You will likely need to run a swarm. In particular, you should give it the
option to include a time-of-day field and make sure it can select a very
fine encoding for that field. Also the standard permute options would be a
good idea.


On Tue, May 13, 2014 at 12:22 PM, Matthew Taylor <[email protected]> wrote:

> Can you paste the model params you are using? Looking at the chart, my
> guess is that it's not being processed as temporal data. Are you using
> a timestamp? Seeing your input CSV for the swarm (or at least a part
> of it) would be helpful, too.
> ---------
> Matt Taylor
> OS Community Flag-Bearer
> Numenta
>
>
> On Tue, May 13, 2014 at 12:13 PM, Daniel Cohen <[email protected]>
> wrote:
> > This is a data set taken from google analytics - it is almost 2 years of
> web
> > traffic data by date hour - that's about 4000 data points.
> >
> > I ran through the same process I used for the sine wave prediction
> tutorial
> > except I added more prediction steps. The attached .png is a zoom in of
> the
> > plot. Even the 1 step prediction is disappointing and I'd expect better
> > after 4000 data points. The 10 step prediction is almost wholly
> unreliable
> > and anything beyond that is useless. Sure the predictions are within the
> > right range of points but you couldn't base anything useful off them.
> They
> > don't even seem to have picked up on the hourly modulation throughout a
> day.
> >
> > Is there any way to improve the prediction quality without simply using
> more
> > data points?
> >
> > _______________________________________________
> > nupic mailing list
> > [email protected]
> > http://lists.numenta.org/mailman/listinfo/nupic_lists.numenta.org
> >
>
> _______________________________________________
> nupic mailing list
> [email protected]
> http://lists.numenta.org/mailman/listinfo/nupic_lists.numenta.org
>
_______________________________________________
nupic mailing list
[email protected]
http://lists.numenta.org/mailman/listinfo/nupic_lists.numenta.org

Reply via email to