In a message written on Sun, Apr 18, 2010 at 10:22:25PM -0700, joel jaeggli wrote: > Just because the curve doesn't look steep enough now doesn't mean it > won't in two years. Human behavior is hard to model and panic hasn't set > in yet.
There is also an aspect of this transition I don't think we've seen
before (in networking). A large percentage of end users are on
technologies (cable modem, dsl, even dial up) who's configuration
is entirely driven out of a provisioning database.
Once the backbone is rolled out, the nameservers, dhcp, and
configuration servers dual-stacked many ISP's could enable IPv6 for
all of their customers overnight with only a few keystrokes. Now
they won't literally do it that way to save their support folks,
but if the need arises they will be able to push the button quite
quickly.
I suspect the middle part of this S curve is going to be much, much
steeper than anyone is predicting right now.
--
Leo Bicknell - [email protected] - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/
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