute to 
Minneapolis from Orono, Eagan or Chaska for example will become deeply 
unnatractive.  That means any business that wants to locate in a congested 
Minneapolis will be limited both in its customer base and will be unable to 
access the metro-wide pool of workers, limiting available expertise and talent. 
 If you accept that as being true, it is clear we need to either fix the 
highway situation (which cannot be done) or reduce the need for the highways.  
The benefit of a fully integrated rail system is that any area along the line 
has metro-wide access to labor and customers.  Businesses and individuals have 
more economic options if they can travel easily.  In a way, this issue could be 
described as being about options, and options are one of the cornerstones of 
economic freedom.

If the legislature does nothing new, that is their choice.  But the problem 
will not go away if they close their eyes.  Eventually, the laws of physics 
will catch up with them.  You can't drive on a bridge that has fallen apart.  
You can't move when you are stuck in a traffic jam.  The plan we have now is 
worse than difficult, troubled or expensive.  A 'highway only' plan is a 
guarantee of failure, it cannot possibly work, we all know it, it isn't working 
now, and it won't work in the future.  We can mathematically predict and 
measure in real time how badly it will fail, we can model the coming gridlock 
in a computer and watch it unfold.  Eventually we are certain to reach a 
threshold where life becomes intolerable, the environment begins to degrade, 
the cost becomes prohibitive or our economy begins to drag.  As far as the 
lobbyists and business interests that are in favor of roads, they will be an 
extinct species given our current development curve, along with a lot of other 
businesses and our local flora and fauna.

We have 2 choices, mass transit now, or mass transit later.  It won't be cheap 
or easy to build, but we need it.  The point of mass transit is not to build 
our way out of congestion, the point of mass transit is to have a viable city.

Peter Vevang
NE Minneapolis



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