Ray Marshall writes:
...I came across the www.eastlake.net blog... and up there what did my
wondering eyes perceive, but [a link to] images and 50+ pages of documents
pertaining to the 38th Street Station Area Master Plan. Now I was pretty
much a skeptic, believing that there wasn't enough population density along
the light rail route to justify the spending...  But if the figures are
right, people have fallen in love with our new mode of transportation... So
those trains are going to be getting much longer, it would seem, by the time
the plan is implemented. 

Doug here:
I'm guessing that one of the Met Council's best-kept secrets is that the LRT
is running at capacity already. I live along the line, and yes, the cars are
often standing room only at rush hour and packed to a crush for sporting
events. A great deal of those riders are already coming from outside the
city. I'm also guessing that since we have fewer cars on hand than the
original system spec, that existing cars are running "overtime" and are not
afforded the neccesary rotation and downtime for maintenance and overhaul. 

We could fill out the original order for cars, enough so that all trains are
doubled up. Might add a thousand riders per day.  However, a large  increase
in capacity really dictates an increase in train frequency. With that would
come the added infrastructure costs (more LRV cars, more drivers,
accelerated wear/replacement schedules, more killowatts. etc) and an inverse
rate of traffic flow along Highway 55 and through the neighborhoods. Flow
along Hiawatha is already at the barely tolerable stage. 

This leads me to wonder. CPED predicts a need for 24,000 new units to house
29,000 new residents by 2030 (Yes, that averages 1.2 people per unit). The
Hiawatha Corridor is under a great deal of pressure to build medium to high
density housing all along it's flanks. Looking at the developments built
recently (all of which are high density) and the upcoming projects like
Hiawatha Flats (250 units), I'm guessing we are looking at perhaps 15-20,000
new residents along the corridor in the next 25 years.

How are we going to move them? And to where?

As we start work on our own--and the last of the--Station Area Master Plans,
transportation and traffic issues will play a much larger role in the
discussion.

Disclaimer: While I am a strong supporter of finding ways to reduce the
consumption of non-renewable fuels, I don't for one minute believe we can
socially re-engineer people out of their cars within a decade or less. At
least not in this climate and amount of sprawl.


Doug Walter
Nokomis East
Member of "Access Minneapolis" Steering Committee,
and 50th St/VA Station areas Planning Committee.  


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